Seattle Posted January 6, 2023 Report Share Posted January 6, 2023 Past three days... Yikes. 53/36 57/46 52 (thus far)/41 1 Quote 2022-23 Winter: 11/29: .25" + 1" = 1.25" | 11/30: .25" 12/2: .2" + .5" = .7" | 12/3: .2" | 12/4: trace 12/18: .4" | 12/19: .2" + .8" = 1.0" | 12/20: .2 + 1.5" = 1.7 1/31: trace | 2/14: trace | 2/22: .2 | 2/26: 1.0" Total: 6.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 6, 2023 Report Share Posted January 6, 2023 5 hours ago, TT-SEA said: That is strange... but then you have to assume it was not unusual for people to be wandering around that house at night being that it was a party house. At the time she probably never imagined her roommates were being murdered. She might have been drunk or high and didn't want to deal with the police. Of course in hindsight it now seems obvious and she will have to live with that for the rest of her life. Completely agree. I probably would have done the same in that context, honestly. In a party house, some familiar dude there in the early morning. Wouldn't have thought much of it, especially if I were working on a joint at the time. Tragic. Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 6, 2023 Report Share Posted January 6, 2023 OT convos are ok as long as they don't conflict with and suppress weather discussion 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 6, 2023 Report Share Posted January 6, 2023 Vortex is going to set up right on top of us!!!! lock it in february MBG woo woooo!! train has left the station 4 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2023 Report Share Posted January 6, 2023 Question is… did OJ do it? 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 6, 2023 Report Share Posted January 6, 2023 These have to be some of the straight up ugliest model runs I've seen in years. 1 1 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 6, 2023 Report Share Posted January 6, 2023 41 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Vortex is going to set up right on top of us!!!! lock it in february MBG woo woooo!! train has left the station 10mb level does not equal 500mb level. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 I guess I have to say as horrific as the current pattern is it makes something good seem kind of likely later on. Just hope it isn't too late to preclude the chance of something big. Meanwhile the chances are high of another terrible January ending up in the books. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TT-SEA Posted January 7, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: These have to be some of the straight up ugliest model runs I've seen in years. Duuuuuude. You have been over-the-top excited about how frigid its been for the last 2 months. You would think its been like the Yukon in Seattle. Now we have the inevitable offset for a couple weeks and you are being over-the-top negative. In reality its all just small variations in our maritime climate winter. There will likely be more cold and snow coming. 10 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: These have to be some of the straight up ugliest model runs I've seen in years. Hmmm it’s like every January. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 hour ago, TacomaWx said: Another +50 high here today. 50/37 so far. I'll be damned if the ECMWF wasn't right about dropping into the 30s last night. A tiny win I guess. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I'll be damned if the ECMWF wasn't right about dropping into the 30s last night. A tiny win I guess. ECMWF also says lots of highs in the 50s ahead and it will probably be right on that as well. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Duuuuuude. You have been over-the-top excited about how frigid its been for the last 2 months. You would think its been like Cut Bank Montana in Seattle. Now we have the inevitable offset for a couple weeks and you are being over-the-top negative. In reality its all just small variations in a maritime climate winter. There will likely be more cold and snow coming. It appeared we had a realistic shot at a 1984-85 or 1992-93 type winter with consistent cold straight through. Sure those winters had some minor / short mild periods. Nothing like this though. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: These have to be some of the straight up ugliest model runs I've seen in years. Weren't we literally posting June 2021 Euro 2mT graphs just this morning? Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: ECMWF also says lots of highs in the 50s ahead and it will probably be right on that as well. I'm well aware. That's why I said the model runs are terrible today. This pattern just keeps the atmosphere perpetually mixed. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 Just now, Meatyorologist said: Weren't we literally posting June 2021 Euro 2mT graphs just this morning? I meant in the winter. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Hmmm it’s like every January. If something doesn't change this could end up being uglier than any so far. I think a fair number of people on here thought this January might at least end up ok. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 Talk about a good time to be living along the east slopes of the Cascades (Chelan, Douglas, and Okanogan Counties in particular) though. Probably going to be some of the coldest weather in the country there due to cold air damming over the next week. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Talk about a good time to be living along the east slopes of the Cascades (Chelan, Douglas, and Okanogan Counties in particular) though. Probably going to be some of the coldest weather in the country there due to cold air damming over the next week. Doesn't sound too pleasant. I will take our 40s and 50s. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 28 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: These have to be some of the straight up ugliest model runs I've seen in years. Another batch of torch maps to post! Maybe there’s more 60-burgers on the horizon! Not trying to troll. Well, I guess I am trying to troll… a little. Mostly I am trying to have fun no matter what the weather does. If it snows again, I’ll have fun with that, too. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 35 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: These have to be some of the straight up ugliest model runs I've seen in years. Really? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 So you guys are saying it's going to snow next week? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 55 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: 10mb level does not equal 500mb level. I thought my Thomas the tank engine gifs would have gotten the point across but I guess not Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 8 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said: So you guys are saying it's going to snow next week? It sure is! Just not in the western lowlands. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 19 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Really? Just talking about my microclimate in specific, I guess. Looks like nearly continuous endless pesky east winds and little chance of anything cold. As an interesting aside...my cat hates wind and she was pretty distraught the other night. Didn't want to go outside because of the wind and yet she won't use a litter box. At least the coming wind will mostly be light enough to where that won't be a problem at least. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 High of 47.5°F here today. 50-burger denied. So sad. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 On the “bright” side, today is the first day I’ve noticed the daylight lingering a bit longer… It IS coming. 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Just talking about my microclimate in specific, I guess. Looks like nearly continuous endless pesky east winds and little chance of anything cold. As an interesting aside...my cat hates wind and she was pretty distraught the other night. Didn't want to go outside because of the wind and yet she won't use a litter box. At least the coming wind will mostly be light enough to where that won't be a problem at least. First World problems! 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 56 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: If something doesn't change this could end up being uglier than any so far. I think a fair number of people on here thought this January might at least end up ok. January 2018 and 19 were top 5 warm down here. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 Evening torch watch: 12Z Euro moves next week’s best torching up a day from Friday to Thursday. (Temperatures stay remarkably the same.) Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: January 2018 and 19 were top 5 warm down here. 2020 was also the second warmest on record here. 2021 was 6th Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 I just have to figure out how to make peace with the fact we've lost another January. Maybe it will still be an acceptable winter if February is good. On the other hand it's really hard to have what I'd call a great winter without January participating. Some recent winters have given it a good try I suppose. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: January 2018 and 19 were top 5 warm down here. It's been ugly. For now we just have to figure warm Jan / hot summer every year until further notice. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JW8 Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I just have to figure out how to make peace with the fact we've lost another January. Maybe it will still be an acceptable winter if February is good. On the other hand it's really hard to have what I'd call a great winter without January participating. Some recent winters have given it a good try I suppose. Life sure is more enjoyable when you learn to quickly accept things you can't control. Easier said than done, I know... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 The ECMWF is about to rip the 10mb vortex in two at day 10. Might be enough to reshuffle the deck. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 2 minutes ago, JW8 said: Life sure is more enjoyable when you learn to quickly accept things you can't control. Easier said than done, I know... Yup. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I just have to figure out how to make peace with the fact we've lost another January. Maybe it will still be an acceptable winter if February is good. On the other hand it's really hard to have what I'd call a great winter without January participating. Some recent winters have given it a good try I suppose. Last week or so of the month is up for grabs. 3 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: I'm well aware. That's why I said the model runs are terrible today. This pattern just keeps the atmosphere perpetually mixed. Can’t seem to decouple here either. Skies are clear now but it doesn’t seem to be helping. IMBY https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2023-01-6/2023-01-6/daily Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 16 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Last week or so of the month is up for grabs. Models look to bring the MJO to phase 2 from what I can tell late month/early Feb which is very cold for the west I think but I might be wrong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 7, 2023 Report Share Posted January 7, 2023 17 minutes ago, Phil said: Can’t seem to decouple here either. Skies are clear now but it doesn’t seem to be helping. IMBY https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2023-01-6/2023-01-6/daily We got lucky this morning when it cleared and was able to calm down at the same time. Dropped about 10 degrees in a couple of hours. Won't be seeing much of that again anytime soon though. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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