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PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


Requiem

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18 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Models look to bring the MJO to phase 2 from what I can tell late month/early Feb which is very cold for the west I think but I might be wrong

2 is almost always troughy for us at least.  That gives us SSW and MJO as wild cards to mix things up.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

Just talking about my microclimate in specific, I guess.  Looks like nearly continuous endless pesky east winds and little chance of anything cold.

As an interesting aside...my cat hates wind and she was pretty distraught the other night.  Didn't want to go outside because of the wind and yet she won't use a litter box.  At least the coming wind will mostly be light enough to where that won't be a problem at least.

Does.... your house reek of cat piss?

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That is a good point about the MJO.  The 12z EPS showed a Western ridge developing at the end of the run, but that would have to be transitory with MJO 2.  Almost impossible for a Western Ridge to survive in that phase.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

Does.... your house reek of cat piss?

No.  She must have eventually gone out.  I really felt bad for her, because you could see the internal struggle going on.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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23 minutes ago, Phil said:

Can’t seem to decouple here either. Skies are clear now but it doesn’t seem to be helping.

IMBY

https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2023-01-6/2023-01-6/daily

Have you gotten any snow at all this season yet?

It's called clown range for a reason.

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This would have been cool to experience. 

423C2753-C648-4688-864A-0C4E6C345DFC.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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16 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

Unsure if this has been posted here yet, but I saw it on Reddit and found it interesting...

image.thumb.png.a7eae2c0c57365fcc15e13f5e569716e.png"NOAA-19 weather satellite tipped over after a worker removed the bolts without proper documentation - repairs cost $135 million"

Jesus God how dumb can people be? Hmm let's remove the bolts and see why they are there! 

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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19 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This would have been cool to experience. 

423C2753-C648-4688-864A-0C4E6C345DFC.png

Wow!  That 1924 freeze was epic for sure.

This weekend I might tally up all of the Arctic outbreaks in the 1920s.  The number is pretty amazing I'm sure.  Then after all of those we had the epic freeze of January 1930.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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36 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

Unsure if this has been posted here yet, but I saw it on Reddit and found it interesting...

image.thumb.png.a7eae2c0c57365fcc15e13f5e569716e.png"NOAA-19 weather satellite tipped over after a worker removed the bolts without proper documentation - repairs cost $135 million"

I would hope the idiot got fired.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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What a lovely evening.    Just got back from dinner... not raining and so comfortable.    This did not go unnoticed by wife who commented that it feels like spring.   Of course actual spring will be worse.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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If I remember correctly I was wearing shorts back on January 12th 2019…Let’s hope some torching now leads to greatness a few weeks down the road! 

EBBE325D-CD3F-4F01-8CA4-2B1F6CF9F93B.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

What a lovely evening.    Just got back from dinner... not raining and so comfortable.    This did not go unnoticed by wife who commented that it feels like spring.   Of course actual spring will be worse.  

Rained up here. .04” worth! Now up to .06” on the month! 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Out on the porch with my wife and she commented that we will surely pay for this warmth in February and March.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Another one. 

5DC7A448-8D5C-4BFA-998D-0D1D25F76E50.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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It was in the upper 50s all the way from Lebanon to Stayton this evening. 50 here. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Our average high is 41. Mega torch. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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44 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Out on the porch with my wife and she commented that we will surely pay for this warmth in February and March.

Sad truth right there.

52 in North Bend right now.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

If I remember correctly I was wearing shorts back on January 12th 2019…Let’s hope some torching now leads to greatness a few weeks down the road! 

EBBE325D-CD3F-4F01-8CA4-2B1F6CF9F93B.jpeg

I still wear shorts a lot in the winter around the house. Our usual weather is mild enough that it's not much of an issue.

Edited by BLI snowman
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Shorts are great. It’s like underwear, but socially acceptable to wear in public. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

If I remember correctly I was wearing shorts back on January 12th 2019…Let’s hope some torching now leads to greatness a few weeks down the road! 

EBBE325D-CD3F-4F01-8CA4-2B1F6CF9F93B.jpeg

I forgot just how big of a turd that month was.  58/48 here on that day.

  • Sun 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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32 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Another chilly day here. 45 after a low of 36. Just checked and I have not been 50 degrees or warmer since November 5th at home.

Not sure how you've avoided 50 on some of those days.  I can kind of see it today.  We actually did manage to get an inversion of sorts set up in some places.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I forgot just how big of a turd that month was.  58/48 here on that day.

We were all despondent by that point. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Another one. 

5DC7A448-8D5C-4BFA-998D-0D1D25F76E50.png

I'll see your Willamette and raise you a Columbia circa 1930.

 

Frozen Columbia.jpg

  • Like 6

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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33 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Sad truth right there.

52 in North Bend right now.   

I just pray we can avoid an awful spring like we had last year.  That was mentally exhausting. 

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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This is another mind blower.  Lake Union in probably 1916.

 

 

Lake Union.jpg

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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22 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Not sure how you've avoided 50 on some of those days.  I can kind of see it today.  We actually did manage to get an inversion of sorts set up in some places.

It's been crazy, yesterday it was 56 in Port orchard but in the low 40's 20 minutes later at home. There has been a persistent cool pool of air over here.

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I just pray we can avoid an awful spring like we had last year.  That was mentally exhausting. 

Idk what you have against cold in spring. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The GFS is still pretty bad for the entire run, but there are a couple of slightly cooler interludes in week two.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Idk what you have against cold in spring. 

The gloom was horrific up here.  I would love something like April 1951 which had 15 to 20 freezing mins in this area.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I'll see your Willamette and raise you a Columbia circa 1930.

 

Frozen Columbia.jpg

There are stories of people driving across the hood canal from union to hoodsport. That is over 1 mile of salt water crossing lol. I have a book that talks about it. 

 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Snoqualmie Falls January 1950312EA997-1E7A-413F-BC84-0370C01FCE42.thumb.jpeg.555fe801af4450d9bb975094567d0cb7.jpeg

Never saw that one before!  Wow!

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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