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Considering your local terrain


Black Hole

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I thought this might be a new and fun topic idea. I want to do two things with this.

1.) As the local or regional terrain around your area exists now, how does it affect your weather to create your location climatology on a daily basis, or for extreme events?

2.) If you could modify aspects of the terrain, how would you do it to make the weather more or less interesting?

You can make this really local if you want, or can talk about terrain a few hundred miles away if it matters. I will have more to say on this later, but as an example to get things going:

There is a small set of mountains to my SW called the Oquirrh mtns. These mountains greatly increase the number of summer thunderstorms in my area and cause a lot of shadowing in the winter time to reduce precipitation. If the height of the mountains were increased these effects would likely be even more dramatic. My location is far enough north that they usually do not affect my precipitation nearly as much as they do in SLC, which is part of why I am wetter than SLC in winter but get less t-storms in summer. 

If I could modify anything I would add a single mountain further north from the main chain so I would still see minimal shadowing, but would probably see more thunderstorms in summer.

 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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The Appalachians to our west insulate us from extreme lows during Arctic blasts due to downsloping/adiabatic warming and the increased wind speeds under the resultant deepening of the mixing layer. They're also responsible for the powerful W/NW windstorms during winter/spring for the same reason. Also they elevate our summer temperatures by several degrees, also for the same reason.

 

So, if I could, I would either bulldoze them or build a big ridgeline right along the I-95 corridor. :P

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Another interesting one. In the past the Great Salt Lake was huge (Lake Bonneville). I suspect that in the past this large lake likely lead to some unbelievable lake effect snow. As it is now, the lake is much smaller so LES tends to be weaker and mostly occurs NW to SE since that is along the lake axis.

Also interesting, the smaller the lake size the more rapid the temperature swings. The size it is at now gives two LES peaks in late autumn and again in early spring. If the lake were larger it would only have one peak like the Great Lakes do. 

 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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  • 3 weeks later...

Very interesting topic.  I will post my wish list within the next couple of days.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I'd make the Strait of Georgia/Salish Sea dry land with an elevation of 3000', raise the base elevation here in North Vancouver to 3000', and make the surrounding 100-250km2 mostly flat to encourage thunderstorm development (if the two previous changes don't do that already).

 

Maybe something like this:

J 27/18 4.5"

F 35/26 4.2"

M 41/30 4.1"

A 53/40 3.0"

M 61/45 3.6"

J 67/51 3.9"

J 73/52 2.1"

A 73/52 2.5"

S 62/43 2.9"

O 50/37 3.8"

N 38/27 5.9"

D 26/18 5.3"

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1.) As the local or regional terrain around your area exists now, how does it affect your weather to create your location climatology on a daily basis, or for extreme events?

2.) If you could modify aspects of the terrain, how would you do it to make the weather more or less interesting?

 

On the first point/question. Being on a top of a 500 foot hill west of Lake Washington, my location catches a bit more weather especially when it comes to precip and wind. There's always a little extra rain in the gauge then locations lower in elevation and there is definitely more snow in the winter (that I saw with my first winter here). The snow sticks around longer at my location to compared to spots only a 100-200 feet lower. Noticed that there is more of a breeze around my neighborhood on most days, which is nice when it's hot out. 

 

On the second point/question. It would be nice to be higher in elevation (like 1500-2000 ft) with the mountains being closer. It would be interesting if the area could be in a deep valley that goes back into the mountains so cold air could hang on longer in the winter in order to get more snow (kind of like Skykomish, Index is).

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Mercer Island, 350 ft

2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21

2020-2021: 15.6"

2019-2020: ~10"

2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5"

2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0"

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1) My immediate area is sheltered from offshore winds by a low ridge to the NE and about 5-10 miles east a higher ridge of hills/mountains. This means even though I am at 1600' I am affected by inversions, and get pretty good radiational cooling. In overrunning events though I mix out very quickly due to no offshore flow. Why Detroit, OR at the same elevation and about 25 miles SE of me gets a lot more snow. The low line of hills that stretch out toward Salem (Waldo Hills) kind of train precip toward my location. So I get a bit more precip due to that, especially with W or SW flow. 

 

2) Probably would make the ridge to the North a bit higher for better orographics, and maybe mountains to the south to block the warm tongue. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2) I would bulldoze the Rockies and Cascades, and add the material to the Coast Range.

Bulldozing the Rockies would give me a Mediterranean climate, so no thanks. :P

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Bulldozing the Rockies would give me a Mediterranean climate, so no thanks. :P

No, I don't think so. Remember I'm using all that material to build up the Coast Range, so N. America will be even more cut off from the Pacific. You would most likely transition to colder and drier winters...something like Beijing.

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2) I would bulldoze the Rockies and Cascades, and add the material to the Coast Range. 

 

Aargh, my house!!

Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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  • 4 weeks later...

I'd make the hills west of Stayton/Aumsville a little bit lower to allow more rain. Same goes for the coast range. 

   

     Often unless it's SW flow rain where it's equal everywhere Pacific Fronts often get hung up over the 600ft hills just west of here and we get clearingwith the sun peaking thru while around us has showers.  Just past Mcclay usually.

     There has been lots of times I've seen it dark towards Salem and then it breaks up as it reaches here and equally when I drive over the big hill it will be raining on the top and dry on either side. 

     I once had a HUGE rain event in the fall a few years ago in Stayton where it was so dark signs turned on and the windscreen wipers failed to keep up with the torrents of rain yet just a mile out of Stayton I got into sunshine and could see the REALLY dark pitch black cloud hung over there.

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How would it do that? Aren't you like 500 miles away from them as the crow flies? I don't think raising or lowering them would alter your climate one bit. Now the Ozarks and Appalachians seem more to steering your weather.

The Rockies produce that big lee trough over the central portion of North America. Mass/momentum is conserved as the westerlies ride over the Rockies, and mechanically exchange w/ the Earth's crust/rotation rate.

 

The Pleistocene ice ages would probably never have occurred without the Rocky Mountains, or would be significantly weakened, because the Laurentide Ice Sheet would be much smaller.

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so without them you'd have a semi permanent Bermuda high keeping you pretty much warm?

More like zonal flow or a sprawling area of high pressure depending on the season. The descending branch of the Atlantic Hadley Cell would certainly exert more influence, leading to a drier climate.

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  • 3 weeks later...

What about temps. If you were drier would you be more or less extreme?

Probably cooler/drier in the summer, which would actually be quite nice. Winter would be much warmer, though.

 

In the end, though, what matters here during the winter is storm track/jet dynamics, rather than antecedent temperatures. We can easily score snow in the middle of a blowtorch pattern so long as a mature storm tracks ~ 100 miles to our south.

 

Unfortunately, that requires a very precise timing with regards to jet phasing...if the jets phase too quickly, the storm will cut to our west and we'll get warm-sectored. If they phase too late, the storm is sheared into oblivion and I'm left smoking cirrus, which is worse than a cutter IMO since I hate cold/dry winters more than warm/wet ones.

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Probably cooler/drier in the summer, which would actually be quite nice. Winter would be much warmer, though.

 

In the end, though, what matters here during the winter is storm track/jet dynamics, rather than antecedent temperatures. We can easily score snow in the middle of a blowtorch pattern so long as a mature storm tracks ~ 100 miles to our south.

 

Unfortunately, that requires a very precise timing with regards to jet phasing...if the jets phase too quickly, the storm will cut to our west and we'll get warm-sectored. If they phase too late, the storm is sheared into oblivion and I'm left smoking cirrus, which is worse than a cutter IMO since I hate cold/dry winters more than warm/wet ones.

Why do you hate them? Aren't cold and dry winters usually more sunny where warm and wet ones have a lot more dreary days with low ceiling and little VFR?

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Why do you hate them? Aren't cold and dry winters usually more sunny where warm and wet ones have a lot more dreary days with low ceiling and little VFR?

I enjoy cloudy, stormy winters with lots of precipitation and frontal action. Extreme cold isn't exactly my favorite kind of winter weather, as it makes it very difficult to enjoy the outdoors. Plus when it get really cold here, it's always super-windy, which makes it worse.

 

If it's raining or snowing, I can throw on a hoodie and go for a nice jog without issue. Subzero windchills are harder on my lungs than the summer smog.

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