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PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


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2006 redux? 1950? 2023?

  • Like 2

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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Pretty cool show at the Needle.

Happy New Year Everyone!

  • Like 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

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1 hour ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

PNW January 2023

Lots of ARs? More low level snow? Ice storm of the century? Or will California get the brunt of it all?

You'll get the rain and we'll get the cold and snow!

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

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EPS control says...let's do this!

1673827200-NG4hCKeVQKw.png

  • Like 3

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

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2023 arrived and the gunk cleared out.  Hmmm...

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

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2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Would this be a pattern that gives us undercutting snowstorms?

It would probably give some places snow before that weakness fills in under the block.

 

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

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It’s January…and it’s not snowing yet. Matt I hope you’re right about this month!

  • Snow 1

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-25

Coldest min-19

Sub 40 highs-9

Sub 32 highs-2

Sub 32 lows-19

Total snowfall-6.0” 

Monthly rainfall-2.86”

Wet season rainfall-16.35”

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Happy new year everybody!! Some good ballgames and model runs upcoming today!!

  • Like 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 31F (Dec 22, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 29 (Most recent: Jan 24, 2023)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 20, 2023)
  • Total snowfall: 0.25" (graupel)
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022 (graupel)
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022 (mostly graupel)
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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  • Staff
10 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

GFS has definitely been a NW outlier with this storm, even among its own ensembles. It's a point of discussion with NWS FSD over here - which track to believe. I've been riding with the Euro more than usual lately as the GFS seems to be flailing worse than usual and the NWS seems to be thinking the same. The Canadian has remained a nice middle ground and it's showing about 16 inches. For reference, FSD's highest daily snowfall is 18.1 inches on 3/10/56. 

gem-all-ncentus-total_snow_kuchera-2855200-2.png

12Z GFS shifted south. 

And the 06Z ECMWF was completely insane for your area... the biggest snowstorm of your life?

 

ecmwf-deterministic-minnesota-total_snow_kuchera-2876800.png

  • Like 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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  • Staff
3 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

30"+ of heavy wet snow is frozen solid this morning. Snow blowing and shoveling is gonna be a work out. 

20230101_075814.jpg

20230101_075718.jpg

Do you have a snowblower?  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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  • Longtimer
1 hour ago, Blizzard777 said:

Happy New Years from beautiful Prescott Az!   😂

Same weather as back home …yikes 

2F94889D-14E5-46DF-8929-CD2A179E9069.jpeg

I feel like the hotel I stayed at when I was in Prescott was right on the other side of that highway. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

We just gotta get through this month!

  • Like 3

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer

Before I head back home to the land of no internet, just want to say Happy New Year! Chilly cloudy morning. 37. 

  • Like 2

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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  • Longtimer
4 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Days get longer faster after that.

February has treated many of us very well! 

ECAD6644-05A2-44D7-9226-11C7A4928822.jpeg

BC67509F-E3ED-40BE-8A2B-FBED2D103214.jpeg

7934CF27-DC5D-4E73-8E81-D0B3EDB54221.jpeg

  • Like 3

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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  • Longtimer

Hit freezing this morning. Nice day. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 13.9"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Staff

12Z ECMWF is more reasonable with the Wednesday wind event compared to the crazy 12Z run yesterday (on bottom for comparison).  

ecmwf-deterministic-seattle-gust_swath_mph-3006400 (1).png

ecmwf-deterministic-seattle-gust_swath_mph-3006400.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF is more reasonable with the Wednesday wind event compared to the crazy 12Z run yesterday (on bottom for comparison).  

ecmwf-deterministic-seattle-gust_swath_mph-3006400 (1).png

ecmwf-deterministic-seattle-gust_swath_mph-3006400.png

You beat me to it.  Very glad to see this.  Still enough wind to be fun for people who like it without being destructive.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

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Decent 0z and 12z GFS runs today.  Both show things getting chilly around mid month.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

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For the people who are hung up on the SSW...

We really don't need it to flip the pattern.  The current and forecasted AO is already minus.  The first thing an SSW often does is flip the AO from plus to minus.  That having been said an SSW could be enough to shake up the pattern in this case, but the models are showing that at mid month regardless.  I've learned many times to never put your eggs in one basket in this game.

1672531200-o9SISjGfzY0grb2.png

  • Weenie 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

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The ECMWF shows temps dropping into the mid 30s by early evening tonight.  At least that's a bit chilly.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 7.5"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 10

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.4"

Coldest Low = 17

Lows 32 or below = 43

Highs 32 or below = 2

Lows 20 or below = 2

Highs 40 or below = 17

 

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