PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.

[MossMan]

7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The legit cold is flooding in from Seattle northward right now.  Sumas is at a bone chilling 22, while Everett is 32 with a dp of 25.  Looks like low dew points have made it as far south as West Point near Seattle.

Yeah still 28 here. 

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Close to 3” here in central Tacoma. Think there’s a bit less at my house but not too much less. 

Nice i'm glad you scored so well. We probably have 2" of cement on non-road surfaces. 

[Phishy Wx]

19 minutes ago, gusky said:

Seems to be pretty quiet here this morning, wonder what's going on.

we do have to work at some point

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

GEFS just a little different 

Incredible.  My thoughts about this being a 1916-17, 1948-49, or 1978-79 type winter are looking more likely all the time.

Maybe a shot at 100 freezing mins for some people?

[gusky]

1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

we do have to work at some point

Are you sure? I would look into that more if I were you.

[snow_wizard]

I'm not holding my breath for snow here on the next event.  These strong offshore flow scenarios are toxic here.  The models seem to think there might be some though.  No matter what I'm happy with this cold snap though.

[Meatyorologist]

8 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

IMO this event Tomorrow has the best chance of delivering a widespread event compared to the last 2 events. Plus It's my 50th Birthday!!

A good omen indeed!

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

we do have to work at some point

I called in today.  I was able to use the excuse of my son's school district being closed.

[TacomaWx]

6 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Nice i'm glad you scored so well. We probably have 2" of cement on non-road surfaces. 

Was a good one! Definitely makes up for me missing December 2021. Should stick around to lower DPs moving in from the north right meow. 

[Cloud]

Unfortunately a total dud for my area this week(so far). The first system perhaps 0.5 and this morning a dusting.  Can’t even be mad at this when others scored and the models were spot on. 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Was a good one! Definitely makes up for me missing December 2021. Should stick around to lower DPs moving in from the north right meow. 

Now I can't wait to see the crash this evening.  Going to freeze up fast.  This has been a very dynamic few days of weather to say the least.  Not quite as perfect as a genuine Arctic blast, but not too shabby.

[Fircrest]

It was pretty snowy at my work place in South Tacoma this morning near the STAR Center.  Not snowing now.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Unfortunately a total dud for my area this week(so far). The first system perhaps 0.5 and this morning a dusting.  Can’t even be mad at this when others scored and the models were spot on. 

I would be so pissed if I were in your shoes.  The other night was bad enough and I knew I would score the next day.  The real shocker of the event was how little places like Arlington and Mount Vernon got.

[Timmy]

It is snowing at my place now, of course I’m not there until late tonight.  Sticking to non road surfaces.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm not holding my breath for snow here on the next event.  These strong offshore flow scenarios are toxic here.  The models seem to think there might be some though.  No matter what I'm happy with this cold snap though.

They can go either way though. Should be some dry snow at the beginning.

[snow_wizard]

Wow!  Tolt Reservoir has put us all to shame this morning.  -2 with north winds gusting to 164!  Yikes!

[snow_wizard]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

They can go either way though. Should be some dry snow at the beginning.

Very possible.  We could see something like the other day where a blob of moisture arrives while the cold air is still deep.

[skywatcher]

So it's lightly snowing again and the temperature has risen to 33.5 degrees now. Looks like the final total is 3 inches overall with this event, with maybe an inch of that coming down overnight. Otherwise, the snowfall yesterday evening really gave us the majority of that snow. 

[skywatcher]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Wow!  Tolt Reservoir has put us all to shame this morning.  -2 with north winds gusting to 164!  Yikes!

Definitely makes for a fun game of spot the outlier 

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, skywatcher said:

So it's lightly snowing again and the temperature has risen to 33.5 degrees now. Looks like the final total is 3 inches overall with this event, with maybe an inch of that coming down overnight. Otherwise, the snowfall yesterday evening really gave us the majority of that snow. 

I thought you might have gotten hit by that shower a little bit ago.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Two day totals:

Tuesday: 1.5in

Wednesday/Thursday: 3.5in

 

Not bad tbh

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Gonna be hard to snow with the sun out.

[Meatyorologist]

My place was just 5-10 miles north of the snow, kind of disappointing! But it's still really pretty outside. Frost and the remnants of Tuesday evening's snow are making things appear really wintry regardless. That and the warm lighting from the super low sun angles and a deep, jet blue sky that is only possible with an Arctic airmass.

Really happy for the people south of Seattle that got snow last night. Nice to see the areas that got screwed Tuesday be rewarded for their patience. God only knows how lucky my place has been these last few years.... Even Tuesday we were nary 3 miles within the good side of an east wind boundary that kept us as snow longer than areas just to my south. More snow is coming Friday, and then much more this winter even if that doesn't work out. Plenty to be in good spirits about.

Edited December 1, 2022 by Meatyorologist
"warm lightning." i wish!

[snow_wizard]

GFS shows another 11 inches for Seattle over the next 10 days.  If the snow amounts that model shows actually verified this place would be snowier than the UP of Michigan!

[Meatyorologist]

From my grandma in Buckley!

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

Gonna be hard to snow with the sun out.

The continental air is just arriving now.  That makes a huge difference.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

From my grandma in Buckley!

This makes up for the total screwing they get with east wind event snows.  They do well with onshore flow and north wind events.

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

This makes up for the total screwing they get with east wind event snows.  They do well with onshore flow and north wind events.

Also just a beautiful area in general.

[Meatyorologist]

Fantasy range GFS gets the memo

[skywatcher]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I thought you might have gotten hit by that shower a little bit ago.

Have been staying pretty consistently on the northwest edge of those radar returns, it hasn't been enough to give me anything more than a light snow at times throughout the morning. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

@snow_wizard

[MWG]

Well nothing happened around here last night just some very light rain here and there. Currently 37F and partly cloudy.

[gusky]

7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

My place was just 5-10 miles north of the snow, kind of disappointing! But it's still really pretty outside. Frost and the remnants of Tuesday evening's snow are making things appear really wintry regardless. That and the warm lighting from the super low sun angles and a deep, jet blue sky that is only possible with an Arctic airmass.

Really happy for the people south of Seattle that got snow last night. Nice to see the areas that got screwed Tuesday be rewarded for their patience. God only knows how lucky my place has been these last few years.... Even Tuesday we were nary 3 miles within the good side of an east wind boundary that kept us as snow longer than areas just to my south. More snow is coming Friday, and then much more this winter even if that doesn't work out. Plenty to be in good spirits about.

WOW, I'm a mile or 2 south of you and there isn't a lick of snow visible anywhere. Incredible gradients these past few days.

[snow_wizard]

The ECMWF keeps showing some flurries for some places in the Puget Sound region late tonight.  That will be some high ratio stuff.

[Meatyorologist]

RGEM has an ice storm north of the Bay Area.

[snow_wizard]

Here we go again!

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The ECMWF keeps showing some flurries for some places in the Puget Sound region late tonight.  That will be some high ratio stuff.

I don't see any precip on the ECMWF from 5 p.m. through 5 a.m.

 

[Guest administrator]

11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

From my grandma in Buckley!

That whole area is one weird microclimate built on another weird microclimate. Growing up, most snow events would have Bonney Lake and Prairie Ridge doing well but 234th and on east, you'd see the east winds eating up any of the precip and Buckley and Enumclaw would have just a dusting of snow. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Here we go again!

A couple days ago the GFS showed Seattle would have 19 inches of snow on the ground right now.    

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF still showing an impressive Hood Canal event on Friday night into Saturday morning and the extent of the snow is farther east into the Seattle area on this run.