joelgombiner Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 8 minutes ago, Nov1985 said: 18z GFS peak snow depth Saturday morning is up by 0.2". Central Washington gets buried. Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 5 minutes ago, Doinko said: 18z is a lot different Block appears to be in a much better spot Days 6-8 on the 18z. 3 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 GFS wants to deliver so bad at day 7... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 That cutoff is stalling the southern push of arctic air by hour 180. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 12 minutes ago, MWG said: The struggle is real lol but this is how I remember the winters here when I moved 12 years ago. Fog and cloudy days that wouldn't go away. Medford is statistically the foggiest town in the Pacific Northwest (where “foggiest” is defined as “greatest number of days with fog observed”). 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 (edited) NOPE. Down, but not out. We'll see where the run goes from here. Edited December 7, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 570’s over Anchorage. 1 2 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Big Portland ice storm on this run 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 570’s over Anchorage. Teleconnections! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Druncle has a good old fashioned snowstorm for the entire region if that low can dip about 150 miles south. It's a monster snowstorm over here how it sits now!! Edit: for the 16th/17th 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 7 minutes ago, Doinko said: Big Portland ice storm on this run Followed by a huge dumping of snow 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Gorgeous looking EPS today for week two! You don;t see a pattern like that very often. Of course the bad news is the initial trough this weekend digs too far off the coast to give us a realistic shot at much snow. That will probably be made up for in the near future though. 5 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: Gorgeous looking EPS today for week two! You don;t see a pattern like that very often. Of course the bad news is the initial trough this weekend digs too far off the coast to give us a realistic shot at much snow. That will probably be made up for in the near future though. I'm sure everyone noticed that 18z GFS is back to showing snow nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Can you imagine if the 18Z GFS had the pattern and specific details right at 10 days out? We would be singing its praises forever. It has changed significantly for day 3 just since yesterday. 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, Terreboner said: Druncle has a good old fashioned snowstorm for the entire region if that low can dip about 150 miles south. It's a monster snowstorm over here how it sits now!! Edit: for the 16th/17th Massive snow/ice storm for Portland too. 1.5" of ice followed by 10" of snow 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Block is a little skinny, but reading the tea leaves this could be LARGE 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 The GFS and ECMWF agree today will be the "warmest" day in a while. Even at that it's still below normal. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Doinko said: Massive snow/ice storm for Portland too. 1.5" of ice followed by 10" of snow Everyone gets the goods! First great run, many more to come a suspect. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Can you imagine if the 18Z GFS had the pattern and specific details right at 10 days out? We would be singing its praises forever. It has changed significantly for day 3 just since yesterday. Looks much too dry. It’ll be much snowier than it’s indicating 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 4 minutes ago, Doinko said: Followed by a huge dumping of snow 1884 repeat. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 RELOAD. DEC 2008 redux please 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Can you imagine if the 18Z GFS had the pattern and specific details right at 10 days out? We would be singing its praises forever. It has changed significantly for day 3 just since yesterday. Thanks Nostradamus. We wouldn’t be here if we weren’t all degenerates 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The GFS and ECMWF agree today will be the "warmest" day in a while. Even at that it's still below normal. Would be nice to see a 50-free month. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said: RELOAD Wonder what crazy low temps the GooFuS will show with 10" of snow on the ground at Portland and an impending Arctic airmass 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, BLI snowman said: Would be nice to see a 50-free month. I think this one has a very good shot... at SEA at least. 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, Doinko said: Wonder what crazy low temps the GooFuS will show with 10" of snow on the ground at Portland and an impending Arctic airmass Thing is Portland's record low is actually lower than Seattle's, because you have a potential huge door to the icebox. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said: Thing is Portland's record low is actually lower than Seattle's, because you have a potential huge door to the icebox. Yeah I think SeaTacs record low is 0? and Portlands is -3 both from 1950. Though the easy access to east wind probably could keep it warmer a lot of nights. Salem and Eugene's record lows are -12! From December 1972. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: I think this one has a very good shot... at SEA at least. Definitely. The tail end of December is the one time where 50+ weather is legit kinda hard for us unless there's pineapple juice. So the fact that the first half of the month may pull it off in many places bodes well for those odds. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Big Seattle snowstorm. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, BLI snowman said: Definitely. The tail end of December is the one time where 50+ weather is legit kinda hard for us unless there's pineapple juice. So the fact that the first half of the month may pull it off in many places bodes well for those odds. Didn't Portland have a 64/60 day on Christmas at some point or something ridiculous like that? I'm not sure about the year though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Block is a little skinny, but reading the tea leaves this could be LARGE Link please! My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Can you imagine if the 18Z GFS had the pattern and specific details right at 10 days out? We would be singing its praises forever. It has changed significantly for day 3 just since yesterday. If it did, we wouldn't need the ensembles 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 58 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said: This makes much more sense. Ya komo left that clarification out of theirs making it sound like the coldest week ever. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: If it did, we wouldn't need the ensembles The OP runs are just eye candy this far out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 2 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said: Ya komo left that clarification out of theirs making it sound like the coldest week ever. I'm curious to know which part that needed clarification? They did said coldest week in 78 years of recordkeeping, followed by 6 straight days of measurable snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 6 minutes ago, Doinko said: Didn't Portland have a 64/60 day on Christmas at some point or something ridiculous like that? I'm not sure about the year though 1980. Meanwhile the East was record cold and Boston had a -7 degree day. Terrible winter. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 I want to know what will happen with that monster out S of the Aleutians 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cloud said: I'm curious to know which part that needed clarification? They did said coldest week in 78 years of recordkeeping, followed by 6 straight days of measurable snow. Maybe put dates in there. In the end not a big deal and still impressive to have a record cold week these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 Now the clown range GFS wants to give us a sleet storm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 7, 2022 Report Share Posted December 7, 2022 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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