MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 The timing for Cold Februarys is pretty incredible. Looks like a good bet again. 5 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 1 minute ago, clipper_range said: 3rd week of January, it's going to be a beautiful showcase of cold and snow. Book it. I think we will know by tonight if there is a chance. Weeklies come out and GOA ridge should be in range. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 There is more snow in Brewster than at my cabin and that is a first. Normally brewster has 6-12 on the ground the first of the year not 30 plus. 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: EPS. I’d expect Tim to post this GOA trough garbage not you 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 I was going to stop and take some pics for Deweydog in pateras but i forgot. I would think the crops over there this year will be awesome with all the snow melt. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 Just now, TacomaWx said: I’d expect Tim to post this GOA trough garbage not you yea i should have just posted the end because i am curious to see how the ensembles bridge make the transition to what the extended (mostly GEEFS) has been showing...sorta looks like EPS is shutting things down at the end but still nothing close it seems. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: yea i should have just posted the end because i am curious to see how the ensembles bridge make the transition to what the extended (mostly GEEFS) has been showing...sorta looks like EPS is shutting things down at the end but still nothing close it seems. Yep…still a long ways to go until we start seeing some interesting stuff within 10 days on the OP models. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 9 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: yea i should have just posted the end because i am curious to see how the ensembles bridge make the transition to what the extended (mostly GEEFS) has been showing...sorta looks like EPS is shutting things down at the end but still nothing close it seems. The GOA trough retrograde is well agreed upon, just a matter of where the ridge gets pumped up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 21 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: 55 at SEA-TAC and 43 at home, Still doing the cool pool thing over here. I will look when i get home but i don't think it has been 50 degrees at home since late October. 54 degrees in North Bend... 8th day over 50 just since Christmas Eve let alone October. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 I will have snow on the ground at some point in January! MBG! It’s coming! Granted it will probably be January 31st and on into February…But it’s coming!! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 Euro monthly says....February!....NW flow for everyone. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 OT... but the affidavit released on the Idaho murder suspect is fascinating. He is no criminal mastermind. Thankfully we have DNA technology and cell phone data. So much was made of poor investigative work before the arrest but they got him. Hopefully he doesn't get the death penalty because rotting in isolation in a cement cage for the rest of his life would be better. 5 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: OT... but the affidavit released on the Idaho murder suspect is fascinating. He is no criminal mastermind. Thankfully we have DNA technology and cell phone data. So much was made of poor investigative work before the arrest but they got him. Hopefully he doesn't get the death penalty because rotting in isolation in a cement cage for the rest of his life would be better. I agree 100% 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Ended up with about 16 inches from the storm. With our existing 5-8 inches on the ground, it adds up to... A whole lotta snow. Makes our little neighborhood seem like it should be in the mountains. Our golden is absolutely loving her first experience with the snow. She can't get enough! Truly awesome pics! Looks gorgeous. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Truly awesome pics! Looks gorgeous. Nothing like real powder. Amazing how much traction it has compared to slush. That looks like the kind of snow we get at my property. Love it! 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Nothing like real powder. Amazing how much traction it has compared to slush. That looks like the kind of snow we get at my property. Love it! But I have seen even that type of snow turn into bad traction on the roads after a few days of sun and wind with temps below freezing and constant traffic. It becomes a shiny smooth surface. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 Weeklies! yay! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: But I have seen even that type of snow turn into bad traction on the roads after a few days of sun and wind with temps below freezing and constant traffic. It becomes a shiny smooth surface. thats basically how our driveway in twisp turns into after a few weeks of winter. Then when we get any additional snow on top of it its slicker than heck. And if your happen to veer off the hard compact "ruts" from the first trips up the soft sides are just like quicksand and suck you sideways lolz 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 We have reached the 60F-burger!! 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 6 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Weeklies! yay! Another January is toast. Perhaps a little window for some continental air in the first week of February Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 Really outstanding weeklies. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 Conflicting reports! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 29 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Really outstanding weeklies. 10hpa Temps, Weekly mean. Jan 20-30: Jan 31-Feb 06 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Conflicting reports! The fact is January was never going to deliver. 1 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 3 1 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 Maybe the only thing that could mess up our February would be an SSW. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: The fact is January was never going to deliver. There could still be something in the final week. Not ready to fully count it out yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 24 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Stratosphere forecast I assume. What are the dates for it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 Just now, ShawniganLake said: Stratosphere forecast I assume. What are the dates for it oh ya whoops. didnt realize they didnt have em watermarked somewhere since its straight from ECMWF site. First is 23-30 Jan, second is the week after that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Maybe the only thing that could mess up our February would be an SSW. Inverse of Feb 2019? SSW saved our winter during a Nino. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Inverse of Feb 2019? SSW saved our winter during a Nino. I’m kidding. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 Any significant shift in the models will not take place until the house has a speaker. 1 6 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Any significant shift in the models will not take place until the house has a speaker. 2025?! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/150797/weather-whiplash Interesting read on the December cold snap and the behavior of the polar vortex. Doesn't quite connect the dots for the reader about how the structure of the polar vortex is related to temperatures at the surface, but still kind of interesting. Forum favorite Judah Cohen is quoted. EDIT: Another article explains that we don't really understand how the polar vortex is related to temperatures at the surface. Sometimes arctic air spills south without a polar vortex disruption, and sometime polar vortex disruptions happen without arctic air spilling south... https://www.climate.gov/news-features/understanding-climate/understanding-arctic-polar-vortex 4 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 12 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Any significant shift in the models will not take place until the house has a speaker. Almost feels like it's contrived as a way for various House GOP members to build their national profiles. Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Everleigh Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 Hit 61.9* just before 11am today. The wind has picked up here in Yelm this afternoon as well, getting a few 20mph gusts.... 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Seattle Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 4 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I still contend 2020-21 counts as a dud, even for W. WA. I know this has already been belabored, but the only thing I even remember from that winter is the 3-day period that produced the best snowstorm of my life. And there's no way you can count that winter close to a dud, even if it was a turd pretty much before and after. 11" of dry powder that fell with temps between 20-23 followed by another 2-3" of wet snow the following day... It was magical, even if quite short in duration. Meanwhile the torch is ON. 55 after hitting 56 here in N. Seattle. Yesterday it hit 53. 5 Quote 2022-23 Winter: 11/29: .25" + 1" = 1.25" | 11/30: .25" 12/2: .2" + .5" = .7" | 12/3: .2" | 12/4: trace 12/18: .4" | 12/19: .2" + .8" = 1.0" | 12/20: .2 + 1.5" = 1.7 1/31: trace | 2/14: trace | 2/22: .2 | 2/26: 1.0" Total: 6.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 5 minutes ago, Seattle said: I know this has already been belabored, but the only thing I even remember from that winter is the 3-day period that produced the best snowstorm of my life. And there's no way you can count that winter close to a dud, even if it was a turd pretty much before and after. 11" of dry powder that fell with temps between 20-23 followed by another 2-3" of wet snow the following day... It was magical, even if quite short in duration. Meanwhile the torch is ON. 55 after hitting 56 here in N. Seattle. Yesterday it hit 53. It was a dud for 75% of the forum. Anything south of Seattle go skunked. The Artic air got hung up around Everett I think. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 A bunch of 60 degree readings around Tacoma. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 5, 2023 Report Share Posted January 5, 2023 8 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: It was a dud for 75% of the forum. Anything south of Seattle go skunked. The Artic air got hung up around Everett I think. I think you’re mixing up January 2020 and February 2021. February 2021 is what he/she is talking about…which was the huge shortlived snowstorm. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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