Gradient Keeper Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 I wonder how completely different the models look in 2-3 days. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 I honestly think this whole thing was jinxed the second this tweet went up. 1 1 1 2023 Warm Season Stats Number of 80+ days - 37 Number of 85+ days - 17 Number of 90+ days - 5 Number of 95+ days - 1 (warmest so far - 95) Number of 60+ lows - 5 (warmest so far - 61) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I'm honestly a little surprised from all the panic. Still a ways out. Is this a brand new out of the box Snowmizer? 6 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: Nope. 40’s. Maybe somewhere, but still freezing in many areas as that accumulates. Near 50F at 4am Saturday morning though! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, Cold Snap said: I honestly think this whole thing was jinxed the second this tweet went up. yup, should've had second thoughts like are you REALLY sure you want to tweet this? like honestly sure? lmao 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 If I was a puppy and lived in the Eugene area, I'd be getting a bit worried. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 pure emotional torment that the euro was cornered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just now, Deweydog said: Is this a brand new out of the box Snowmizer? My brain was smoking after trying to figure out a problem on a Toyota today that all the other shops failed on. I win I figured it out. Seriously though how many times have all us long timers been through this lol? I believe we have enough time to watch the models put some sort of stability on the table that will most likely be fun. 7 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 45 minutes ago, umadbro said: PDX NWS The bottom line is that there remain a large range of possibilities early next week both regards to cold air and precipitation. Even if the cold and snowy scenarios do not pan out, which ensemble guidance would suggest there is a high likelihood of happening, would expect at least another couple runs of an operational model or two to show a high impact winter weather scenario for the region as the operational models bounce around the ensemble space. Until the ensembles start to hone in on a scenario, deterministic runs of the GFS, ECMWF or GEM will be of limited utility and perhaps give you a false sense of confidence in a particular scenario panning out. -Neuman 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 7 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: The same volatility that got us here can get us back to a huge event. I want everyone to score of course, but realistically, there is very little support for things suddenly reversing for the better now. You'd need a historic change in the modeled macro-pattern within 5 days. The trend is clear, and it's not good. Blocking is very transitory. Probabilities are low for a better outcome than currently depicted. I do think best case scenario at this point would be, as BLIsnowman described, a poor man's Jan 2012. Some heavy lowland snow, at least briefly, probably more as you go further north. But honestly, there was better blocking for Arctic air to move south with that event than seems realistic now. 6 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: I wonder how completely different the models look in 2-3 days. But we are also getting closer so the swings are going to narrow. Who knows though. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 15 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: Not good… Over an inch of ice on Vancouver Island. 0% chance that verifies. The low level cold never holds here once the upper levels warm up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 Just going to focus on short term improvements. EPS 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 31 degrees. At least the wheelbarrow ice has started forming. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 everything is fine this is fine it's just 1 run right? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 PDX down to 33 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted December 15, 2022 Report Share Posted December 15, 2022 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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