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12/12 - 12/16 Upper MW Blizzard


Tom

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ORD reported 0.4" of Snow yesterday...this has been a memorable Blizzard for many folks in the Upper MW.  I can't imagine what those folks are going through.

These are some very impressive snow fall totals over the last 2-3 days....#BuildTheGlacier

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expecting 3-6" through tomorrow night.  Maybe more if the ingredients really come together for this.  The LP is slowly moving north of my area which, given the moisture, should really start up the lake effect with favorable winds for my area later today and tonight.  Thermals aren't the greatest, but plenty cold enough for some big flakes starting around noon today.  

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2 hours ago, Tom said:

@james1976, you were the SLP magnet yesterday as the powerful ULL continues to sit and spin right over your area.  Quite fascinating how this storm has developed and taken over the entire eastern CONUS.

994mb SLP sitting right over the top of you!

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Yeah I noticed the radar yesterday it looked like the center was very close to me. Almost looked like a hurricane eye on radar! Very impressive. I haven't checked any updates yet but right now it's mostly clear. Looks like a couple inches of snow since the main event early yesterday.  We have to have atleast 6" if not more. Temp is down to 25.

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Brookings SD... 5-6 inches from this storm, a couple inches of previous snowcover. Enough to enjoy the Christmas season. All of SD, ND, and MN seem to have snowcover now. Wish I had gotten a foot or two but that was never forecast anyways, plus snow that falls in the coteau des prairies doesn't really like to melt most winters until March, so we get stuck with any snow that falls for quite awhile. 

 

The Keloland webcams seem to be working again. "Deadwood 3" provides a nice view.

https://www.keloland.com/weather/live-cameras/

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Sneak attacked by 0.4" this afternoon/evening. Looks and feels like winter suddenly. Even a light coating on roads. (now back to looking at other areas that got 100X my total)

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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13 hours ago, tStacsh said:

expecting 3-6" through tomorrow night.  Maybe more if the ingredients really come together for this.  The LP is slowly moving north of my area which, given the moisture, should really start up the lake effect with favorable winds for my area later today and tonight.  Thermals aren't the greatest, but plenty cold enough for some big flakes starting around noon today.  

How's that going for you? Radar showing waves and waves of decent looking bands sweeping ashore over N Kent

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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4 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

How's that going for you? Radar showing waves and waves of decent looking bands sweeping ashore over N Kent

Not complaining.  Radar is more impressive than snowfall.  Off and on snow I’d say up to 2.5 inches since 5 o’clock.  Big flakes now.   I’ll end up in the 5-6” range no doubt.   Temp dropped to 30 and the roads iced up quick. 

DFD8DFE6-3CDC-4C52-9DA1-C7C1DE3A6BB7.jpeg

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11 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

DAD5F6A1-22A8-4066-9DF0-52A616241A8F.jpeg

662CC743-DF17-4137-87E6-72EB14490057.png

Not even in '78 huh? Then he likely wasn't in one of the harder hit areas:

Marion Ohio

2068591337_Blizof78-MansfieldOH.jpg.fd6cb8665639000c6ab400746e083d8e.jpg

When I lived in S. Bend they had a 20th anniversary news clip in '98. Caught a glimpse of actual newsreel footage of semis stranded on the 80/90 Toll Road. There were no trucks, just huge mounds of snow under which semis were buried beyond visibility. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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13 minutes ago, Stacsh said:

Not complaining.  Radar is more impressive than snowfall.  Off and on snow I’d say up to 2.5 inches since 5 o’clock.  Big flakes now.   I’ll end up in the 5-6” range no doubt.   Temp dropped to 30 and the roads iced up quick. 

DFD8DFE6-3CDC-4C52-9DA1-C7C1DE3A6BB7.jpeg

IF anything close to the Euro 12z bomb were to take a favorable path, the LES on the backside could be epic. Kuchera maps are always overdone, but showing 30-40" over much of WMI

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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5 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

IF anything close to the Euro 12z bomb were to take a favorable path, the LES on the backside could be epic. Kuchera maps are always overdone, but showing 30-40" over much of WMI

I think Muskegon once got like 50” of snow.  78 blizzard? backside Les ?

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11 minutes ago, Stacsh said:

I think Muskegon once got like 50” of snow.  78 blizzard? backside Les ?

I've heard that number but never found any hard data on it. The highest "new snowfall" amounts I am aware of with the MOAB storm is 40". My hunch is there was some confusion between total snowfall and snow depth. A 50 or even 52" depth would make sense since Kzoo hit 41" all-time depth after a day or two of the follow-on LES fell (1/28 or 29th)

Hey, got my 2nd winter headline of the season:

Special Weather Statement


Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
841 PM EST Fri Dec 16 2022

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-170345-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Lapeer-St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-
Including the cities of Midland, Bay City, Bad Axe, Saginaw,
Caro, Sandusky, Owosso, Flint, Lapeer, Port Huron, Howell,
Pontiac, Warren, Ann Arbor, and Detroit
841 PM EST Fri Dec 16 2022

...CAUTIOUS TRAVEL IS ADVISED FOR VISIBILITY REDUCTION AND
SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS THIS EVENING...


WEATHER...

 * Snow showers will impact much of southeast Michigan along and
   north of I-94 over the next 2-3 hours this evening as
   temperatures fall to freezing and below.


IMPACTS...

 * Short periods of moderate snowfall may result in visibility
   reduction to 1 mile or less. Cooling surface temperatures will
   also allow for minor accumulations on roadways, especially on
   untreated roadways.

 * With temperatures falling below freezing tonight, many areas
   could see slippery/icy conditions where snow has accumulated on
   roadways or where roadways are wet. The most vulnerable
   roadways will be bridges, exit ramps, and overpasses.

&&

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 * The combination of moderate snow, reduced visibility, and
   falling temperatures will cause variable traffic rates
   throughout the area. Motorists are urged to use caution and
   account for the variable conditions by allowing extra time and
   leaving plenty of space between vehicles while driving.

 * Prepare, plan and stay informed. Visit http://go.usa.gov/c7kkP

$$
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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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14 minutes ago, Tom said:

Interestingly, ORD picked up another day of snowfall yesterday with an official reading of 1.3".  Pretty awesome to see this storm system STILL delivering White Gold for some on here.

 

This thing is wrapping some flurries and snow showers all the down to my house this morning.  Beasty storm!

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16 minutes ago, Clinton said:

This thing is wrapping some flurries and snow showers all the down to my house this morning.  Beasty storm!

Classic Mid latitude cyclone!

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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2 hours ago, Stacsh said:

That was an eyeball measurement  Currently 7” accumulation thus far.  Ratios did well overnight.   

Up to 8.5”.  Just keeps going.  They underestimated the lake effect bands.  May end up with a foot.  SW flow is perfect for my location.  

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37 minutes ago, Stacsh said:

Up to 8.5”.  Just keeps going.  They underestimated the lake effect bands.  May end up with a foot.  SW flow is perfect for my location.  

Doing well over here too. I don't have a good spot to measure though

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2 hours ago, Stacsh said:

This should have been a winter storm warning.  An advisory  ?   Nearing 10+ inches 

 

1 hour ago, westMJim said:

I am now up to 10.5" in my yard

Lookong at the radar, snow is picking up in intensity again too

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2 hours ago, Stacsh said:

We’ve got 11” in less than 24 hours.   Easy WSW.  

..but GRR. 12 in 24 (high probs) kinda their rule of thumb not to mention they absolutely hate upgrades. Had they not ditched the LES Warning headlines, you likely would've gotten that. 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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11 minutes ago, Stacsh said:

Is this real life?   Amazing this is still going 6C633A6F-5132-46E6-8487-E8CB829F02CD.thumb.gif.0c1cc0f686ff66396cbd5f52f95c998c.gif

Aviation update about 7 pm says improving conditions after midnight, but 12k NAM keeps SHSN going well into the daytime tomorrow. NAM not showing too much accums, but the warm lake paying big dividends again for yby. 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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1 hour ago, jaster220 said:

Aviation update about 7 pm says improving conditions after midnight, but 12k NAM keeps SHSN going well into the daytime tomorrow. NAM not showing too much accums, but the warm lake paying big dividends again for yby. 

Definitely over performed FB6D343B-809E-4512-A1FD-7763CDF0F69E.thumb.jpeg.23337deb6dccb33452568080a5c15376.jpeg65AD6FDE-281A-4A08-ACDB-98FF37A11616.thumb.jpeg.261df5731ab6ebbc30cd6a49d4bfb7f2.jpeg

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