PNW December 2022 - Part II

[BLI snowman]

5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Pretty definitive signal in the long range ensembles for an Aleutian low dominating through at least the first 10 days of January.

Hopefully we see some sort of change in the depicted pattern emerge within a week or so.

First half of January is definitely shot. Anything besides mild rain should be considered a nice bonus. 

[Forum Admin]

2 hours ago, MossMan said:

They are not accounting for the the surge to come in far enough through the strait like what usually always happens. I think today will be quite the wildcard. Nobody seems to have a good handle on what kind of wind speeds we will be looking at. Fun!! 

They did this in early November. We’ll get our wind, even if Jim is out there trying to stop it.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Mostly just a lot of rain here. Over an inch just since midnight.

[Blizzard777]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Lots of rain on the way for the Golden State. 

What’s funny just saw a sign heading south saying pray for rain !

absolutely pouring here!!! approaching Bakersfield, California

[Omegaraptor]

Switching over to snow here!!!

[MossMan]

February! The new king of snow and cold! 
My memorable ones are 1989 (1988 was okay as well if I am remembering correctly) 2001, 2007, 2011, 2014 (for cold not snow) 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 (brief but nice) 2021, 2022…Possibly 2023? 
I might be missing a few as well. 

Edited December 27, 2022 by MossMan

[The Blob]

Lights are flickering and the neighbors chestnut tree has lost a few branches.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Switching over to snow here!!!

SLE down to 48, looks like we are down to 43. The torch is over. 

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

February! The new king of snow and cold! 
My memorable ones are 1989 (1988 was okay as well if I am remembering correctly) 2001, 2007, 2011, 2014 (for cold not snow) 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 (brief but nice) 2021, 2022…Possibly 2023? 

What was 1995 like there? I know there was a pretty big snowstorm in PDX but I'm not sure about the Puget Sound

[The Blob]

[Mr Marine Layer]

4 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

What’s funny just saw a sign heading south saying pray for rain !

absolutely pouring here!!! approaching Bakersfield, California

Where are you headed to? You missed our Hawaiian Christmas weather.

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

What was 1995 like there? I know there was a pretty big snowstorm in PDX but I'm not sure about the Puget Sound

I don’t remember that one, I will need to look it up. 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I don’t remember that one, I will need to look it up. 

Just checked Snoqualmie Falls... no snow there in February 1995.   Looks like 3 cold days in an otherwise fairly warm month otherwise.   And it was wetter than normal.    It was nothing like February 2019.

[Front Ranger]

24 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

?

7 days from now is plenty of time for the ensemble signal to change for 3 weeks from now.

[Requiem]

It appears the wind has surfaced 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

?

7 days from now is plenty of time for the ensemble signal to change for 3 weeks from now.

Our focus is on the last week of January.  We already canceled the first 3 weeks back on December 18th. 

Edited December 27, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew

[FroYoBro]

Awesome stormy day! 
 

Just had an adventure driving from West Linn to SW Portland using the backroads. Tons of big branches are down across the side roads over there. Had to drive in the dirt to get around a downed tree in the road as well. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Snowing now at Santiam Pass. 

[Front Ranger]

10 minutes ago, MossMan said:

February! The new king of snow and cold! 
My memorable ones are 1989 (1988 was okay as well if I am remembering correctly) 2001, 2007, 2011, 2014 (for cold not snow) 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 (brief but nice) 2021, 2022…Possibly 2023? 
I might be missing a few as well. 

1990 also had a nice event for much of western WA. 1994 had a smaller event in spots.

[Omegaraptor]

They took Lakeview off Mesowest.

[Front Ranger]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Our focus is on the last week of January.  We already canceled the first 3 weeks back on December 18th. 

Well, the earlier some sort of change in the signal begins, the better. Could always get pushed back once it does.

One of these years MLK will deliver...

[FroYoBro]

Winds really picking up now in the Portland metro area. 

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Well, the earlier some sort of change in the signal begins, the better. Could always get pushed back once it does.

One of these years MLK will deliver...

2024 will not.

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

1990 also had a nice event for much of western WA. 1994 had a smaller event in spots.

Oh yeah 1990! I think we got a lot of snow with that one if my memory serves me correctly. I don’t remember 1994. 

Edited December 27, 2022 by MossMan

[jcmcgaffey]

I don’t remember the last time I saw both carkeek and golden gardens beaches

 

 

completely disappear. 

[Blizzard777]

20 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Where are you headed to? You missed our Hawaiian Christmas weather.

Arizona

[Doinko]

24 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Just checked Snoqualmie Falls... no snow there in February 1995.   Looks like 3 cold days in an otherwise fairly warm month otherwise.   And it was wetter than normal.    It was nothing like February 2019.

Yeah it wasn't anything like 2019 but Downtown Portland had 10" of snow and some places had around a foot.

[jcmcgaffey]

You can see the eye of the storm on the radar. 

[Fircrest]

The weather advisory mentioned minor coastal flooding, but it is definitely more than minor.  My in-law's beach house in University Place has flooding higher than they have ever seen! Their basement room is completely flooded and they had to take the chickens in the house because of the pond in the back yard.  Combination of King tides and extreme low pressure, plus SW winds pushing the waves even higher. 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Outstanding fall/winter start already.  Two snowstorms, lots of rain, and now a windstorm!

Yesterday morning, lost part of a fence due to winds.  Did what I could to preserve it, but there isn't much I can do at this point.  Expect to lose the rest of it today.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

37 minutes ago, MossMan said:

February! The new king of snow and cold! 
My memorable ones are 1989 (1988 was okay as well if I am remembering correctly) 2001, 2007, 2011, 2014 (for cold not snow) 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 (brief but nice) 2021, 2022…Possibly 2023? 
I might be missing a few as well. 

We just had a pretty decent December cold snap (low sun angles and all). Missing a January one is no biggie. Plus it is now traditional for January to be something of a dud month (in the lowlands at least, mountains look like they will start scoring good).

[Doinko]

Wow, it looks like the Cocorahs station near my house recorded 2.6" of rain in 24 hrs

[MillCreekMike]

Popped up on my memories from December 2016. This had a lot of potential but ended up being dry cold up here for a few days. That whole winter was a lot of wasted potential up here lol.

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Wow, it looks like the Cocorahs station near my house recorded 2.6" of rain in 24 hrs

About 1.19" in that time frame here. Main energy seems to be to the south of me. Which is probably for the best.

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

Popped up on my memories from December 2016. This had a lot of potential but ended up being dry cold up here for a few days. That whole winter was a lot of wasted potential up here lol.

 

So massively frustrating up here. We did eke out a little snow here and there but nothing over a couple inches that would mostly melt before the cold air would slowly creep in. 

[MossMan]

[GHweatherChris]

Dead calm here, not even a breeze.

[TT-SEA]

Sun is out!  

[Meatyorologist]

That is ABSURD

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Yea, lots of flooding over here in Hansville, Indianola, Kingston, Silverdale, Gorst, Port Orchard, Seabeck, and pretty much anywhere on the water. 

[Cloud]

Nice looking storm and rotation on satellite. Radar also showing a very well defined eye. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

Dead calm here, not even a breeze.

I think you are in the eye of the storm... be careful and continue to shelter in place!  

[Doinko]

46 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Just checked Snoqualmie Falls... no snow there in February 1995.   Looks like 3 cold days in an otherwise fairly warm month otherwise.   And it was wetter than normal.    It was nothing like February 2019.

There was a snowstorm for the Kitsap Peninsula though

https://products.kitsapsun.com/archive/1995/02-13/304128_west_sound_weather__winter_hits.html

https://products.kitsapsun.com/archive/1995/02-15/304082_winter_storm__one_more_time.html

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2019 was very wet down here at least. Maybe it was not up north. We had about 13" of precip, average in February is 9". 

February 1995 was an extremely warm month. I believe it was the warmest on record at PDX until 2016. Ridging sat over us at the beginning of the month, we had a week of sunny weather with highs near 60. Then the ridge retrograded, arctic air surged south and we had a 3 day cold snap. A low spun up off the mouth of the Columbia with the arctic front and slowly dropped south bringing significant snow to PDX and the Willamette Valley. An overrunning event was forecast for the night of Valentine's, but the low went north bringing a southerly surge, a couple days later there was an AR event and highs in the mid-60s. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

That is ABSURD

Chris is not in the eye of the storm! 

How is that storm moving in that direction going to bring wind to Seattle?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Chris is not in the eye of the storm! 

How is that storm moving in that direction going to bring wind to Seattle?

Holy crap. We're screwed. 

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Chris is not in the eye of the storm! 

How is that storm moving in that direction going to bring wind to Seattle?

It's not. No models have wind for Seattle anymore, I don't know why people are in denial.

[Snownerd3000]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I am starting to get February 2019 type vibes about the period beginning in late January. It seems like models are in lock step that is our next chance, and the potential appears to be off the charts. The next few weeks might be a little boring around here, but we should continue to see some rain and stack up the mountain snow. The rain being shown for California during this upcoming period would be a blessing from the GODS. 

Feeling this too 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

At SLE February 1995 was very warm and dry overall, only 9 days with measurable precip. Over half the precip that month fell on one day when they recorded 2.64" on the 17th. They also had 7 60+ days. 

They officially recorded 3.1" of snow with the arctic event, had a 30/25 day on the 13th and 36/18 on Valentine's Day. 

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Chris is not in the eye of the storm! 

How is that storm moving in that direction going to bring wind to Seattle?

Yeah, absolutely no wind here right now.