PNW December 2022 - Part II

[Sam]

Quite gusty and still no precip on East Hill as of right now

[Tenochtitlan]

4 minutes ago, Forum Admin said:

I've got a feeling that some healthy mix of climate change, weird solar, and tropical volcanic activity to keep things interesting. The climate change bit might be giving us more blocky winters at the expense of warmer summers and less sea ice.

It seems like winters here have gotten more continental in the last several years compared to, say, ten or fifteen years ago. For example, the annual temperature range last year was 94 degrees for BLI (high of 100 and low of 6) which must be one of the largest of any year on record.

[Anti Marine Layer]

11 minutes ago, MossMan said:

This is the winter that keeps on giving! What are we all going to do with ourselves next winter when we are in raging split flow mega Nino hell all winter? And if they keep upgrading the GFS we might not even have fantasy land 300+hr cold bones thrown our way to even dream! Savor every second of this winter!! 

Next winter you can decorate a palm tree for Christmas. 

[awright-31]

[Terreboner]

2 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Pdx hit 19, Jesse can rest easy now

I remember my first beer.

[plainguy]

8 minutes ago, plainguy said:

Still ZR at 28.6. Took the grass bank down to the shop to get another beer. The driveway would have been ALOT qui

Highway 101 is silent.

Quicker

[TacomaWx]

Just now, awright-31 said:

I really hope I don’t have to work tomorrow

[The Blob]

Still 17 here, hopefully the airport can get that low

[TT-SEA]

Not sure if this is how it will actually work out... but the HRRR shows the warmth starting out here in the foothills by mid morning and spreading westward into the Seattle area.

[Cloud]

9 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Radar is starting to blow up in the south sound 

Charge your phone bro! 

[Slushy Inch]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not sure if this is how it will actually work out... but the HRRR shows the warmth starting out here in the foothills by mid morning and spreading westward into the Seattle area.

Lol I don't think so.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Charge your phone bro! 

He’s in Denver and missing out on all the freezing rain fun.

[4Runner]

Any idea when east winds will slow? Definitely still raging out here near Palmer and 15 degrees. No precip yet but adding freezing rain to these raging winds is alarming. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I've been educating people all day about this and it was scary how many people didn't know. I told them be careful walking outside and if your car has ice on it do not drive, do not attempt to drive to work, stay home. They looked at me like I was crazy. I bet 80% of the population have no idea how bad this might be. I closed my shop tomorrow and moved the schedule around. This will probably be the most widespread ice storm to hit Washington in 50 years or more. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

8 minutes ago, awright-31 said:

Stay home, save lives! 

[MossMan]

Cozy evening inside! 69.1 degrees! 
23.1 degrees outside. 

[Requiem]

Mark thinks precip turns to all liquid rain by about midnight.

[Cloud]

The mPing reports down in the south Sound is expanding eastward. More evidence that the atmosphere is no longer dry and making its way up here. Looking more and more like a straight to ZR/sleet event. 

[TacomaWx]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I've been educating people all day about this and it was scary how many people didn't know. I told them be careful walking outside and if your car has ice on it do not drive, do not attempt to drive to work, stay home. They looked at me like I was crazy. I bet 80% of the population have no idea how bad this might be. I closed my shop tomorrow and moved the schedule around. This will probably be the most widespread ice storm to hit Washington in 50 years or more. 

I tried spreading the word to co workers and friends the best I could too. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Also the NWS is a joke. The warning should of been posted lastnight.  The models have been showing this for a fukin week.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Lol I don't think so.

Sometimes it happens (warm nose) while places lower stay cold longer.   We need the wind to shift to SE though.   An east wind will keep the direct supply of cold air pumping in and we will be the last to warm up.  

 

[Terreboner]

I wish we didn't have models to look at.  It would be a hundred times more fun if we had to speculate.  Imagine a forum like this without them.

[Cloud]

4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I've been educating people all day about this and it was scary how many people didn't know. I told them be careful walking outside and if your car has ice on it do not drive, do not attempt to drive to work, stay home. They looked at me like I was crazy. I bet 80% of the population have no idea how bad this might be. I closed my shop tomorrow and moved the schedule around. This will probably be the most widespread ice storm to hit Washington in 50 years or more. 

Yah, I made a post earlier in the day how I gave up telling my family about this stuff. Been telling them since this morning to be careful going to work (both brother and sister works night shifts) and they just seemed to ignore it. Hopefully they can escape it before this stuff moves in but it is what it is. 

[joelgombiner]

Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Also the NWS is a joke. The warning should of been posted lastnight.  The models have been showing this for a fukin week.

Seems like their main goal is to avoid causing a panic, rather than warning the public about significant storms. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

14 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Pdx hit 19, Jesse can rest easy now

Celcius to Fahrenheit rounding error. They hit at least 20 though!

[Slushy Inch]

Looking at radar, I feel pretty good about getting at least an inch of snow in Bothell.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Also the NWS is a joke. The warning should of been posted lastnight.  The models have been showing this for a fukin week.

There Job is to save lives and property not worry about if people will be mad that they busted a forecast. This was a easy one, issue the fukin warning for snow or freezing rain well ahead of time. Tomorrow morning is going to be a freak show. 99% of the people are not like us, they don't even look at the temp outside or on there car. 

[KingstonWX]

Just now, joelgombiner said:

Seems like their main goal is to avoid causing a panic, rather than warning the public about significant storms. 

Bingo.

[SouthHillJimmy]

Not sure how realistic accuweather is but these totals are scary. 

[RentonHill]

9 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

He’s in Denver and missing out on all the freezing rain fun.

@SouthHillFrosty = @Doinko ?

[SouthHillFrosty]

Tried telling my family about the freezing rain threat tonight. Nobody believes me because I was wrong earlier in the week about the snowstorm. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

@SouthHillFrosty = @Doinko ?

 

[WildrootParable]

44 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Light snow here. 

Still anxiously crossing my fingers that being in the "snow zone" might hold true for us tonight. But based on what y'all are saying, that seems like a slim possibility now. 

I'm actually less concerned for us than I am for our sweet but VERY stubborn elderly neighbor, who is pretty determined not to cut any of her trees down or do any pruning, so she ends up with WAY too many overhanging branches for my liking. It's going to be a long night of checking in on her, I reckon.

[TacomaWx]

Just now, SouthHillJimmy said:

Not sure how realistic accuweather is but these totals are scary. 

Most likely outcome in the south sound is 0.25-0.50” IMO. Sometimes cold air hangs on longer than expected though. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

4 minutes ago, Terreboner said:

I wish we didn't have models to look at.  It would be a hundred times more fun if we had to speculate.  Imagine a forum like this without them.

I remember my tenth beer.

[joelgombiner]

The fact is that a lot of people don't even look at the NWS. They just look at some app on their phone that's based on an opaque algorithm. Somebody told me today they were getting forecasts from Google Maps lol. 

[Cloud]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Tried telling my family about the freezing rain threat tonight. Nobody believes me because I was wrong earlier in the week about the snowstorm. 

That was the EXACT response I got from mine too.

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

Yah, I made a post earlier in the day how I gave up telling my family about this stuff. Been telling them since this morning to be careful going to work (both brother and sister works night shift) and they just seemed to ignore it. Hopefully they can escape it before this stuff moves in but it is what it is. 

I have noticed a trend the last year or so especially where people are just in their own little worlds and are just not in tuned with the environment and world around them. I am the complete opposite, I am almost too far the other way. People look at me like I’m crazy when I mention the weather in depth or tell them I’m spending the weekend prepping my property for winter, etc. they think I’m crazy. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

26 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Stay home, save lives! 

But I need to go out and protest becuase systemic racism is a greater threat to public health than driving in the black ice.

[Requiem]

Kinda hard to believe there's gonna be ZR here. It's so frigid and feels like it's gonna transition to snow rather than the other way around. Those raindrops will be sticking almost immediately once they start.