snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Latched? They seem to like the idea of that high moving off of Asia and eventually setting up shop over the Central / NE Pacific as a deep trough digs over the NW Pacific. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: It's at a point where a bit of a shift east and we get the sweet spot, plenty of time for that to happen. For sure. This is very early in the game still. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 I think we are at the point where we might start to see good EPS runs. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Down to 34. RIP Dori Monson. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Freezes? February gonna be so Kold it will have 31 freezes. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 30.7, nice chilly start to the month. Wish it was going to stay this Kold. We should be good through the first 4 days. We'll just have to wait and see how lucky or unlucky we end up for the 5 to 15 day period. After that I think we'll do at least ok. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, MossMan said: Down to 34. RIP Dori Monson. What? 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: Down to 34. RIP Dori Monson. Sad. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 The station of the gods has a 45/28 going for the day. Nippy start for January. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: February gonna be so Kold it will have 31 freezes. Uh 28? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Sad. What a shock. I had no idea anything was even wrong with him. I guess it was a heart attack. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Uh 28? I think it was implying it will be SO KOLD that a few of the lows will count for 2 freezes. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, snow_wizard said: I think it was implying it will be SO KOLD that a few of the lows will count for 2 freezes. I realized that after the fact lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 2, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 EURO still shows a strong push of easterlies as that low approaches. Still somewhat of a mountain wave signature to it I'd fathom-- strong winds from Enumclaw down to Ashland. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Already seeing the Pacific quite down a little at 180 hours, much faster than GFS. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: They seem to like the idea of that high moving off of Asia and eventually setting up shop over the Central / NE Pacific as a deep trough digs over the NW Pacific. Looking at the gfs long range ensemble the first run at it is a bit transitory. Then the real deal starts cooking. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Check out that jet extension over Asia. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 It appears the usual suspects for east winds will have a good blow centered around Wednesday, but just short of being a really serious event. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Check out that jet extension over Asia. I think one of the NWS mets was pointing a similar episode out before the last cold wave. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Looking at the gfs long range ensemble the first run at it is a bit transitory. Then the real deal starts cooking. Looks kind of like a log jam scenario. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Down to 33.3. Might have a shot at the 20s tonight. 1 Quote 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 48 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I think one of the NWS mets was pointing a similar episode out before the last cold wave. Yes, I believe the idea is that a ridge forms where it ends. In that frame jet stream still makes it into the northeast Pacific. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, Cold Snap said: Down to 33.3. Might have a shot at the 20s tonight. Kind of nice to see January getting off on a cold foot. It looks pretty chilly through Tuesday night at this point. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 30 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Looking at the gfs long range ensemble the first run at it is a bit transitory. Then the real deal starts cooking. The plan was for the real deal to begin in late Jan into early Feb. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 @snow_wizard 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 For those who want to see the SSW as it takes off this link is great for that. The big one will be starting in a few days. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 12 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: The plan was for the real deal to begin in late Jan into early Feb. I think my Jan 18 to Jan 25 call is looking really good right now. 3 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Down to 31.8 now and everything is icing up. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Down to 32.1 now. That’s going to make for a freeze today and a freeze tomorrow! Quote 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 48 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 7 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said: That year we got really low snow levels and did not reach 70 once in Downtown LA, but there were sunny days in between as no stupid inversion was able to form. I remember it being pretty wet for us in Covina that year. If we went to the Costco in San Dimas it would easily be 15 degrees cooler. I guess being closer to the mountains helped with that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Still can't put too much stock in EPS at this range. Look at the massive run to run change. Need to get higher heights in Alaska in future runs if we want progression like GEFS extended shows. In fact, the progression that keeps heights low in Alaska doesn't make much sense to me.  2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Discounting CFS, doesn't match GEFS or EPS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 GEPS nearly matches GEFS. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Please give me birthday snow. Right in the heart of winter, yet it has never happened other than a couple of flakes. Plenty of near misses. Jan 20th. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) According to ACIS, which has admittedly garbage snowfall records for Eugene, it hasn't snowed here on Jan 20th since 1952 and only twice since 1893. We should change that. To me this is much worse than the terrible streak of no white Christmases. And I'm awake for no particular reason and grumpy. Edited January 2, 2023 by Dave grumpy 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Strange morning... the east wind has surfaced here and its 42 up here and 45 in North Bend but the frost that formed yesterday evening is still on my son's car in the driveway. That must be the result of a low dewpoint. It seems odd to me but it happens fairly frequently on the first night when offshore flow kicks in. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 6z Goofus was interesting. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 00Z ECMWF showed this would be the coldest morning... and it did dip down to 30 briefly at SEA as it shows. It also shows warmer than normal weather ahead. 1 1 1 4 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 6 hours ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Still can't put too much stock in EPS at this range. Look at the massive run to run change. Need to get higher heights in Alaska in future runs if we want progression like GEFS extended shows. In fact, the progression that keeps heights low in Alaska doesn't make much sense to me.  If we do see the SSW event take shape, it generally leads to a pretty big atmospheric shake up. Those long range ensembles will be less useful than usual 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 06z GFS was decent. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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