Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 00z ECMWF Day 9'er. Ugly, Disjointed. Dry. This ain't worth a velvet painting of a whale and a dolphin gettin' it on. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: You know things are bleak when Rob makes a mid winter appearance. This is very true. .... or did I come back just as a prolific blast emerges near the end of the month? Stay tuned! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: This is very true. .... or did I come back just as a prolific blast emerges near the end of the month? Stay tuned! Only Kevin Martin knows. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Only Kevin Martin knows. Yep, if that is his real name. If only we could contact him, or somehow summon him to the forum. WAIT. NO. No, we probably don't want that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Only Kevin Martin knows. I think even he lacked the hubris for year+ lead times with his forecasts. January 2023! 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Nice to see the Columbia Basin/Gorge cooling down. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 No CFS update tonight. Temp down to 41F here. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: I think even he lacked the hubris for year+ lead times with his forecasts. January 2023! I made my January wishcast last February, J-dog. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I made my January wishcast last February, J-dog. Almost within CFS range 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 A comfortable 41F and cloudy out there. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: A comfortable 41F and cloudy out there. A great night to get absolutely zooted. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 00z GEFS full run. Nice improvements. Strong retrogression. The Pacific is definitely shut down with a big blocking ridge over the North Pacific up through western Alaska. I'd like to see that ridge further east-northeast. Southeast US ridge builds in. Not an arctic blast pattern, but it's not warm either. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 wake me up when fantasy maps show widespread 40inches of snow. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Cold Snap Posted January 17, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Got back from my Leavenworth trip today. Snow was really deep there and it’s a really great town with a lot to do and is on my list of places I would live. The walk around the park was slippery but gorgeous! 11 1 Quote 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 48 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2022 said: wake me up when fantasy maps show widespread 40inches of snow. Set your alarm for the 23rd. A nice hibernation period. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 6 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 26 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Almost within CFS range That's great, but when is the arctic blast within NAM range? What's better though. CFS vs NAM. GO! 12z ECMWF in 9 hours 58 minutes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Here we go! 00z GFS (February 1st) in 377 hours 14 minutes 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: I'm kind of surprised how glum this place is right now. We just broke out of a horrifically awful pattern and there have been numerous indications of something really good coming up. Your ability to go from ranting about how horrible our climate is and assuming the worst... to expecting (and eventually demanding) people get excited at the same time you do is infinitely entertaining to watch every winter. 6 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Here we go! Nice run to run change. 7 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just now, snow_wizard said: Here we go! nice run to run change. Nice improvement. Getting there. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Better than I was expecting quite frankly. 5 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just now, snow_wizard said: Better than I was expecting quite frankly. Not bad at all. Just need the block amplified further east towards Yukon. This nearly mirrors the GEFS. Exceptional agreement really. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Not bad at all. Just need the block amplified further east towards Yukon. This nearly mirrors the GEFS. Exceptional agreement really. And they are both sharper with the blocking tonight. Now we're getting somewhere. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 It might get a tad blustery for the north sound tomorrow afternoon. Nothing serious, but some 10-15mph range. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Improvement is obvious when comparing runs. Still a lot 40-degree high members that need to be eliminated. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Gfs still not on board. At some point the models will need to show something… 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Night Shift 6z GFS Op v.s. GEFS. The Op run is clearly out to lunch (Chipotle?) after Day 8. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Night Shift 6z GFS Op v.s. GEFS. The Op run is clearly out to lunch (Chipotle?) after Day 8. When do we get invited to dinner? Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 It's nice to see the GEFS and EPS in lock-step bringing chilly temps back to the Gorge, Columbia Basin. You can see the Op was an outlier with both ensembles. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: When do we get invited to dinner? The 26th is roughly when the main full-course dinner will appear. It's going to be quite a spread, but not on the ensembles. No spinach though. ***k spinach and popeye. 12z GFS in 1 hour 24 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Low of 41 this morning 43 now. Since Christmas we have only had 1 freeze and a handful of lows in the 30s. Mostly highs in the 50s too. Quite the switch from late October through December 23rd. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Since Christmas I’ve had 23 consecutive low temperatures warmer than average. January is running +5.3F so far. What a torch! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Got cold again in twisp down to 22. Beautiful morning 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: Got cold again in twisp down to 22. Beautiful morning Wow... so much snow on the ground for being a very dry area. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 29F and chilly outside after those warmer days. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 18 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Since Christmas I’ve had 23 consecutive low temperatures warmer than average. January is running +5.3F so far. What a torch! We've managed to sneak in 4-5 freezes so far this month, but I would say at least 1/3 of our lows this month have been warmer than the average high, and given that the first half of the month the average low is 29, no below average lows either. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: We've managed to sneak in 4-5 freezes so far this month, but I would say at least 1/3 of our lows this month have been warmer than the average high, and given that the first half of the month the average low is 29, no below average lows either. We have not been below freezing here since the early morning hours of Christmas Eve. Drizzle and 41 this morning. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Got cold again in twisp down to 22. Beautiful morning Where are the trees?! 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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