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PNW December 2022 - Part II


Guest hawkstwelve

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46 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said:

Even with the long dry period this summer and fall, SEA looks to end the year just barely wetter than the yearly average. They will also likely end December wetter than average. They are still short on the water year but will be close to being above average after next week. Was surprised with how dry it has been in general in the northwest this year. NW Washington has been spared for the most part when it comes to lack of precip. 

This is why averages don't always make me feel good except for just data. 

Our forests don't necessarily care if the average precipitation was good because we had a really wet spring and somewhat wet winter with a really dry summer and fall. Our plants aren't acclimated to big bursts of water and then long droughts the way they are in other parts of the country. When it rains matters. Smaller bits of precipitation over more days vs a huge bit of precipitation in a short period of time and then dry weather (looking at you, June), may end up looking similar in the data but has a world of difference for flora and fauna.

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1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Like Tyler said, if this had been the system coming Into the cold some areas would of had a once in a generation ice storm. We really got lucky. 

In my area... it seems like we went right up to the edge of disaster and then it warmed up just above freezing.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-2444800.png

Looking good in the Cascades. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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SLE is bouncing around. 

No description available.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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6F604E44-25EF-4185-95C2-3C07E0B6A395.jpeg

19F with freezing drizzle here. Pretty shallow cold layer. Up from 14F at 8am and 7F yesterday evening. Will probably touch freezing overnight tonight and be plain jane rain by tomorrow morning.

Until then, a total winter wonderland remains.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Weather will be pleasant up there with temps around 30 during afternoon and 20-25 at night. Would of been neat to be up there during the cold spell but it looks like it will be a very snowy week up there at that is hard to do during this period for the most part. I go up there every year after Christmas and it normally is dry. Even up there we might have 24 hrs or so will wet snow or mix. 3500 ft though so that should be right on the line for the warmest period Monday and Tuesday.  Or the arctic air will just hang around, very hard to remove it up there once it is entrenched. 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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It so cool seeing the contrast between the low level stratus and the eroding Arctic cold pool, and the very AR-like warm mid and high level clouds drifting in aloft from the SW. Also the advection fog in the lower 1000' as moisture mixes down into this cold air. Lots of meteorology going on.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Large batch of precip coming in from the west on the Spokane KOTX radar. Correlation coefficients suggest some snow making it to the surface in the heaver blobs due to wet bulb cooling.

Otherwise, a pretty impactful freezing rain event may be underway this afternoon into overnight. Just in time for my family's Christmas Eve party. 🤦‍♂️

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Cabin is in the pepto. 

Yellow dot is the area.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_snow_kuchera-2444800.thumb.png.4df82fb79b4aced9b0d2b6af5bc5c992.png

Looks like you're just south of Greenwood, BC. We used to go up that way every year on the way to Christina Lake to visit my grandparents. I remember the smaller pass near Greenwood having a surprising amount of snow in the winter considering how dry some of the surrounding areas were.

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

SEA up to 52 now.

That is going to be an absolute shock to the system... From being in 1F weather to 52F weather in a span of 72 hours 😵

Some Denver-type swings

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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9 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

0.70” so far today…wettest day in over a month. 3.95” MTD. 

0.18" here today and 1.65" on the month. Even with the upcoming wet week I'm going to have a hard time getting to average rainfall here (~4.5-5") for the month. Although to be fair I may have lost 0.1 or 0.2" due to snow blowing around out of my rain gauge.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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I can only imagine the Gorge is an absolute mess-- mid 20s there. 32 over here and raining.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Just now, Skagit Weather said:

0.18" here today and 1.65" on the month. Even with the upcoming wet week I'm going to have a hard time getting to average rainfall here (~4.5-5") for the month. Although to be fair I may have lost 0.1 or 0.2" due to snow blowing around out of my rain gauge.

We will probably hit or get close to average here. Will probably be the biggest rainmakers of the season so far in the next few days hasn’t been much in terms of big rains. 

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All in all I'm betting on the next two weeks being chillier than progged with the exception of the next few days.  Just the way things have gone this season.  It keeps finding ways to get cold since late October.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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