January 2023 Observations and Discussions

[westMJim]

Well Lower Michigan finally had it first wide spread snowfall of January 2023. The snow fall looks and feels more like a late fall or early spring snow fall. It was a wet snow fall and it stuck to the ground and trees but not so much to the paved streets or sidewalks. Here in MBY I have a total of 3” on the ground. Here are some H/L and official snow fall amounts from around lower Michigan for yesterday. Grand Rapids 32/30 3”, Lansing 33/30 5.3”, Muskegon 34/31 3”, Detroit 33/32 6.5” and that is a new record for the date. Flint 34/27 3.7” and Saginaw 32/30 2.9”

[Clinton]

The 0z EPS starting to show a stronger system to end the month and to start February.  The Euro operational kept the energy split and strung out a little but is trending to towards a strong 2nd piece.  The big dog is starting to bark a little louder KC. @Tom @jaster220 @Niko

0z EPS

0z GEFS is starting to come around.

[Ottawa CO, MI]

59 minutes ago, westMJim said:

Well Lower Michigan finally had it first wide spread snowfall of January 2023. The snow fall looks and feels more like a late fall or early spring snow fall. It was a wet snow fall and it stuck to the ground and trees but not so much to the paved streets or sidewalks. Here in MBY I have a total of 3” on the ground. Here are some H/L and official snow fall amounts from around lower Michigan for yesterday. Grand Rapids 32/30 3”, Lansing 33/30 5.3”, Muskegon 34/31 3”, Detroit 33/32 6.5” and that is a new record for the date. Flint 34/27 3.7” and Saginaw 32/30 2.9”

Sure looks like winter in W MI today....it's been a while Jim.

[Tom]

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

The 0z EPS starting to show a stronger system to end the month and to start February.  The Euro operational kept the energy split and strung out a little but is trending to towards a strong 2nd piece.  The big dog is starting to bark a little louder KC. @Tom @jaster220 @Niko

0z EPS

0z GEFS is starting to come around.

I like the 0z EPS run last night digging the MSLP down into Texarkana and up through the OHV...eerily similar set up we just went through but this time a different caliber of a storm potential.  The tanking -EPO is wrecking havoc in the modeling and they ALWAYS have issues figuring out how to handle the trough that rounds the 4 corners.

 

 

 

 

[chescowxman]

After our largest snow event (0.8") of the year here in the philly burbs of Chester County PA yesterday turned to rain we ended up with a combined melted snow equivalent and rain of 0.94". We are now running 0.39" above normal in the rain department for 2023...however our seasonal snow of 2.1" is 12.6" below our normal snow totals through yesterday. Of note over in Philadelphia and New York City they have both yet to receive any measurable snow this season. NY has an excellent chance to set a new record for longest periods between snowfalls. Philly has a long way to go as they are only at 320 days with the record being the snowless winter of 1972-3 as they experienced 616 days between snowfalls.

We are well on our way to a Top 5 warmest January here in Chester County but we will finish well below the warmest January way back in 1932. Above normal temps look to continue through the end of the month (next Tuesday) with our next chance at showers likely by Tuesday night.

The record high for today is 75 degrees set in 1950. The record low is 1 below zero from 1922. The daily precipitation and snow record is 1.40" and 14.0" of snow that was part of the 2 day snowstorm that resulted in 16.0" of snow across the county ending on the 27th back in 2011.

[CentralNebWeather]

Woke up to a surprise 1/2" of snow this morning to cover our glacier.  It made the streets slick again. Most of the snow and ice has melted off the main streets from the big storm last week, due to some sunshine lately and salt/chemicals.  

[tStacsh]

The cold no longer has very long staying power on the models.  Looks to warm up later in the first week of February again...GFS is stupid and I probably shouldn't look at it, but has flipped completely back to warm in the long range.  

-EPO could be the dagger that pulls back the warmth.   

[Tom]

It’s a great winter day here in Chitown with light snow falling and temps are in the upper 20’s.  It finally looks and feels like JAN.  Miss these kinda a days!   

[hawkstwelve]

The system progged to move through tonight resembles a seahorse on radar at the moment. 

Random observation for the day.  

[hawkstwelve]

 

[jaster220]

10 hours ago, Tom said:

It’s a great winter day here in Chitown with light snow falling and temps are in the upper 20’s.  It finally looks and feels like JAN.  Miss these kinda a days!   

Same here. Peeking out 2nd floor windows at my office and seeing so much snow on the trees (normally you'd need to go up close to see the ground) it's like a winter wonderland I've not seen here, or anywhere in quite a while. Heavy duty plastering yesterday!

[Timmy Supercell]

Getting these little bursts of moderate/heavy wet snow in Ashland. Not sticking. 

Just another fake flake day. This is starting to remind me of the '20-'21 winter in Klamath Falls, was filled with a bunch of teases, trace/wet days and a few random measurable snows were thrown in. 

[Hawkeye]

It's looking like a dominant northern stream flow is going to kill any action around here next week.

[hlcater]

Now this is a special kind of pain

 

[tStacsh]

Whole lot of nothing after the weekend wave on the Euro.  Dry as a bone.  

[CentralNebWeather]

23 minutes ago, hlcater said:

Now this is a special kind of pain

 

My goodness. Brutal.  

[OmahaSnowFan]

31 minutes ago, hlcater said:

Now this is a special kind of pain

 

Not getting filled in this weekend either 

[OmahaSnowFan]

OMADOME!!!

[hawkstwelve]

18z Euro with just a slight expansion on both sides of the band but didn't really move the main axis.

Edit: Woops, wrong thread. Oh well...

[jaster220]

Coming out of my local Target this evening 

 

 

[hawkstwelve]

Currently have some moderate snow via the seahorse  system that is quickly moving through the area. Gusty winds are causing a good amount of blowing snow. Temp was supposed to rise near 30 but still sitting at 24.

[Andie]

Enjoy Hawkes!!  I know how much you guys up North have relished this Winter!  

[Andie]

2 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

OMADOME!!!

Look at that darn thing!!   
cuts off just north of DFW!!

[westMJim]

Good morning! The heaviest of the lake effect snow yesterday fell just south of the Grand Rapids area. So while there were areas of around 10” of snow to the south here in GR just over 1” fell. The official H/L was 33/27 there was 0.09” of precipitation and that 1.1” of snow fall. The sun did come out for a couple of minutes for a 1% of possible sunshine. There was 3” of snow on the ground yesterday at 7AM. The overnight low so far here at my house is the current temperature of 24 with some breaks in the clouds. For today the average H/L is 31/17 the record high of 62 was in 1916 and the record low of -12 was set in 2003. The most snow fall of 12” was in 1967. There is a chance of some light snow today and again tomorrow. Today looks like it could become windy. We shall see how much  snow fall for today. It looks like the low pressure for today is a long ways to our north so we shall see just how much snow we will get.

[Tom]

With the additional snow yesterday, my snow depth is only about 2.5" bc of the melting during the storm.  It should provide a nice base to the snow that falls this weekend.  I'm looking forward to the snow showers today along with the gusty winds.  Coldest morning of the season JAN as we have dipped down to 16F.

[westMJim]

The temperature has really dropped here in MBY. It has fallen from 24 to the current reading of 20 in less than one hour. That 20 is the 2nd coldest it has been this month so far.

[chescowxman]

Today will be a near normal day today with highs in the mid to upper 30's. The weekend looks mostly cloudy with a slight chance of some showers on Sunday night (Go Birds!) It looks like we will start off February with below normal temperatures and maybe a couple shots at some snow....but the way this season has gone I would not hold my breath for snow!

The record high for today is 71 degrees from 1916. Our record low is 2 below zero from 1987. Daily precipitation record is 1.46" from 1990. The daily snow mark is the 6.5" that fell today in 1941.

[chescowxman]

Seasonal Average = 36" of snow

[MIKEKC]

50's to 20's late tomorrow in KC, how is there not a storm blowing up on us!!!! So close on the CMC and GFS to getting an enhanced band of snow/ice late tomorrow night into Sunday morning. Clinton looks like he may get into a band of snow to whiten the ground up. Need to keep an eye on that for some last minute changes...

 

Next week's big storm, GONE!!!!! 

GARBAGE!!!

Go Chiefs!!

[MIKEKC]

OMG....GFS shows spring time for KC after this weekend's cold blast.

I usually don't go to happy hour until 4:00pm on Friday's, I just might start at lunch today. 

[hawkstwelve]

 

[Tom]

The wind is blowing and gusty out of the South with very powdery snow flying and accumulating.  Already have a nice coating and the viz has dropped rather quickly.

[jaster220]

9 minutes ago, Tom said:

The wind is blowing and gusty out of the South with very powdery snow flying and accumulating.  Already have a nice coating and the viz has dropped rather quickly.

Legit winter's day, even over here in D-town with last night's few tenths blowing off building roof across the intersection where my firm is located.

[Tom]

Legit whiteout!  

[Tom]

4 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

Legit winter's day, even over here in D-town with last night's few tenths blowing off building roof across the intersection where my firm is located.

It’s like the over here and then some!  Man, what’s a beautiful scene right now. Can’t see 2 blocks down.

[jaster220]

1 minute ago, Tom said:

It’s like the over here and then some!  Man, what’s a beautiful scene right now. Can’t see 2 blocks down.

Love a good mid-winter arctic frontal passage! Congrats and hey, you have more snow OTG than I thought. Looks like winter there!

[Clinton]

1 hour ago, MIKEKC said:

50's to 20's late tomorrow in KC, how is there not a storm blowing up on us!!!! So close on the CMC and GFS to getting an enhanced band of snow/ice late tomorrow night into Sunday morning. Clinton looks like he may get into a band of snow to whiten the ground up. Need to keep an eye on that for some last minute changes...

 

Next week's big storm, GONE!!!!! 

GARBAGE!!!

Go Chiefs!!

GFS with a well placed weenie band with some forcing.  That will be a watch the radar event if it happens.

[shakjen]

Heaviest snow of the season coming down now. Too bad it will only last a few minutes. 

[westMJim]

Getting light snow and blowing snow here at the current time. Temperature is now at 24 here in MBY.

[Tom]

Temp has popped up to 36F as the CF is right overhead.  Picked up 0.6” of new snow.  Might be a bit more and closer to 1” bc of some settlement. This was real fluffy snow.

[WinterSquall23]

On 1/26/2023 at 2:53 PM, hlcater said:

Now this is a special kind of pain

 

That dome reminds me of the Milwaukee dome in Oregon. Here’s hoping this pattern can break it. 

[WinterSquall23]

Drove to Novi for an appt this afternoon, went through a small snow squall.  Visibility down to less than 1/4 mile. Pretty crazy.  

[mlgamer]

Weather Fun Fact Time!

Topeka has recorded 5.2" of snow this season. At this same time last year, we had recorded 5.1" so yes we are ahead of last year by a tenth!

We picked up 16" more last year to finish with 21.1" for the season total. I'm betting the under this year.

[Timmy Supercell]

January snuck up on me with this warm departure. Just when I thought we were having at least an average Winter on the mean temperature.. December was solid, with a -1.3 in Ashland. January looks like Dec 2021 minus a couple degrees, across KY. 

But even with that said, the warmth is not nearly as long lived as it was last Winter.. 

[Black Hole]

 

Multi day ice event possible Monday-Thursday. Monday the column is below freezing but the lift is all below the DGZ so it might be sleet. Probably a mix of sleet and zr for Tuesday. Some models hold onto low level cold for one last shot Wed or Thurs, but not all. We will have to see how that one goes. Could be a strip of major ice somewhere...likely south of me. 

[Black Hole]

Here is what I mean with what might be unconventional sleet or freezing rain. The DGZ is unsaturated, so your precip generation in this case probably occurs in that 0 to -5C layer. That's a mixed bag for what you get. 

[Tom]

ORD picked up an additional 0.8" of Snow yesterday and it came from 2 strong snow squalls that came through.  In fact, one of them produced 0.5" of snow in 10 minutes over MDW.  ORD dipped to 13F yesterday morning and that is the coldest low of this month.  Models suggest we head sub zero Tue am for the 1st since Christmas Week.

[Tom]

29 minutes ago, Black Hole said:

Here is what I mean with what might be unconventional sleet or freezing rain. The DGZ is unsaturated, so your precip generation in this case probably occurs in that 0 to -5C layer. That's a mixed bag for what you get. 

Just an FYI, we do have a FEB thread now if you didn't see it.  As far as the wx pattern in YBY, I'm worried about the ice potential as it looks no bueno at this range.

[chescowxman]

Yesterday felt chilly in our mild winter but it was still over 4 degrees above normal. We should stay above normal through Monday with several days to follow this week actually staying below normal regarding temperatures. We will have multiple precipitation chances this week...but for now nothing too heavy. The 1st chance Sunday evening will be rain any chances both Tuesday through Thursday would be for snow. For snow lovers across the area the trend on the models is to keep most of the precipitation to the south and southeast of Chester County. That said - the NWS does have small chances of some snow both Tuesday night into Wednesday and on Thursday. By this Friday temps will likely stay below freezing for daytime highs.

The record high for today is 67 degrees set way back in 1914. The record low is 10 below zero from 1925. The record precip and snow was from the 2 day blizzard that began today in 1922 with 18" falling on the 28th and an additional 8" on the 29th equaling the 8th largest snowstorm in our history at 26" of snow. As you can see below on the observation notes from the observer Mr. W.T. Gordon the snow began overnight on the 28th and ended by 10:30am on the 29th. Of note Mr. Gordon was the Superintendent of the Coatesville School District. I found his name and some information from the year 1910 for the district. There were 1,762 students in the district and Mr. Gordon was paid an annual salary of $1,750. That is worth $259,394.26 in compensation today.

[hawkstwelve]

FSD officially recorded 1.7 inches yesterday which puts our monthly snow total at 21.4", just 0.8" away from the all-time snowiest record. 

So freaking close! Sucks we couldn't get just a little bit more to put this one at the top of the record books. Guess we'll have to settle for 2nd place.