james1976 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 27 minutes ago, BMT said: Seems like some of the latest short term models bring some hope a bit further south. would be nice to have some sort of frozen precip. I'm riding the line Wow the HRRR looks nice Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Few of the short term models show a lot of ice around Waterloo. Wonder if that could really take place? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Wow Thunder ice/snow showing up! IMG_2193.MOV 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Apparently OMX issues WWA for just rain at KOMA?>?> What am I missing? 1 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 12 minutes ago, gabel23 said: Wow Thunder ice/snow showing up! IMG_2193.MOV 385.05 kB · 1 download Thats a good sign. I think this system will have some dynamics. Nice to see it maturing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 18z HRRR really drops some big snow totals. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 With the updated forecast it still looks like it will be too warm in most areas to see much in the way of snow accumulations over the next week or so. The when it gets colder it becomes dry. So will there be a White Christmas? Too soon to tell. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 16 minutes ago, westMJim said: With the updated forecast it still looks like it will be too warm in most areas to see much in the way of snow accumulations over the next week or so. The when it gets colder it becomes dry. So will there be a White Christmas? Too soon to tell. @Tom thinks we'll get something, tho the pattern has not shown that to date. Big wound-up N Plains storms followed by CAD or limp systems. Until Feb?? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 8, 2022 Report Share Posted December 8, 2022 Upgraded to a warning in north central IA but it's a bit NW of me. They lowered totals for my area down to 1-4". 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 Ended up with a whopping .10” of rain. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 28 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Ended up with a whopping .10” of rain. Kind of a bust here with rainfall. Models showed .25 to a half inch of rain and I got a trace. 3 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 50 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Ended up with a whopping .10” of rain. Your weather station is way better than mine. I know we have had precip after the slip and fall I had tonight taking out the garbage, but nothing recorded. I'm guessing we aren't to far off your total though 80 miles to the west. Ice sucks. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 It was supposed to only get down to 33 tonight in Waterloo, it is currently 28. Should help with ratios a bit. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 Well, we sent a 2 truck plow crew to do some plowing in nw Iowa, north west of Fort Dodge. They tell me repeated lightning and thundersnow! Here its 38F and a few showers. 6 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 Holy crap!! 3”/hr snowfall rates in Sioux Falls!! 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Holy crap!! 3”/hr snowfall rates in Sioux Falls!! Was just gonna post this- beat me to it. But snow increasing rapidly remark of 3" an hour is impressive. Data at: 0304 UTC 09 Dec 2022 KFSD 090256Z 09009KT 1/2SM SN FG VV005 01/M01 A3010 RMK AO2 SLP213 SNINCR 3/5 P0019 60050 I3002 T00111011 58013 RVRNO 4 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 41 minutes ago, gabel23 said: Your weather station is way better than mine. I know we have had precip after the slip and fall I had tonight taking out the garbage, but nothing recorded. I'm guessing we aren't to far off your total though 80 miles to the west. Ice sucks. Luckily we’ve been all rain/sleet here. Right when the convective showers started to form I had one pass over our house and drop some heavy sleet and ice pellets for a couple minutes. Here’s the tail end of the heavy rates IMG_4116.MOV 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 Snow is knocking on my doorstep. Looks heavy on radar. Hoping for some thundersnow! DMX bumped me back up to 2-4" 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 6 hours ago, gabel23 said: Wow Thunder ice/snow showing up! IMG_2193.MOV 385.05 kB · 1 download Now this!!! Things are over performing with this system for sure! Although we only experienced freezing drizzle/fog/rain all day here; I'm hopeful this is a sign of surprising storms to come! https://twitter.com/weather_buffalo/status/1601055930447056897?s=20&t=Q3cOlC6Rprj9mQzKfLRXDQ 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 18 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Wife is reporting thundersnow with very loud thunder cracking overhead and heavy snow. I am SO FREAKING JEALOUS it's hard to contain it. Always wanted to experience thundersnow. Ugh! I’ve experienced it once in this crazy Texas idea of snow! It’s downright freaky. The sky was dark, snowing like crazy then it would thunder periodically. So, incongruent. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 Literally just started rain/sleet mix here. I really hope I don't deal with mixing all night. Hope it changes to snow soon. I'm at 32° Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 Big ole fatties falling down in Sioux Falls! Sorry you missed out @hawkstwelve https://twitter.com/shawncable/status/1601036279596331008?s=20&t=Eymp02j6EZxfketC0fS4ng Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Security camera caught one of the cracks as my family was shoveling the driveway. All that snow has fallen since around 4PM central. It was so unexpected and loud they ran inside almost immediately. I. Cannot. Believe. I. Missed. This. VID_20221208_193619.mp4 That's amazing and so sad all in one reply!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 Sorry you are missing out on that @hawkstwelve! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 29 minutes ago, james1976 said: Snow is knocking on my doorstep. Looks heavy on radar. Hoping for some thundersnow! DMX bumped me back up to 2-4" Are you back in Iowa right now? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bellona said: Are you back in Iowa right now? Yeah for the weekend. 32 and raining right now. Hope it changes over soon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 Radar is really filling in across IA. Sucks that there isn't more cold air. Great dynamics with this system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, james1976 said: Radar is really filling in across IA. Sucks that there isn't more cold air. Great dynamics with this system. Sitting at 32 and rain here as well. Was 28 earlier... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 The latest HRRR has really dropped totals in the warning area around Mason City. Now it's bulls-eyeing far northeast Iowa near Decorah with 10". Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 Temp has risen to 34 now lol. What a waste. Was raining hard at 32....now it looks like a bit more sleet mixed in....even though the temp has risen. Thermals are a mess with this thing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted December 9, 2022 Author Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 8 hours ago, hawkstwelve said: Security camera caught one of the cracks as my family was shoveling the driveway. All that snow has fallen since around 4PM central. It was so unexpected and loud they ran inside almost immediately. I. Cannot. Believe. I. Missed. This. VID_20221208_193619.mp4 I literally just saw this clip on The Weather Channel! So freakin' cool... 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 An inch or less will do it here for my area. Snowshowers will develop late today and end by midnite. That should put a lot of people in the Christmas mood.. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 0.64" of rain here. 4 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 Yet another system that "underperformed" here... storm rainfall total of 0.09" with no icing/ no snow at all. The drought and this lousy pattern wins again. 1 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 7 minutes ago, Bryan1117 said: Yet another system that "underperformed" here... storm rainfall total of 0.09" with no icing/ no snow at all. The drought and this lousy pattern wins again. I think we ended up with .01". Of course that was freezing drizzle. Have to hope the storm next week brings some moisture. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 Haven't been out yet but eyeballing about an inch here. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 There's a 12" report in NW Iowa. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 22 minutes ago, bud2380 said: There's a 12" report in NW Iowa. Woah! That made for a nice little surprise 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 There are a lot of 7-9" reports in the Sioux Falls area. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted December 9, 2022 Report Share Posted December 9, 2022 At least one corner of The Mitt "eked out" a headline. Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 104 PM EST Fri Dec 9 2022 MIZ056-057-064>066-071>073-100015- Ottawa-Kent-Allegan-Barry-Eaton-Van Buren-Kalamazoo-Calhoun- Including the cities of Grand Haven, Jenison, Grand Rapids, Holland, Hastings, Charlotte, South Haven, Kalamazoo, and Battle Creek 104 PM EST Fri Dec 9 2022 ...SNOW MAY CAUSE SLIPPERY TRAVEL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... Snow will continue to progress into the southwest corner of Lower Michigan this afternoon and evening. The snow will overspread areas near and south of Holland, Grand Rapids, Hastings and Eaton Rapids by the evening commute. This includes I-96 especially west of Ionia, I-94 especially west of Albion and I-196 west and south of Grand Rapids. Snow will limit visibilities to below a half mile at times and snow rates will be such that roads may become snow covered and slippery as well. After dark this evening, roads may develop some icy spots where snow has fallen due to temperatures trending below the freezing mark. If traveling across the southwest corner of Lower Michigan this afternoon and evening be prepared to encounter snow covered and potentially slick roads. You will need to allow some extra time to reach your destination as conditions may dictate that you need to slow down. $$ 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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