Jesse Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 You remembered that one... must have made you anxious. Today was very nice. Yep. Generally, two days ago is really hard to remember for me. Crippling anxiety attacks based on offhand posts always help. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 So, if we can flip into a -NAO and maintain the Indonesian convection, this convoluted pattern should abort and transition into a 2010/11/12-ish state until sometime in August or September when the low-frequency forcing shifts into the WPAC/dateline area, and more persistent warmth is favored. So more persistent warmth as a nice change of pace after all of this persistent warmth? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 So more persistent warmth as a nice change of pace after all of this persistent warmth?Touché. Yeah, I meant persistent warmth driven by the true background system state, rather than an extratropical wavetrain in atrial fibrillation. Though there's something to be said about extratropical instabilities accelerating changes in the tropics, and visa versa. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Touché. Yeah, I meant persistent warmth driven by the true background system state, rather than an extratropical wavetrain in atrial fibrillation. Though there's something to be said about extratropical instabilities accelerating changes in the tropics, and visa versus.Well whatever it is I hope you bust horribly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 SEA ended up at +2.0 for June. There was measureable rain on only 6 out of 30 days... precip ended up just slightly below normal. BLI also had +2.0. PDX finished with +1.8 and was drier than normal. OLM was colder as usual with +1.3 Basically the entire Western US was warmer than normal for June (this is through 6/29 and will be a little warmer when yesterday is included): I wonder where the WRCC pulls their data to generate these graphics? Here in Southwest MT we had a below average month. In fact, Bozeman airport ended up at -1.6 on the month which is solidly below normal. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Well whatever it is I hope you bust horribly. My busts usually come in bunches, so you might be in luck. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 My busts usually come in bunches, so you might be in luck.That makes sense. Kind of a domino effect. It sounds like this will be a hard warm season to forecast for in general. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Yep. Generally, two days ago is really hard to remember for me. Crippling anxiety attacks based on offhand posts always help. I remembered something for 6 hours and you called me out. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 I remembered something for 6 hours and you called me out.U should make a tweet about it! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Quoting Justin from a few nights ago. Today's upper 70s were absolutely perfect. Great kayaking weather.Hilarious stuff. The misspelling was irreverence on a level reserved for such comic icons like Dorothy Voinovich and the early works of Pierre Jenkinson. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Hilarious stuff. The misspelling was irreverence on a level reserved for such comic icons like Dorothy Voinovich and the early works of Pierre Jenkinson. Mispelling is cool. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Mispelling is cool.The fact PDX is running two degrees warmer compared to 24 hours ago is not. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Mispelling is cool.Spelling ever as "evar" is a pretty common meme. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 The fact PDX is running two degrees warmer compared to 24 hours ago is not. No, it's really not. Any way you slice that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_statman Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Spelling ever as "evar" is a pretty common meme. Where? Haha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Models show a close call with the ULL in about 8 or 9 days but it just skirts by and the ridge rebounds. The GFS, GEM, and the parallel GFS all show the same basic evolution for the next 10 days. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Models show a close call with the ULL in about 8 or 9 days but it just skirts by and the ridge rebounds. The GFS, GEM, and the parallel GFS all show the same basic evolution for the next 10 days. Thank God. It'd be a tragedy if we didn't have SW flow for a week straight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Thank God. It'd be a tragedy if we didn't have SW flow for a week straight. So tragic. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Goldilocks weather for the holiday week this year. 2015 was too hot... and last year was a little too cool. This year is just right. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 0z Euro looking a little warmer, further west with things later in the week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Models show a close call with the ULL in about 8 or 9 days but it just skirts by and the ridge rebounds. The GFS, GEM, and the parallel GFS all show the same basic evolution for the next 10 days. Those same 3 models are much more aggressive on the 12Z runs with troughing later in the week. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Waiting on yesterday's data, but Shawnigan Lake looks around +1.1F.Edit. June ended up +1.3F after a very warm 30th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Wall to wall sunshine today after a low of 47. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 12Z ECMWF is way warmer for the rest of the week and through next weekend. Surface maps look hot. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 12Z ECMWF is way warmer for the rest of the week and through next weekend. Surface maps look hot.Hopefully the Euro is just showing its usual mid range bias of digging things too far offshore. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Hopefully the Euro is just showing its usual mid range bias of digging things too far offshore.Could be... its been so erratic lately. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Gonna be a warm and humid month. 2014 throwback. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Edit. June ended up +1.3F after a very warm 30th. How about YYJ? Things are off to a warmer start today in this area, nearly up to 73F, which as warm as it got yesterday. I thought yesterday was going to be the warmest day of the weekend, but there was a bit too much marine air early on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Gonna be a warm and humid month. 2014 throwback.Too soon to say yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 How about YYJ? Things are off to a warmer start today in this area, nearly up to 73F, which as warm as it got yesterday. I thought yesterday was going to be the warmest day of the weekend, but there was a bit too much marine air early on.+0.9F. Quite a bit cooler than last June there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Gonna be a warm and humid month. 2014 throwback.I might break down and buy an air conditioner. I don't mind the house being warm/ a little hot, but my wife and baby are getting whiny. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Wow just looked at the Euro, definitely a hellishly warm run. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Too soon to say yet. Of course, I did that partially to trigger Phil. But if the Euro verified, we'd be well on our way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherArchive Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 I might break down and buy an air conditioner. I don't mind the house being warm/ a little hot, but my wife and baby are getting whiny.Thanks for heating us up! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherArchive Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 No sub-80 days evar again!!!Not as long as America continues to buy and use Air Conditioning like crazy contributing to most private energy use. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherArchive Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Touché. Yeah, I meant persistent warmth driven by the true background system state, rather than an extratropical wavetrain in atrial fibrillation. Though there's something to be said about extratropical instabilities accelerating changes in the tropics, and visa versa.And don't forget the tropical torque needs to go thru the -Y axis and later reverse thrust so it will align with the +X axis thermodynamics. There's the scientific explanation of why we are having all this warmth transitioning to...............more warmth! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 +0.9F. Quite a bit cooler than last June there. Do you mean compared to June 2015? Last June was warmer than normal but not substantially more so than this June. It's too bad there aren't any long running stations with data closer to town. I've been noticing a lot more days like today where the airport ends up in a persistent cool sea breeze while areas further south end up in a warm bubble. Currently approaching 76F here while the airport is still around 67F. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Do you mean compared to June 2015? Last June was warmer than normal but not substantially more so than this June. It's too bad there aren't any long running stations with data closer to town. I've been noticing a lot more days like today where the airport ends up in a persistent cool sea breeze while areas further south end up in a warm bubble. Currently approaching 76F here while the airport is still around 67F.It did end up 1.3F cooler than 2016, obviously 2015 was even much warmer than that. Even a bit of an easterly sea breeze into Shawnigan Lake the last two days. Temp sitting around 73/ 74F. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted July 2, 2017 Author Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 Wow just looked at then Euro, definitely a hellishly warm run. I read that Hell's climate is moving further north. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 2, 2017 Report Share Posted July 2, 2017 And don't forget the tropical torque needs to go thru the -Y axis and later reverse thrust so it will align with the +X axis thermodynamics. There's the scientific explanation of why we are having all this warmth transitioning to...............more warmth!If there's not, then we're all in big trouble. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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