Anti Marine Layer Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I think its more related to blocky extremes. We just had near record-setting cold spread across the US. Watch out for summer 2023. Record gloom in Southern California for this time of year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: The globe is on FIRE! Meanwhile snow is forecast on and off starting Wednesday IMBY. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 14 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Record gloom in Southern California for this time of year Record gloom? How is that measured? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 7 hours ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z ECMWF showed this would be the coldest morning... and it did dip down to 30 briefly at SEA as it shows. It also shows warmer than normal weather ahead. SEA up to 49... ECMWF way too cold today. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: SEA up to 49... ECMWF way too cold today. 41 here, breezy east wind too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Record gloom? How is that measured? Average number of mostly cloudy days. Normally they are sunny to partly cloudy days between storms here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Lies!! it’s like 40F Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Cats Meow Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Got my outside Christmas lights and decorations down. Nice day so far. No rain. 46 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 The models are having serious trouble making up their minds whether the high latitude heights will be above or below normal as we get into the middle third of the month. That ends up having big implications on how the pattern evolves after day 10. The SSW can't hurt in that regard. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: I think its more related to blocky extremes. We just had near record-setting cold spread across the US. Watch out for summer 2023. We’ll look back at this next summer and glad this happened. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 At this point the ECMWF has been slowly taming down the winds expected with the east wind event centered around Wednesday. My guess is places that are having east winds today will be about 50% stronger winds on Wednesday than today. An exception may be North Bend which had some pretty strong gusts today. I think places more like here and Enumclaw will be the ones to see the stronger winds on Wednesday. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Cloud said: We’ll look back at this next summer and glad this happened. The million dollar question is whether or not the big rains in CA this winter indicate we have gone through a major regime shift. If so, next summer may be a lot different than recent ones. Still a good chance that won't be the case though. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The models are having serious trouble making up their minds whether the high latitude heights will be above or below normal as we get into the middle third of the month. That ends up having big implications on how the pattern evolves after day 10. The SSW can't hurt in that regard. Unlatched 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, Deweydog said: Unlatched I was just going to mention this... yesterday it was latched down and settled. How could it be totally up in the air now? 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Unlatched I knew you were going to say something. Didn't waste much time either! 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I was just going to mention this... yesterday it was latched down and settled. How could it be totally up in the air now? Some aspects are staying pretty consistent such as the high moving off of Asia that ends up amplifying over the Pacific. The details are widely varied though. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 13 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The million dollar question is whether or not the big rains in CA this winter indicate we have gone through a major regime shift. If so, next summer may be a lot different than recent ones. Still a good chance that won't be the case though. 2016/17 was very wet in CA and we torched that summer like usual Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 2, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: At this point the ECMWF has been slowly taming down the winds expected with the east wind event centered around Wednesday. My guess is places that are having east winds today will be about 50% stronger winds on Wednesday than today. An exception may be North Bend which had some pretty strong gusts today. I think places more like here and Enumclaw will be the ones to see the stronger winds on Wednesday. Eh-- looks basically unchanged down here the past few days. Should be a purely downslope event with some decent upper level support. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I knew you were going to say something. Didn't waste much time either! Looks like a nino-esque hodgepodge until further notice to me. 4 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) Got very foggy all of a sudden. Edited January 2, 2023 by SilverFallsAndrew 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) Made it out to Lake Goodwin for the first time since October…The water level is slightly higher than the last time I was here. Forgot to put my fishing boat up on the concrete, oops. Seems okay and will deal with it in the spring. Nice day! Edited January 2, 2023 by MossMan 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 (edited) The uncle is doing uncle things for the all the Cali uncles. here is the heaviest 24 hr snowfall… Edited January 2, 2023 by Timmy 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 12Z EPS was really wet for CA over the next 15 days... and a little drier than normal up here. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Just now, Timmy said: The uncle is doing uncle things for the all the Cali uncles. Just a casual 17 feet of snow over the next 2 weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 @hawkstwelve Post some updates so we can live vicariously through you. Looks like the biggest snowstorm of your life has started! 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 40F with some light rain. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z EPS was really wet for CA over the next 15 days... and a little drier than normal up here. CA is the new Seattle 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 7 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: CA is the new Seattle It was 80 degrees on Christmas down there. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 39F and some breeze Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 Extreme torching is back for this Friday on the 12Z ECMWF. 1 2 3 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 250 inches of snow in places 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 NHL Winter Classic at T-Mobile! 58 with +RN incoming! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 2, 2023 Report Share Posted January 2, 2023 14 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Extreme torching is back for this Friday on the 12Z ECMWF. Then again, probably not. Operational is warmer than any ensemble member. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 Pathetic GFS run. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 8 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Winter storm warning for 6-15 inches. 18z GFS has finally got the axis placement closer to the other models and nails me with 20 inches. 18z RGEM was at 22 inches and 18z Euro was at 17. It was dumping snow for a little while but has lightened up a bit now. Looks like a couple inches already but the big stuff will be rolling through tomorrow morning. Thundersnow and 2-3 inch/hr rates are possible by then. It should be a doozy. Saw this and thought of you... 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Pathetic GFS run. What makes it good? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 47 minutes ago, Deweydog said: NHL Winter Classic at T-Mobile! 58 with +RN incoming! Torching Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 All of the big stations had a nice minus departure today. I'll take anything on the cold side of the ledger we can get in January. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 The 18z GEFS came out pretty good. Decent -PNA late in the run. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2023 Report Share Posted January 3, 2023 1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said: 250 inches of snow in places Pretty ridiculous how fast Mother Nature can even things out. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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