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PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.


The Blob

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Just now, Kolk1604 said:

Actually never mind. That arctic outbreak on the control is nice, but we pretty much torch until that point. 

Not happening 

ecmwf-weeklies-c00-namer-t850_anom-1670198400-1670198400-1674172800-40.gif

I'll be fine with torching if we can get our 12/14/16 repeat next week and then a massive arctic outbreak in January

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15 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

Regional arctic outbreak in January only 40 days out1673654400-5JsdCm9qLuc.png

Omg we are locking this bad boy in!!!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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9 minutes ago, Doinko said:

This is an amazing analysis! I'm surprised that 2016 was one of the most fall-like. That had a very warm November.

Well technically using this method of analysis, you could have a super warm November or super cold September and still be considered "fall-like" because a high of 50F every day in September or a high of 70F every day in November would still fit within the normal fall range.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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22 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

We need a region wide event.  This have and have not stuff gets tiring.

It will eventually come. I’d be surprised if we don’t get an Arctic Blast this winter. I’m still going with my prediction that we see our coldest and snowiest January in decades here west of the Cascades.

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Was this current precip shown on any of the models? 

Models have shown drippy, spotty precip until an actual front arrives Thursday... very disorganized.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, RCola said:

Experienced that once during the 2010 series of Mid-Atlantic storms on the East Coast. 4 feet of snow between three blizzards back to back to back. It was an incredible experience---one that I hope anyone who loves snow gets to enjoy at least once in a lifetime.

yup, had a couple back to back noreastas when I lived in NH in the early 2000's. I think the big winter was 00-01 there (I lived there 00-04).  at one point we had 55" ish on the ground from 2 big noreastas and then some supplemental nickel and dimers that came through.  I was young and actually enjoyed shovelling it and was too poor in my mid 20s at the time to afford a snow blower, fortunately the house we were renting had a guy who plowed the driveway so all I had to do was shovel the sidewalk and dig out the mailbox. we lived at the bottom of a hill and dummy me installed a mailbox (having grown up in the carolinas it didn't seem out of the ordinary) that thing got constantly buried by the plow that pushed snow down the hill into our yard.  constantly digging the mailbox out all winter that year.  I learned my lesson and got a PO box after that. lol

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Half a foot of snow in Seattle in just over 4 days.    Yep.    

gfs-deterministic-washington-snow_24hr_kuchera-0662800.png

I liked the 18z map way better, this is garbage. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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