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PNW December 2022 - Part II


Guest hawkstwelve

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like someone cherry picked a pile of manure. The 2005 analog is pretty strong now. Arctic blast in February and lowland snow in March? 

It's just a transitional thing.  None of those analogs came from a year that has anything resembling what we have already seen this winter.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, Doinko said:

I'm thinking we see something nice in February. Hoping something like 1993 happens

It will probably begin in January.  1993 had a cold January BTW.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

It will probably begin in January.  1993 had a cold January BTW.

Salem had 32" of snow that winter, and Corvallis had 26.3". Hood River at 500ft also had 62.3" of snow. Eugene had 18.2" and Downtown Portland had 17.4". Would be amazing to have a repeat.

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17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It will probably begin in January.  1993 had a cold January BTW.

1993 was cold the first half of January,

kind of warm at the end.

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, Doinko said:

I didn't realize how dry February was. It looks like a large portion of the precip at Portland was snow

Yeah I mean I was only 8 years old but I remember the cold before the big snow, the big snow event and then it got cold and dry. Great winter. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Pacific shuttin down at the end of this run. Hmmm

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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34 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

All this interesting weather the last few weeks has made my job very busy. Have had quite a few long nights with the ice storm last week then the fairly wet past few days. Did 14 hours today. 

How u liking the new job?

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You have to like the end of tonight's GFS run.  Big flip happening.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Fantasy range but damn👀

E7CC2CC5-8F71-407D-A845-CF82F1921754.png

428C949B-7EA9-4118-9F6F-5581F8F71EC8.png

I am truly happy for them.  Gives them much needed precip and takes some of the gloom away from us.  Might be a big regime shift taking place this winter.  Only time will tell on that.

I'll be very interested to see if this breaks the spell on the recent summertime regime or not.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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7 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

It’s pretty awesome. By far the best job I’ve ever gotten. 

What are you doing exactly?

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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It appears I'll end up with a 36.7 average for the month IMBY.  The warm finish didn't hurt as bad as I expected.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just now, snow_wizard said:

What are you doing exactly?

Water filtration at large construction sites all across western WA. Huge ponds at construction sites can’t just be dumped off into the rivers and Puget sound…with all the diesel and other sh*t. So we come in set up big tanks and filters and discharge it. 

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4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Water filtration at large construction sites all across western WA. Huge ponds at construction sites can’t just be dumped off into the rivers and Puget sound…with all the diesel and other sh*t. So we come in set up big tanks and filters and discharge it. 

Sounds kind of interesting.

I got a new job a little over a year ago profiling counter tops, and I'll be damned if I don't kind of enjoy it.  Sometimes you just don't know until you get a little bit of time put in.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Sounds kind of interesting.

I got a new job a little over a year ago profiling counter tops, and I'll be damned if I don't kind of enjoy it.  Sometimes you just don't know until you get a little bit of time put in.

Its a very interesting job. Fairly technical with running mixtures of chemistry to treat water and meet the proper city/state requirements. It’s a very good job though. You’ve gotta work a lot of hours especially when there’s really rainy stretches. It’s kinda cool that it’s a weather dependent job in a sense. 

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2 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Kind of interesting to note the latest GEFS extended and the 18z CFS both moved up the timing on the arrival of a colder pattern significantly over what we had been seeing.  Going by the LRC I've been thinking Jan 18 to Jan 25.

Just got to take a look at new CFS, looks greats! Timing moving up for sure.

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10 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Coldest December since?

Last year actually came in colder, but it's still well below normal.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Starting to see something in GEFS?gfs-ens_z500a_namer_62.png

No doubt.  That is what we're looking for.  Timing is speeding up.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Looking at my records there have been a lot of cold Decembers starting with 2008.

2008, 2009, 2013, 2016, 2017, and 2021 were all solidly cold.

BTW...I just looked again at last December and it's going to razor close between that one and this year for which one is the coldest.  2021 was 36.8 and I'm thinking this one will be about 36.7.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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This year will come in colder than last December down here. Around normal, slightly below. Coldest December since 2017 fwiw. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The ECMWF seems to be starting a series of transitory ridges coming off of Asia later in the run.   Just like the GFS.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Night shift?

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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