OmahaSnowFan Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Interesting how the 12Z models have shifted everything back northwest… South central SoDak and north central Nebraska seems to be the target now. Meanwhile I’m in my 3rd winter weather advisory this season for less than 1” of snow and a light coating of ice. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Did this thing slow down? My warning has been pushed back 6 hours. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, james1976 said: Did this thing slow down? My warning has been pushed back 6 hours. Yes. It's usa vs the world up there. Both Canadians are 12+ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 hours ago, Tom said: Hopefully you'll see it puking right when daylight emerges tomorrow and enjoy a full blown winter storm during the daytime. Buckle up! You'll make up for what you didn't see back in NOV. Preview of @hawkstwelves place come Wed morning 2 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 41 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 12z Euro. A bit less on the SW side of the band in Nebraska and a bit more on the NE side of the band in Minnesota. Otherwise, no huge changes. Wider area of 9+ for Eastern MN into NW WI. Wow. Go Euro! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 My warning went from 4-8 from this morning's update to 5-9 inches with the latest update. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Man riding the fine line for my area. Temps are gonna play a huge role. Currently at 33.3 degrees I’m hoping I don’t get any higher than that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, gabel23 said: Man riding the fine line for my area. Temps are gonna play a huge role. Currently at 33.3 degrees I’m hoping I don’t get any higher than that. What's your dew point? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 7 minutes ago, gosaints said: What's your dew point? 32.4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Freezing rain confidence just to my north. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said: 12z Euro. A bit less on the SW side of the band in Nebraska and a bit more on the NE side of the band in Minnesota. Otherwise, no huge changes. This would be a nice surprise Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 4 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Interesting how the 12Z models have shifted everything back northwest… South central SoDak and north central Nebraska seems to be the target now. Meanwhile I’m in my 3rd winter weather advisory this season for less than 1” of snow and a light coating of ice. Not enough snow there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 5 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Interesting how the 12Z models have shifted everything back northwest… South central SoDak and north central Nebraska seems to be the target now. Meanwhile I’m in my 3rd winter weather advisory this season for less than 1” of snow and a light coating of ice. Nothing beats a cold January rain . Guess we should be thankful for the moisture though. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Already .02” of a cold 35 degree rain has fallen. Now to wait for the tstorms in Kansas to try and make it here. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 19 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: I seen that! It’s about to get crazy for us! Am I reading that right ice then 4-8” of snow??? 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, gabel23 said: I seen that! It’s about to get crazy for us! Am I reading that right ice then 4-8” of snow??? That seems high for us, unless there is convection with a heavy snow band. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, CentralNebWeather said: That seems high for us, unless there is convection with a heavy snow band. I read it further, basically they are saying if cold air moves in faster we get more snow than ice. I’m hoping that happens. Currently sitting at 32.0 and .20” of rain. I’ll take the precip 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 I have been bumped up again! Now calling for 7-10". They've also pushed the timing way back again....now 2am Tue to 6pm Wed. Also currently light snow already with a dusting. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mlgamer Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Hard to believe but this storm has produced a tornado watch only three counties south of me...on Jan 2 no less. 2 2 1 Quote 23-24 seasonal snow total: 17.8" (as of 3/9/24) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Heavy combination of every type of frozen precipitation you can think of. Very nasty. County Sheriff reporting accidents. Why anyone is out is a mystery with all the warnings issued about no travel advised. When this switches to snow will be important to snowfall amounts. 6 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Currently 71 Humidity 64%. Pretty sticky right now. Thankfully it’s not hot. Odd for January. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 @Iceresistance, Thanks for the shoutout on the warm sector over here. Looking like a tense night for me. Tornadic storm in Sequoyah County now. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Pushing a foot now on 18z Euro! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Getting some sleet here in Waterloo. Nothing accumulating we are sitting at 33 at my house. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 5 hours ago, james1976 said: I have been bumped up again! Now calling for 7-10". They've also pushed the timing way back again....now 2am Tue to 6pm Wed. Also currently light snow already with a dusting. Ofc, it's MSP - enjoy! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Weather doesn’t seem that important right now after watching the injury and collapse of Damar Hamlin of the Buffalo Bills. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 The best kind of weather you can get with a big storm system 32.5 degrees and raining. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 1 hour ago, CentralNebWeather said: Weather doesn’t seem that important right now after watching the injury and collapse of Damar Hamlin of the Buffalo Bills. Scariest thing I have ever seen. Been a bills fan since I was 5 yrs old. Just so hard to believe. I just hope it’s not another hank gathers which is the only thing I can make sense of. He got drilled in the chest and he had a bad heart. Prayers out to Hamlin and family. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 (edited) Ummm...warning now from 7am-6pm Tuesday with a WWA from 6pm Tuesday-6pm Wednesday and for a total of 4-7". Lol. This thing has literally been pushed back 16 hours and now dropped dramatically in totals. Something must have changed a lot for MSP with tonight's models. Nvm "few more inches after the 4-7" so I guess still on track with totals just keeps getting pushed back. Storm must be crawling. Edited January 3, 2023 by james1976 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 I was square in the middle of the tornado watch today but mostly a disappointment. I got one cell with some dime sized hail and 1/3" of rain in about 5-10 minutes, but most of the Tulsa area saw very little. Go east about an hour and things really picked up with a few tornadoes, etc. Pretty wild for Jan 2nd even if it was mostly a disappointment. Lets bring back the snow now! Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Medium range ensemble guidance mostly still keeping that mega trough in place along the west coast. This yields mild southwest flow for OK with some periodic rain chances. Obviously if any troughs eject inland we get a severe threat. Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Wet evening in KC and it was also the 17th wettest January day ever. NWS Kansas City @NWSKansasCity ***RECORD***As of 10PM...Kansas City has received 1.08" of rain. This breaks the daily rainfall record of 0.94" set a few years ago in 1897. Normal precipitation for the entire month of January in KC is 1.16" so we almost reached that just today! #DroughtBustin 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sholomar Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Congrats to Sioux Falls. We haven't even gotten a dusting yet in Brookings. I should know better by now to trust the NWS over KELO as their snowfall predictions are usually much more accurate. They trust the European model and pretty much nobody else. Enough storms being overhyped where they predict double the actual snowfall you'd think I learn my lesson by now. No more following potential storms days ahead of time using models for me. It almost always leads to disappointment. No more trusting the NWS. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 3, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 @hawkstwelveHere comes that Defo Band...Man, those embedded storms wrapping into the cold sector should produce some heft rates for ya this morning... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 3, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 06z Euro...MSP Magnet...the best track and outcome you can ask for as the storm slows down and stalls just to your east... 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said: We are at about 8 inches here for this event so far, although it's very hard to measure with the drifts. Heavy snow continuing to fall with a temp of 21. Congrats on reeling this one in... just saw that heavy snow, thunder, and 0.13 mile visibility was reported at Foss Field around 9:00am - that's wild... Enjoy the snowstorm! Wishing that I was back in Sioux Falls today (by the way between 2013-2019 I traveled up to Sioux Falls for work 2-3 times a month and really enjoyed going up there - always enjoyed downtown and the Phillips Avenue area). Here in Omaha we are getting a mix of rain, sleet, and wet snow now (after getting some thunderstorms earlier this morning). We picked up 0.60" of rain in my backyard so at least we got some decent moisture out of this system. Honestly I can't remember the last time we have had thunderstorms in Omaha during both the months of December and January. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Fairly small area of heavy snow so far, but where it is falling, it looks to be accumulating rapidly. Hopefully Minnesota fills in this map over the next 24 hours. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 3, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Snow has begun up by my friends place just SW of MSP…Real Winter conditions…can’t say I’m not jelly! IMG_2592.MOV 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said: Cleared the deck and steps for the dogs one hour ago. Since then we've received another 2.5 inches. Still coming down heavy but I can see the ending line of precip on the radar getting close. Did you get any thundersnow? The radar returns over Sioux Falls looked very impressive earlier this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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