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PNW December 2022 - Part II


Guest hawkstwelve

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14 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

There’s a decent chance that the best this winter has to offer is already behind us. 

For up here that's almost a sure bet in terms of cold and snow. Down there they'll probably have shots at better snowfall than they got in the last blast, but we've most likely seen the coldest airmass of the winter in the PNW.

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1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

There’s a decent chance that the best this winter has to offer is already behind us. 

Based on what just happened, the date and the establishment of what looks to be a potentially stable AL pattern, that seems like an easy call. 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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37 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Based on what just happened, the date and the establishment of what looks to be a potentially stable AL pattern, that seems like an easy call. 

So it's onto Nino 2023-24 then?

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Very wet for California. 

gfs_apcpn_wus_64.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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0.18" of rain overnight. Currently light rain and 37. 51/38 yesterday. Probably the last of the 50s for a while. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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So I see that not only was the wind cancelled last night, but also the rest of the winter and possibly the next few winters. Wow. Okay well I guess this is it. Have a great summer everyone! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

So I see that not only was the wind cancelled last night, but also the rest of the winter and possibly the next few winters. Wow. Okay well I guess this is it. Have a great summer everyone! 

I expect to see pics of you out on the lake in the next month or two. For the record as #1 weenie I feel like some of the winter cancel posts last night are threatening my crown. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 hours ago, NWbyNW said:

Power Outage Updates

Oregon

PGE Outage numbers have dropped again, from 65k to 52,800!  It keeps shrinking.  The majority of the populace without power is still centrally around Portland and the suburbs directly east and west of the city.

Statewide, Oregon is around 90,000 without power.  The majority of outages outside of the Portland metro counties are Clatsop, Tillamook, Linn, Coos, and Josephine Counties.

Washington

PSE outages are also dipping, now down to 16,500.  A large swath or area around Snoqualmie is out, including a large area around Yelm.  The northern area of Vashon Island is seeing outages and the isolated island of Guemes Island is also seeing an outage.  Hopefully that one gets fixed for the residents of this remote dot. 

Statewide, Washington has 27,000 without power, and the number is dropping.   Pierce County and Thurston County have fixed a majority of their outages.  The majority are in King County and Clark County now. Skagit County is now reporting some outages as well, but under a 1,000. 

British Columbia has outages mostly on Vancouver Island, but thankfully, the population mostly doesn't live facing the open waters of the Pacific.  Most of the outages are around Victoria, west of Victoria, and a smaller number in Vancouver's metro. At least for the outages around Vancouver, BC Hydro expects power to be back by 4:30am. It is also highly possible Port Renfrew is without power, but BC Hydro isn't certain. 

California has roughly 14,000 without power in Northern California and this number has remained constant all day.  It might be related to the earthquake that shook Humbolt County earlier last week.  Shocking if they still haven't got power working for most yet.  

Love these posts, alongside the fire tracking during the dry season. Great stuff

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Huh… 

E5EDDDD7-5E15-466C-8F60-CBCC284C57B6.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Very wet across the PHX metro and much of AZ today.

Here's a live cam from Flagstaff...looks incredible!

 

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Home Weather Station Stats for 2023

High - Satans Bunghole

Lowest High - Not sure

Low - I don't have the data

Sub 40 highs - Not quite

Sub-freezing highs - Try again

Lows below 25 - You're joking

Lows below 20 - No

2023 Snowfall - LOL

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17 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Very wet across the PHX metro and much of AZ today.

Here's a live cam from Flagstaff...looks incredible!

 

Still just slushy rain in Santa Fe but that should change this evening after the cold front hits.

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/newmexico/santafe/?cam=santafe

It's called clown range for a reason.

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Well that was quite a storm. Most south wind I have ever had. My power was out all day. I took a drive into town and many roads were out including 84. When I got home a found that my grandson's trampoline flew over the fence without even damaging the fence but the trampoline is toast. Fortunately no one lives behind me, only woods.

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Got shadow'd pretty good here due to the westerly nature of the winds. Still waiting on the next big one!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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GFS continues to look seasonably cool and active for the indefinite future. Mountain snow and windstorm chances.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Just now, Meatyorologist said:

GFS continues to look seasonably cool and active for the indefinite future. Mountain snow and windstorm chances.

As long as we don’t hit the split flow hell stage I am happy. Hopefully we will still see something big in late January/February. The forecasted SSW will certainly help that timeframe if it comes to be. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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30 minutes ago, MossMan said:

As long as we don’t hit the split flow hell stage I am happy. Hopefully we will still see something big in late January/February. The forecasted SSW will certainly help that timeframe if it comes to be. 

Split flow hell feels pretty unlikely going forward 

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If I had to rate this winter so far..it would probably get a B. That’s if it ended today and we had warm split flow until March. I’ve really enjoyed the fact we’ve hit average snowfall and had a really nice cold blast already. Not super wet…and no real signature windstorm just a couple modest ones but since early November it’s been great. If we can manage another round of snow and some sub freezing highs this would definitely be an A+ winter IMO…and I think it’ll happen. 

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2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

If I had to rate this winter so far..it would probably get a B. That’s if it ended today and we had warm split flow until March. I’ve really enjoyed the fact we’ve hit average snowfall and had a really nice cold blast already. Not super wet…and no real signature windstorm just a couple modest ones but since early November it’s been great. If we can manage another round of snow and some sub freezing highs this would definitely be an A+ winter IMO…and I think it’ll happen. 

Next ten days look very active. If we get cold later in Jan, probably an A- or B+? Kind of think we need a bigger snowstorm for an A.

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2 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Next ten days look very active. If we get cold later in Jan, probably an A- or B+? Kind of think we need a bigger snowstorm for an A.

A bigger snow event would be nice. Max snow depth so far this winter here is only 2”. We’ve had a ton of light snowfalls that added up to 6”…but yeah getting a nice 3-6” snowstorm would be nice. We’ve gotten the Arctic blast already this winter. It’s been a really great one so far though IMO. 

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Been without power since yesterday am.  Hopefully back in later today.  I have as much debris and limbs down as I did with the ice storm.  It’s a mess.  A lot of big trees down through the area.  Don’t have time to read all the past posts but I’m sure Oregon posters have updated it all.  I’m fairly protected esp from southerlies but this was incredible.  One last big burst hit hard about 4pm.  Wind was roaring!  30 minutes of knuckle biting as we’re all (40 homes) in a lot of cedar and for along the creek.  It was a bit intimidating.  All is well.  Just might not get to see any football bowl games😩

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Just checked out the GFS ensembles. Could be better. Could be a lot worse. Fairly close to climo, mostly on the negative side, with fairly good ensemble agreement. Currently only 38. Back to normal winter chill. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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15 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Just checked out the GFS ensembles. Could be better. Could be a lot worse. Fairly close to climo, mostly on the negative side, with fairly good ensemble agreement. Currently only 38. Back to normal winter chill. 

Don’t bother posting them. Thx

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47F and mostly cloudy. 0.05" of rain since midnight and now up to 4.94" for the month.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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