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When will SEA and PDX see next measurable rainfall?


When will SEA or PDX see next measurable rainfall?  

14 members have voted

  1. 1. Pick date range when one or both stations will see .01" or more

    • 7/30-8/4
      0
    • 8/5-8/10
      5
    • 8/11-8/16
      3
    • 8/17 or later
      6


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The longest such streak at PDX is 71 days in 1967 (JUN 23 – SEP  1).

 

For SEA, it's 51 days from 1951 (July 7-Aug. 26).

 

This means that PDX needs to stay dry until August 27 to break the record, and SEA needs to avoid rain through August 8.

 

 

FWIW... the 12Z ECMWF does not show even a remote chance of rain for SEA or PDX through August 4th.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The longest such streak at PDX is 71 days in 1967 (JUN 23 – SEP 1).

 

For SEA, it's 51 days from 1951 (July 7-Aug. 26).

 

This means that PDX needs to stay dry until August 27 to break the record, and SEA needs to avoid rain through August 8.

SEA choked hard in 1967.

 

They probably have a record in the bag though. Next trough should be mid August. Scattered convection the first part of the month but no measurable rain.

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SEA choked hard in 1967.

 

They probably have a record in the bag though. Next trough should be mid August. Scattered convection the first part of the month but no measurable rain.

 

Very unusual for SEA to start such a streak in mid June. Definitely gives them a theoretical leg up this time.

A forum for the end of the world.

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Yeah I think SEA gets their record, PDX is gonna have to overachieve! 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I'll make a wild guess and say between 08/05 > 08/10, and as a result of thunderstorms. The west sides have been due for something other than boring weather I would think. 

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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You and me both. I was first, though. ;)

Your long range forecasting prowess is just too much for me to handle. :(

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Indeed. :angry:

 

Your vote came pretty late, too...but at least it was before it actually rained. :lol:

Lol, I voted the same day you made this thing.

 

Share the wealth, man.

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No one wants to join me in the 8/11-8/16 slot, eh? The conspiracy theorists will have a field day if the poll starter is the only one correct.

 

 

Lol, I voted the same day you made this thing.

 

Share the wealth, man.

 

Just for accuracy sake...I was the only one with 8/11-8/16 well after the poll was made, as the post above shows.

A forum for the end of the world.

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Just for accuracy sake...I was the only one with 8/11-8/16 well after the poll was made, as the post above shows.

In that case, I voted right when I first saw it. Which was sometime in July.

 

Whatever, man. Enjoy the glory while you can, because your cool September forecast is in huge trouble. ;)

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In that case, I voted right when I first saw it. Which was sometime in July.

 

Whatever, man. Enjoy the glory while you can, because your cool September forecast is in huge trouble. ;)

 

I know you're lying about when you voted. Doesn't matter much to me, but it does say something about your character and desperation to "win" something.  :rolleyes:

 

For the record, the last forecast I made for September was +.5 to -1 for the western lowland stations.

A forum for the end of the world.

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I know you're lying about when you voted. Doesn't matter much to me, but it does say something about your character and desperation to "win" something. :rolleyes:

 

For the record, the last forecast I made for September was +.5 to -1 for the western lowland stations.

No, your memory just sucks.

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I don't have to rely on my memory for this one.

 

At least your lies are smaller than they used to be. ;)

Well, if you're not utilizing your memory, that might explain your problem(s) here.

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No one wants to join me in the 8/11-8/16 slot, eh? The conspiracy theorists will have a field day if the poll starter is the only one correct.

But Phil voted early right?

Bend, OR

Elevation: 3550'

 

Snow History:

Nov: 1"

Dec: .5"

Jan: 1.9"

Feb: 12.7"

Mar: 1.0"

Total: 17.1"

 

2016/2017: 70"

2015/2016: 34"

Average: ~25"

 

2017/2018 Winter Temps

Lowest Min: 1F on 2/23

Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22

Lows <32: 87

Highs <32: 13

 

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I'm sorry dude, but you're wrong on this one. I made this post in late July. Why would I go through the effort to write this relatively detailed prediction, only to avoid voting? Does that sound like something I would do? I'm always sticking my neck out there, and you know it. I never shy away from these contests.

 

Sometime in mid/late August when the MJO cycles out of the EPAC, into the ATL/IO.

So please, stop with the falsehoods, whether intentional or not.

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