PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.

[Terreboner]

Druncle looks like he may be sending his deformed band over us early Sunday evening.  Gotta love the guy!!!

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Also trending further north with the sunday moisture moving up from the south.

Map?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

10pm tomorrow night looking really good for puget sound.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Terreboner said:

Druncle looks like he may be sending his deformed band over us early Sunday evening.  Gotta love the guy!!!

Maybe we'll get a massive blast in the long range. 

[Cloud]

Precips moves in when it's pretty cold tomorrow eve. Looks good for me. Come on!

[BLI snowman]

33 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Even that has trended poorly today on models. I think I’m escaping this pattern without any snowflakes. 

Yeah, still just some very generously defined flakey mix and graupel here thus far for me. Shutout winter still on the table!!

[TacomaWx]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

10pm tomorrow night looking really good for puget sound.

That’d be pretty sweet. Can’t say no to more snow! 

[Cloud]

[umadbro]

This has been one of the worst winters so far.

[SnarkyGoblin]

Better keep your blower close by @MR.SNOWMIZER

[Cascadia_Wx]

I’m not driving, but heading north on 99W between Corvallis and Monmouth it’s dumping snow and 32F.

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, umadbro said:

This has been one of the worst winters so far.

I agree! It just started today and it's already the worst. I was served a dud!

[SouthHillFrosty]

So close but so far

[RayRay]

Kitsap/Mason county special!

[SnowWillarrive]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

So close but so far

Hope the euro can spread that a bit more east. 

[North_County]

12 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

10pm tomorrow night looking really good for puget sound.

Don't show this one to Randy.....

[Cloud]

Snowmizer is primed another big event. Winner!

[Meatyorologist]

That 2010-11 analog going strong

[FroYoBro]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I’m not driving, but heading north on 99W between Corvallis and Monmouth it’s dumping snow and 32F.

Hey, I live right near 99W.

 

 

 

YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[Requiem]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

That 2010-11 analog going strong

I don't recall that one much but I'm fervently praying the N/S gradient wasn't too bad...

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

That 2010-11 analog going strong

Looking at the handle he’s chosen makes me wonder if the UK has weather weenies that are as snow-crazed as most of us are.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Looks like another low is formed possibly tomorrow night? Could be the reason for enhanced precip on this run

 

Edit: I totally thought I cropped this also, my b

Edited December 1, 2022 by SouthHillFrosty

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

9 minutes ago, RayRay said:

Kitsap/Mason county special!

God, I hope this verifies.

[RentonHill]

Good doggy. Lets build off this. 

[Guest administrator]

9 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

That 2010-11 analog going strong

The Big Bust of Jan '11 still haunts me.

[WeatheringLoyalHeights]

After declaring the performance of the WRF model a "Triumph", wonder how long until Cliff bites on this latest forecast map?  Pretty significant totals being thrown for metro Seattle.

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

Good doggy. Lets build off this. 

Yup, another system is rain to snow now possibly next week 

[RentonHill]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yup, another system is rain to snow now possibly next week 

How dare you insult my post with a 190hr GFS precip map

[TT-SEA]

I was reading a story about mountain climbing and took a side trip to read about the death zone.    It said that the human body and brain is at optimal performance and endurance from sea level to 490 feet in elevation.    Living low is good for you!   

[FroYoBro]

Hour 180 on the drunkle kind of looks like today. 

[SnarkyGoblin]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yup, another system is rain to snow now possibly next week 

The classic "will it" or "won't it" PNW snow predictions I always hated as a small kid.

What I liked about Dec 2021 was how cold it was.  The big flakes look cool, but at the end of the day, you mostly have just wet grass.

[TT-SEA]

A little cell has popped over Kent and Auburn... any snow falling down there?

[Terreboner]

35 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Maybe we'll get a massive blast in the long range. 

Would be almost unprecedented not to with all this blocking.  

[snow_wizard]

19 minutes ago, Requiem said:

I don't recall that one much but I'm fervently praying the N/S gradient wasn't too bad...

That was talking about Britain I think.  Pretty common for big winters to manifest over large parts of the Northern Hemisphere when this big time blocking happens.

[Seattle]

Oh god, not another week of model riding watching these small systems and inevitably getting 33 rain or missing out on precip all together 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

A little cell has popped over Kent and Auburn... any snow falling down there?

Interesting.  That one might have a shot at hitting here.  Looks like it's intensifying too for the time being at least.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Seattle said:

Oh god, not another week of model riding watching these small systems and inevitably getting 33 rain or missing out on precip all together 

Yup.  The GFS shows yet another legit cold shot next weekend (not to be confused with the potential for this weekend).

[TigerWoodsLibido]

30 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I’m not driving, but heading north on 99W between Corvallis and Monmouth it’s dumping snow and 32F.

Y'all should have come down here man. I would've given you some vodka and smoked you out.

[Gradient Keeper]

This has been an AWESOME almost Winter so far! Are you serious right now? There is so much more cold, arctic cold, and lowland snow opportunities on the way! Tons more snow pics and videos! C'MON!!!!

00z GFS in 4 hours 56 minutes
00z ECMWF in 7 hours 6 minutes

[High Desert Mat?]

Flurries going on here in Redmond. Oregon that is. High of 34 imby and now back to 32. Sunday looks a little intriguing.