Clinton Posted January 10, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 Euro and Euro Control showing signs of brutal cold coming down for the final 10 days of Jan and I believe will last through February. The Euro Ext is showing a very impressive MJO as well which shows the staying power this cold will have. Looks like we will enter the cold phases on the 12th, allow for a 7-10 day lag time and then we should be off to the races around the 21st. Until then enjoy the warmth and get some vitamin D lol. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 56 minutes ago, Clinton said: Euro and Euro Control showing signs of brutal cold coming down for the final 10 days of Jan and I believe will last through February. The Euro Ext is showing a very impressive MJO as well which shows the staying power this cold will have. Looks like we will enter the cold phases on the 12th, allow for a 7-10 day lag time and then we should be off to the races around the 21st. Until then enjoy the warmth and get some vitamin D lol. The EPS is really not backing down on the pattern flipping hard the weekend of the 21st/22nd....there are some big hitters showing up as the North American 500mb blocks up and reverse course to deliver some sustained cold. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, Tom said: The EPS is really not backing down on the pattern flipping hard the weekend of the 21st/22nd....there are some big hitters showing up as the North American 500mb blocks up and reverse course to deliver some sustained cold. Storm showing up around the 19th, riding ahead of the major pattern change needs watched. Good potential for a big storm with that cutter. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 The JAN Thaw continues today with more SUNSHINE! Wow, it felt great yesterday driving around and taking care of errands in the middle of the day with barely any wind. Kinda nice actually if we are not going to have any snow but I suspect we are going to pay for this one way or another. Looking forward to another warm and sunny one today. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 22 hours ago, OttumwaSnomow said: What did you have feb 11 1983? Hi Ottumwa 26.5" ending on the 12th - it was also a very cold storm for us by Northeast US standards. 2 Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 Good morning! The sun did indeed come out yesterday. With 56% of possible sunshine the official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 39/29 there was no rain or snow fall and of course there is no snow on the ground (other than the old snow piles) With clouds moving back in the overnight low was just 31 and at the current time it is 32 here in my yard. For today the average H/L is 31/19 the record high of 57 was set in 1975 and the record low of -19 was set in 1942. The record snow fall amount of 5.2” was set in 1979. There looks to be some rain or a rain snow mix for today and a better chance of rain and or snow for Thursday and Friday. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 57 minutes ago, chescowxman said: Hi Ottumwa 26.5" ending on the 12th - it was also a very cold storm for us by Northeast US standards. I had 36.0 inches in Mtairy Maryland from 4 am to 8pm. Several hours of thundersnow. Was living on my grandparents farm. Just incredible! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 20 hours ago, sumweatherdude said: Kind of off topic, but space weather is still weather. The sun has been materially more active than was anticipated thus far in this cycle. December was a big jump. January started off a little lower, but it's starting to pick back up the last few days. Found this graph that shows the increasing lack of direct correlation between low sunspot activity and temperatures, something the “morons” at NASA correctly predicted about this most recent lull in activity. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 On 1/8/2023 at 7:58 PM, Ferndale_man said: Still learning here what was 2017 was that a neutral year. We got a lot of snow that year. Almost certain you mean 17-18 which was AN in SEMI/SMI. 16-17 was the "NINO hang-over" season that only delivered good snow pre-Christmas Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 The pattern change that keeps getting delayed. First it was after the 10th. Then the middle of the month. Now it’s the last 8-9 days of the month. None of the cold shots have any staying power. I get we’re at the end of the GFS run, but in the first image it shows a big trough over the east, and only 48 hours later has it lifting rapidly away and already filled in by warm ridging. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 8 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Found this graph that shows the increasing lack of direct correlation between low sunspot activity and temperatures, something the “morons” at NASA correctly predicted about this most recent lull in activity. Do you know where that temp is for? Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 2 hours ago, jaster220 said: Do you know where that temp is for? Here’s the page the graph came from: https://climate.nasa.gov/climate_resources/189/graphic-temperature-vs-solar-activity/ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 Is there any good news news in the next 10 days, or any hope for something to change. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 Coincidentally, I was reading a climate change related article earlier today which I will reference here since the subject has been brought up even though this thread is not necessarily the best place for discussion. This more or less reflects my thinking on the matter but others certainly may and do have different or opposing opinions. Just thought folks might find this interesting. Net Zero Will Lead to the End of Modern Civilisation, Says Top Scientist The article refers to this report: While the Climate Always Has and Always Will Change, There Is no Climate Crisis ABSTRACT "The emphasis on a false climate crisis is becoming a tragedy for modern civilization, which depends on relible, economic, and environmentally viable energy. The windmills, solar panels and backup batteries have none of these qualities. This falsehood is pushed by a powerful lobby which Bjorn Lomborg has called a climate industrial complex, comprising some scientists, most media, industrialists, and legislators. It has somehow managed to convince many that CO2 in the atmosphere, a gas necessary for life on earth, one which we exhale with every breath, is an environmental poison. Multiple scientific theories and measurements show that there is no climate crisis. Radiation forcing calculations by both skeptics and believers show that the carbon dioxide radiation forcicng is about 0.3% of the incident radiation, far less than other effects on climate. Over the period of human civilization, the temperature has oscillated between quite a few warm and cold periods, with many of the warm periods being warmer than today. During geological times, it and the carbon dioxide level have been all over the place with no correlation between them." 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 I'm guessing a brief shot of cold air followed by a big warm up by the end of the month. Just no real cold air to be found. And it is not coming. By then, we are in February. Disappointing winter. The writing is on the wall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tStacsh Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 2 minutes ago, mlgamer said: Coincidentally, I was reading a climate change related article earlier today which I will reference here since the subject has been brought up even though this thread is not necessarily the best place for discussion. This more or less reflects my thinking on the matter but others certainly may and do have different or opposing opinions. Just thought folks might find this interesting. Net Zero Will Lead to the End of Modern Civilisation, Says Top Scientist The article refers to this report: While the Climate Always Has and Always Will Change, There Is no Climate Crisis ABSTRACT "The emphasis on a false climate crisis is becoming a tragedy for modern civilization, which depends on relible, economic, and environmentally viable energy. The windmills, solar panels and backup batteries have none of these qualities. This falsehood is pushed by a powerful lobby which Bjorn Lomborg has called a climate industrial complex, comprising some scientists, most media, industrialists, and legislators. It has somehow managed to convince many that CO2 in the atmosphere, a gas necessary for life on earth, one which we exhale with every breath, is an environmental poison. Multiple scientific theories and measurements show that there is no climate crisis. Radiation forcing calculations by both skeptics and believers show that the carbon dioxide radiation forcicng is about 0.3% of the incident radiation, far less than other effects on climate. Over the period of human civilization, the temperature has oscillated between quite a few warm and cold periods, with many of the warm periods being warmer than today. During geological times, it and the carbon dioxide level have been all over the place with no correlation between them." Yawn, get this garbage of this thread. Biased non-peer reviewed opinions. That's science! Embarrassing the propaganda people will fall for. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 4 minutes ago, tStacsh said: Yawn, get this garbage of this thread. Biased non-peer reviewed opinions. That's science! Embarrassing the propaganda people will fall for. lol...yeah it could be garbage or maybe not. But one thing is true...you never disappoint me...lol Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 3:07 PM, sumweatherdude said: Kind of off topic, but space weather is still weather. The sun has been materially more active than was anticipated thus far in this cycle. December was a big jump. January started off a little lower, but it's starting to pick back up the last few days. Sunspot activity has been above projected numbers for 35 straight months now. There's a relatively new theory about a magnetic collapse of some sort that may or may not have happened. If such an event did occur, not the regular flipping of sunspot poles, etc., the theory is an intense solar cycle should occur. Evidence would suggest this is the case thus far. Is it coincidence? Time will tell. *I probably watch space weather more than here* 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 32 minutes ago, Bellona said: Sunspot activity has been above projected numbers for 35 straight months now. There's a relatively new theory about a magnetic collapse of some sort that may or may not have happened. If such an event did occur, not the regular flipping of sunspot poles, etc., the theory is an intense solar cycle should occur. Evidence would suggest this is the case thus far. Is it coincidence? Time will tell. *I probably watch space weather more than here* I love space weather too. It’s a dream of mine to go to Iceland and sit under the skies and watch the Northern Lights dance overhead. We don’t usually get the Lights down here but lucked out a little over a year ago and I was able to see them on the horizon (with a long exposure). I already have plans with hotels booked to see the total annular eclipse in New Mexico this October as it crosses the US, and the total eclipse next April watching from somewhere in Texas! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 Lock it in! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 3 hours ago, tStacsh said: Yawn, get this garbage of this thread. Biased non-peer reviewed opinions. That's science! Embarrassing the propaganda people will fall for. It's a fact there's not enough cobalt and lithium for the green future people are anticipating. Solar and wind are still unreliable. It's just going to end up with people burning coal and telling the climate change people to go away, because they'll have the choice of having no electricity and heat or burning coal. The filthy oil refineries and oil fields are just going to be replaced with lithium mines. The one thing I can't stands though are people who try and get the last word in while simultaneously telling everyone to drop the subject. Like that's just not very mature, you tell someone they're completely wrong then tell them to shut up and leave the thread. Really mature, my man. Sorry mods for making you do extra work but I just can't stand people who argue like that. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Some may wonder how often have we gone through a January with no measurable snow during the month? Well here in Chester County PA it has not happened in 50 years....but overall it has occurred 6 times including 3 straight January's from 1932 through 1934. The other years a green January has taken place include 1960, 1967 and 1973. Of note that last time in 1973 took place during the only winter season in Chester County PA history that no snow at all fell during the winter. We will not suffer that fate this year as we have already recorded a whopping 0.8" of snow during December!! Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 On 1/9/2023 at 12:37 PM, OmahaSnowFan said: Rumor is it’s snowing a lot in the Sierra’s It's insane here, could not possibly be more opposite of a La Nina winter. The Santa Barbara area had evacuations last night over mudslide concerns and there is flooding in coastal areas. 1 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 11, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Models showing a potent storm in the day 8-10 period. Decent agreement given the range from the Euro, Canadian, and GFS. This storm produced in both the previous 2 cycles. LRC reference dates Oct 11th and 12th and November 28th-30th. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 I remember other years that happened recently that featured mostly very mild January. Then brutally cold February. 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 I’m ready for some rain. Freezing temps or not. Moisture! 1 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Happy hump day. This mild January continues and yesterday the official H/L at Grand Rapids was 39/30 there was a trace of snow fall (more like a few flurries here at my house) the sun was out a reported 5% of the time. The overnight so far has been mild with temperatures holding between 32 and 33. 33 is the current temperature here in my yard. For today the average H/L is 31/19 the record high of 58 was set in 2018 and the bone chilling low of -21 was set in 1979. The record snow fall on 6.9” fell in 1991. For the next 5 to 7 days it looks like most if not all the snow will stay to the SE of west Michigan. It will be cooler over the weekend and then warm up again next week. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 As has been the case for the nearly the last two years it has been cooler compared to average at Grand We now have 10 days of the month in the record books and it has been a very mild 10 days. As has Rapids but warmer compared to average at Lansing. For the 10 day period at GR the mean is 34.7 that is a departure of +8.7 the high for the month so far is 43 and the low so far is just 28 Officially there has been 0.6” of snow fall. (here in my yard there has been just 0.2”) At Muskegon the mean there is 36.9 (remember lake Michigan is ice free and still warm) and that is +9.2 for the month. The highest at Muskego so far this month is 46 and the low is just 31. There has only been 0.1” of snow fall there. At Holland the mean there is 36.1 +9.1. once again near that warm lake Michigan. The highest reading so far is 45 and the low is 29. They do not report snow fall at Holland. To the east at Lansing, they have a mean of 35.7 that is a departure of +10.7 The high for the month so far is 46 and the low so far is just 28. there has been a reported 0.2” of snow fall there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Well, it certainly looks like we are going to start tracking some winter storms later next week as the blocking across Hudson Bay is showing strength once our late week system tracks into the ATL and pumps the N ATL Ridge and Hudson Bay Block. I had opined last week that this storm could be a key player that'll influence the next wave train of storms later next week. The Euro and the GFS are now both showing the potential. 0z Euro... What's more exciting to me about the pattern to close out JAN is the CLEAR signal we are entering a colder pattern that will have some legs to it given all the players on the field. There are multiple storms following the the 18th-20th system that should come out of the 4 corners and dig into the S Plains as the cold presses deep south. Time for @OKwx2k4@Iceresistance @Andie to get into the winter fun and games. 0z EPS next 10 days... 3 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Grizzcoat Posted January 11, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 14 hours ago, gimmesnow said: It's a fact there's not enough cobalt and lithium for the green future people are anticipating. Solar and wind are still unreliable. It's just going to end up with people burning coal and telling the climate change people to go away, because they'll have the choice of having no electricity and heat or burning coal. The filthy oil refineries and oil fields are just going to be replaced with lithium mines. The one thing I can't stands though are people who try and get the last word in while simultaneously telling everyone to drop the subject. Like that's just not very mature, you tell someone they're completely wrong then tell them to shut up and leave the thread. Really mature, my man. Sorry mods for making you do extra work but I just can't stand people who argue like that. So very true. I've been a pro in the weather field for 25 yrs. (yes I make my $$ from the weather--- do you reader?? or have a bias with some family weather site? --). Seen many "changes" in the climo over the years for my certain location DSM which seems fishy-- (which I STUDY DAILY) of which I have documented-- and actually measured myself!!!--- but will not discuss here,, but they? (whoever that is) clearly favor the "science" of readjusted data. If you want explicit examples (some of which I have shown to NOAA=local NWS DMX-- only to be shot down, even with data showing them wrong) please email me. Again- this was data I actually reported myself that was Changed !! (NWS of course didn't know it was me- but played dumb) Some of us have lost jobs over what I'am talking about - sadly. True science is not what's being shown to most in the climate field --or now- sadly on local WEATHER reports. -- it's been manipulated or readjusted to show what they? want PLAIN AND SIMPLE>.. THIS IS NOT TO SAY THE GLOBE IS NOT WARMING -- IT CERTAINLY IS!! THE $64,000 question is WHY?? In the end-- you not going to get anyone reasonable with a scientific brain to say it's all human - or mostly human, or mostly Natural , or all Natural --- but History states (science that's actually taken place) that the Earth will figure things out if you believe in evolution and we humans have VERY little say in the matter as what exactly is evolving from AGW to the extreme??? Trust the Science. or Trust the Cosmos or-- better= Trust the Creator. 9 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chescowxman Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Another slightly above normal temperature day across the county today before rain arrives overnight tonight. Mild with rain tomorrow with between 0.25" to 0.50" likely across Chesco. Chillier weather this weekend with Saturday looking like possibly our first below normal day of 2023. Temps will start to trend milder again to start next week. The record high for today is 67 degrees from 1975. Record low was 5 below zero in 1981. Record precipitation was the 1.19" from 1924 and our daily snow record was the 7.2" that fell today in 1922. Quote All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County. There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science! Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" - 11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8") Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5") 2020/21 snow (52.2") / 2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0"). Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com. Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx National Weather Service SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 1 hour ago, Tom said: Well, it certainly looks like we are going to start tracking some winter storms later next week as the blocking across Hudson Bay is showing strength once our late week system tracks into the ATL and pumps the N ATL Ridge and Hudson Bay Block. I had opined last week that this storm could be a key player that'll influence the next wave train of storms later next week. The Euro and the GFS are now both showing the potential. 0z Euro... What's more exciting to me about the pattern to close out JAN is the CLEAR signal we are entering a colder pattern that will have some legs to it given all the players on the field. There are multiple storms following the the 18th-20th system that should come out of the 4 corners and dig into the S Plains as the cold presses deep south. Time for @OKwx2k4@Iceresistance @Andie to get into the winter fun and games. 0z EPS next 10 days... Hey Tom, Let's get our winter back! Thanks for the updates and maps. I'll enjoy the nice weather for now through next week and we'll see how that storm trends later next week into the weekend. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Next week features more rain w/ temps possibly near 50F by Tuesday. Could be a hvy, soaking rain as gulf moisture gets involved. Another wasted storm..Ugh! 2 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Well both the 0z Euro and 6z GFS show a rain storm next week followed by a snowstorm. And given how far out it is, pretty remarkable agreement. Not even gonna bother posting them since it will change 1000 times, but maybe something to keep any eye out on. Signs of winter at least. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Stop me if you've heard this one before. The 12z GFS takes the low directly through Iowa and hammers Minnesota. LOL. 1 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 I wish I was preaching to the choir-- but folks GFS pass 96-120 is a joke. EURO pass 120-144 is the same. ( For precip) Enjoy the Jan Thaw. cold -- to brutal cold coming late month early FEB. Like has been typical last 3-6 years on avg. I don't say that much on here - but it's coming.-- just delayed. Quit the model flip flopping. Teleconnections will win out. And if so--- after all the "warmth" at least here in DSM-- after a DEC that avg 3.5F below norm--- winter will be winter and likely avg below norm temps for most. Snowfall is always a crapshot.. But I lay odds that most see above avg snowfall when its all said and done E of IA> DSM is only 2-3" below normal. That can be made up in a single event. Stay the course. It may not happen when you want, but we just had a pretty cold DEC with a White Christmas for most. Most of us don't live in Ely,MN. or N.MICH. ALL OF MN is above snowfall as shown. Will that not move and avg out?? Time and climo says it will. Quit the backyard BS-- it will happen for snow and cold for most. Yeah sun angle and all-- it happens-- just like in Aug when it gets 105 with heat index of 115F. Stay the Course!!!! 5 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Yep the brutal cold is coming. Especially if you WISH for it really hard. Again this is a winter weather forum so it shouldn’t be surprising to see it forecasted time and again. Sure it was supposed to be here by the 10th. Then the middle of the month. Then the end of the month… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 The GFS looks for a pattern change right around next weekend, teleconnections are looking to support coast to coast storms and much colder air to seed south. I do believe we just might have winter after all. We had winter here in KC between the 14th and 27th of Dec. that included a wind driven snow, below freezing temps for 6.5 straight days and the most important, a white Christmas. LRC is forecasting a cold Feb/Mar for most of us on here and likely starting the last week of this month. I'm trying to score a 2-3 hour sleet/snow band here in KC tonight into tomorrow morning. Hopefully we can get that to hit as some data is suggesting. Until winter's return, I'll enjoy some of these beautiful January days. Go winter!! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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