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PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.


The Blob
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  • Longtimer

I’ve seen worse runs than the 06z GFS but it was not super cold or inspiring. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Woke up to bright moonlight shining through the window. Completely clear now and 29. Freeze #27 if we are counting such things. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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35F and foggy.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 31F (Dec 22, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 29 (Most recent: Jan 24, 2023)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 20, 2023)
  • Total snowfall: 0.25" (graupel)
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022 (graupel)
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022 (mostly graupel)
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1

 

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  • Longtimer

Breaking news. Heaven and earth move and PDX scores a rare freeze. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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I may or may not be available for the 12z GFS in 50 minutes.

It will be interesting to see if this run continues to show the possible southerly wind/event storm for Saturday. The pattern with the deep trough and axis near the coast does bare watching closely. I think we're all caught up on looking for the next cold trough and potential lowland snow chances and this possible wind event/storm may sneak up on us. We'll see.... Long range it would be nice to see a continued chilly NWLY flow or the ridge to become even more favorable yanking that bitter air in British Columbia southward over us.

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Still over forecasted but this morning we had an inch of new powder. Not quite the two inches I wanted but enough to play in (just barely).So far I'm at 1.20 for the event. I will reset the board at lunch when it is over.

IMG_20221205_071330547.jpg

IMG_20221205_075322344.jpg

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2022-2023 snowfall totals: 9.3 inches

Highest snow total (per event): 2.20 inches (12/19/22 & 12/20/22)

Most recent accumulating (non Trace) snowfall: 2.0 on 12/23/22

Days with trace or more snow: 11/1/22 (1 inch), 11/28/22 (.80), 12/01/22 (T), 12/02/22 (T), 12/4/22 (.20), 12/5/22 (1.5), 12/14/22 (1.6), 12/18/22 (T), 12/19/22 (2.10), 12/20/22 (.10), 12/23/22 (2.0), 01/03/2023 (T), 1/22/23 (T)

First freeze: 11/3/22 (yes, after the first snowfall)

Coldest low: 0F (12/21/2022)

Last sub freezing high: 12/23/22 (possibly 12/24/22)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location  (I've also had a White Christmas in 2017 when I lived in Stanwood and a White Christmas at a hotel in Moscow, ID in 2020). 

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  • Longtimer

Looks like very low snow levels Saturday morning on the GFS. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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26 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

21.2˚F.

Meanwhile SEA couldn't get below 35 😂

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2022-23 Winter:

11/29: .25" + 1" = 1.25" | 11/30: .25"

12/2: .2" + .5" = .7" | 12/3: .2" | 12/4: trace

12/18: .4" | 12/19: .2" + .8" = 1.0" | 12/20: .2 + 1.5" = 1.7

Total: 5.5"

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22 and very fine flurries/ice crystals falling.  just shovelled and blowed the driveway, front steps and sidewalk.  looks like about 1.5-2" from yesterday and last nights event.  looks like constant flurries/showers through wednesday when a stormier pattern takes over.  snow in the forecast through the foreseeable future.  I'll take it.  may start running out of places to put the snow piles though.  we live in a garden home community so very little front yard.  just a grass storm water ditch out by the street after our small yard fills up.  I've been blowing a lot of it out in the street and this years plow guy luckily understands to plow it to the other side of the street where there is not a driveway and to avoid berms when possible.  last year we got plowed in while out of town and it froze solid so high I couldn't get my car out for a month.  had to drive the wife's subaru over the berm until it got warm and softened up to shovel. I've lined up my landscapers for snow removal this year while we're on the east coast for xmas > NYE.  Hoping to avoid berms this season.

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  • Longtimer

Gotta wonder how much of this low level fog and stratus in the Willamette Valley is going to break up today. Coming down the hill the fog started around 1200'. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Looks like a pattern reset may be in order to end the month... Sets us up nicely for a January 1703 redux.

In all seriousness, it does not feel like winter ends in early December this year. Jan/Feb will offer great potential.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 4.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 2”; December 20th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

MEGA Mountain snow the next week.

Was about to say that... Might challenge some all time 72 hour snowfall records above the passes where single digit weather and constant precip will thump feet of snow with ease.

  • Snow 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 4.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 2”; December 20th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said:

oh and btw.  has SEA got their shiit together yet?  I have to fly through there tomorrow for a quick biz trip up to Vancouver on Tues/Wed

Welcome up! Wednesday is an in-office day for me if you can meet for lunch (I work in Gastown near the steam clock).

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Disappointing (and kinda hard to believe) that SEA didn't pick up anything measurable yesterday. But they still managed 4.4" this past week, not too shabby.

I live about a mile west of the airport and got measurable snow. No way SeaTac didn't as well given they are higher in elevation than me too.

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  • Longtimer

Only 34 at SLE as of 10:15am. Could they pull off a 2nd straight sub-40 high?!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
4 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

Weather observer is a job that requires very little labor or actual work, but you have to be consistent, focused, and 100% accurate. Not a task that everyone can handle. 

And on one of the maybe 5-10 days that it's actually relevant (i.e. recording snowfall), they screwed the pooch. Honestly doesn't give you a lot of faith in the entire system of climate data when a major station like that is apparently so incompetent. 

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Let’s not even talk about the weird 90s missing snow reporting…

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2022-23 Winter:

11/29: .25" + 1" = 1.25" | 11/30: .25"

12/2: .2" + .5" = .7" | 12/3: .2" | 12/4: trace

12/18: .4" | 12/19: .2" + .8" = 1.0" | 12/20: .2 + 1.5" = 1.7

Total: 5.5"

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4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

And on one of the maybe 5-10 days that it's actually relevant (i.e. recording snowfall), they screwed the pooch. Honestly doesn't give you a lot of faith in the entire system of climate data when a major station like that is apparently so incompetent. 

Yeah... The sympathetic interpretation is that they were more focused on issues related to airport operations. Recording accurate climate data is probably a secondary goal to ensuring safe take-offs and landings. 

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  • The Blob changed the title to PNW December 2022, winter might be coming; but mostly canceled.
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