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PNW December 2022 - Part II


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60-burger already achieved here at 11 a.m.!

Santa left quite the lump of coal in Eugene's stocking with every model except the Euro showing systems splitting right over Oregon and drastically reduced QPF for the coming week. A few days ago they were promising 6"-8" of rain. Now the NAM is showing 0.9", and it will probably prove to be the most accurate. Yes, this is a weenie post.

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1 minute ago, Eujunga said:

60-burger already achieved here at 11 a.m.!

Santa left quite the lump of coal in Eugene's stocking with every model except the Euro showing systems splitting right over Oregon and drastically reduced QPF for the coming week. A few days ago they were promising 6"-8" of rain. Now the NAM is showing 0.9", and it will probably prove to be the most accurate. Yes, this is a weenie post.

Eugene was in the 60s in early January 1969 after the snow/ice storm farther north. Then of course they had the massive snowstorms later on that month.

Maybe that could happen this year!

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2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Eugene was in the 60s in early January 1969 after the snow/ice storm farther north. Then of course they had the massive snowstorms later on that month.

Maybe that could happen this year!

It's possible. Next snow event could well be a south valley special.

Up here, we’re now overdue now for our own patented way to achieve a snowfail: a big dry blast that furnishes the cold air for points south to get the goods.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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9 hours ago, North_County said:

Been off the forum since this morning (or yesterday morning now, I suppose). Really shocked to see how quickly the snow vanished for many of you on Saturday. Mine basically looks the same as it did before the warmup, except coated in ice, and slush developing in the low spots,  even with temps reaching into the mid-40s.

Looks like we dodged the flood bullet in the warmup, which has been occupying a lot of my headspace the past 48 hours.

Merry Christmas, everyone.

Looks like I spoke too soon. Sounds like ice dams and possibly the king tides caused a very rapid and scary rise near the mouth of the Nooksack. Marietta was evacuated in the middle of the night.

Video of the ice flowing through Ferndale upstream of Marietta in the link.

https://www.facebook.com/372138779882157/posts/pfbid0TPYRqehBPWHKKW8S3W2QvrAnpyfVYBcuJ3VcGAHQN7KzLdkJeUCjDhM812yvQRkDl/?sfnsn=mo&mibextid=RUbZ1f

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2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

It's possible. Next snow event could well be a south valley special.

Up here, we’re now overdue now for our own patented way to achieve a snowfail: a big dry blast that furnishes the cold air for points south to get the goods.

Ah yes, I'm very familiar with taking one for the team by suffering through bitter dry wind so that Puget Sound can get dumped on. A "Sumas Special."

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50 degrees here after a low of 47. The next 2 days look mild then we cool back down to normal temps. 
 The models look fairly stormy coming up so atleast it’s staying active. I think our next lowland snow chance starts to snow up on the models in the next 7-14 days. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-9

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-19

Total snowfall-6.0” 

Monthly rainfall-2.88”

Wet season rainfall-16.37”

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  • Longtimer

It’s 56 up here. My children found pineapples in their stockings.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

61 on the Oregon coast at Florence and Newport. This is gross. It’s so humid outside. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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13 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Merry Christmas to all of y'all who have brightened my spirits and have shown me such graciousness. I'm grateful for all of you. Thank you for helping me overcome my struggles with epilepsy with this happiness.

Its A Wonderful Life GIFs | Tenor

Merry Christmas! Looks like based on your updated stats I missed some sub-freezing celebration! Bout time :)

now we just gotta get you a foot of snow and a windstorm haha

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  • Staff

Just drove to Bellingham.    Temp was 48 all the way from Snoqualmie Ridge to north of Arlington and then started going up.   51 at Randy's exit and then peaked at 54 just before Mt Vernon.    Then dropped back into the mid 40s once we got to Whatcom County line.   Sky was the brightest around Randy's area.    

There was some road spray the entire way and yet never saw an actual rain drop.   Combination of time of year and relatively warm temps with near 100% humidity.  The roads don't really dry out in weather like this. 

Some big snowbanks in the Tulalip parking lot and some big snowbanks left over up here in Bellingham too.   Lots of branches down between I-5 and my parent's house north of Lake Whatcom.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I love pics like this on Christmas. It tells me you are a grinch at heart like me. 

Not sure about that... if it was a snowy wonderland today on Christmas like we had on Wednesday I would have posted many more pics.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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  • Longtimer
2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Just drove to Bellingham.    Temp was 48 all the way from Snoqualmie Ridge to north of Arlington and then started going up.   51 at Randy's exit and then peaked at 54 just before Mt Vernon.    Then dropped back into the mid 40s once we got to Whatcom County line.   Sky was the brightest around Randy's area.    

There was some road spray the entire way and yet never saw an actual rain drop.   Combination of time of year and relatively warm temps with near 100% humidity. 

Some big snowbanks in the Tulalip parking lot and some big snowbanks left over up here in Bellingham too.   Lots of branches down between I-5 and my parent's house north of Lake Whatcom.    

Yeah it’s dry here at the moment finally. 48 at my house. The moisture thing is interesting, this is under my covered portion of the deck, every everywhere is soaking wet from the high moisture content and I’m assuming the cold ground conflicting with the warm air temps? 

66F37E08-B09C-489F-ABEA-DE0099977E26.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Don't look now but the 12z EPS control run looks very jolly by the start of week two in January!👀

Screen Shot 2022-12-25 at 1.05.15 PM.png

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Cold Season 2022/23:

Total snowfall: 79"

Highest daily snowfall: 18"

Deepest snow depth: 30"

Coldest daily high: -21ºF

Coldest daily low: -40ºF

Number of subzero days: 14

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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2 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Don't look now but the 12z EPS control run looks very jolly by the start of week two in January!👀

Screen Shot 2022-12-25 at 1.05.15 PM.png

Thanks for posting! Fingers crossed for more wonderful cold and snow!! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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  • Longtimer

Nws thinks it might rain. 

7C4DC6F1-1C9D-4BAC-9117-AF82F97CB9BE.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
9 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Don't look now but the 12z EPS control run looks very jolly by the start of week two in January!👀

Screen Shot 2022-12-25 at 1.05.15 PM.png

Thanks for the holiday surprise!

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Nws thinks it might rain. 

7C4DC6F1-1C9D-4BAC-9117-AF82F97CB9BE.jpeg

Even if this verifies we would still

need 4” of rain by Sunday to hit average for the month. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not sure about that... if it was a snowy wonderland today on Christmas like we had on Wednesday I would have posted many more pics.   

I haven't posted any new pics taken today for the same reason. Sad-looking melting slush is not very festive.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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  • Longtimer
1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

60-burger achieved!

 

Screen Shot 2022-12-25 at 12.10.04.png

It’s awful… But even most winters that delivered the goods had big

time torches. This is especially true of

Decembers. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Merry Christmas everyone! Glad to have been a part of these fun past few weeks! Currently 49.0. I’ve been hearing rumors that a SSW event is supposed to happen in early January so I’ve got a feeling late January is definitely on the table for some fun!

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2022-2023 Winter Stats

Total Snowfall - 14.25”

Max Snow Depth - 6”

Coldest High Temp - 23F

Coldest Low Temp - 11F

Number of Freezes - 43

Sub-40 highs - 16

Highs 32 or lower - 3

 

 

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Rapid warmup. Now at 38F.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2022-2023 snowfall totals: 9.3 inches

Highest snow total (per event): 2.20 inches (12/19/22 & 12/20/22)

Most recent accumulating (non Trace) snowfall: 2.0 on 12/23/22

Days with trace or more snow: 11/1/22 (1 inch), 11/28/22 (.80), 12/01/22 (T), 12/02/22 (T), 12/4/22 (.20), 12/5/22 (1.5), 12/14/22 (1.6), 12/18/22 (T), 12/19/22 (2.10), 12/20/22 (.10), 12/23/22 (2.0), 01/03/2023 (T), 1/22/23 (T)

First freeze: 11/3/22 (yes, after the first snowfall)

Coldest low: 0F (12/21/2022)

Last sub freezing high: 12/23/22 (possibly 12/24/22)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location  (I've also had a White Christmas in 2017 when I lived in Stanwood and a White Christmas at a hotel in Moscow, ID in 2020). 

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2 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

Merry Christmas everyone! Glad to have been a part of these fun past few weeks! Currently 49.0. I’ve been hearing rumors that a SSW event is supposed to happen in early January so I’ve got a feeling late January is definitely on the table for some fun!

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/winter-season-2022-2023-polar-vortex-power-up-stratospheric-warming-wave-forecast-united-states-europe-fa/

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2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

After yesterday I think it’s safe to say Mark is the GOAT!

He hit the dividing lines between warm and cold air, warm nose location , temp profiles, and local ilocal microclimate area forecast pretty much on the button.   Nailed every forecast once he was all in.  He gave rational and explanations for what and why he thought what he thought.  GOAT indeed.  He will miss a forecast now and then or part of a forecast (not very often though) but he had this one dialed in. 

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Something like what we saw just now, but with OR getting in on the big snows and some deep cold as well would be amazing.

Here at my place we had two inches and then some really cold weather. That was awesome. Even such a relatively "small" amount was enough to whiten the landscape and make it seem wintry. It's amazing how much impact even just an inch or so has. If we got 1-3" with the Willamette getting a 6-18" thumping, followed by everyone getting bitterly cold.... what an impeccable progression that would be!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 4.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 2”; December 20th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Something like what we saw just now, but with OR getting in on the big snows and some deep cold as well would be amazing.

Here at my place we had two inches and then some really cold weather. That was awesome. Even such a relatively "small" amount was enough to whiten the landscape and make it seem wintry. It's amazing how much impact even just an inch or so has. If we got 1-3" with the Willamette getting a 6-18" thumping, followed by everyone getting bitterly cold.... what an impeccable progression that would be!

Jet looks very suppressed for the next few weeks too! Also, it looks like WA/OR east of the cascades might be getting a good amount of snow. I remember 2016/17 had a ton of snow there and that helped it stay cooler here with the cold Gorge wind

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Ice storm warning issued for the Gorge-- another half inch to an inch of ice accumulation.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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