SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Last night's CFS was darn chilly, but it does delay the cold until a few days into February. It still might be coming. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Dribbles and 41. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: Dribbles and 41. How's the fuzz looking big dogg? 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Looking at the GFS ensembles there really is not much to get excited about through the end of the month. The coldest point on the ensemble mean is actually Thursday morning. Only a few members get below -6C at SLE by the end of the month. EURO ensembles have quite a few more chilly members, a few down below -10C. 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: How's the fuzz looking big dogg? It’s still coming! 3 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 better than nothing 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 The models are all quite dry for CA now going forward... the faucet has been abruptly turned off again. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 20 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: better than nothing I get cold rain while SEA and PDX get snow! Wish (of many here) granted! 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 13 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: I get cold rain while SEA and PDX get snow! Wish (of many here) granted! Details should be nailed down for this period by now. 3 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Details should be nailed down for this period by now. As Michael Snyder is fond of saying: “for amusement purposes only.” 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 12Z GEFS at 300 hours... comparing to previous runs the GOA ridge signal has been trending weaker and the flow is more zonal as a result. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Tyler Mode Posted January 17, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Marshmallow goodness from Crater Lake this morning! 14 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 8 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said: Marshmallow goodness from Crater Lake this morning! Pity the Lodge does not rent rooms in the winter. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 A quick look around the immediate region is pretty uniform this morning. Looking calm and gray over Westport, Washington. Currently 45F degrees there. Vancouver, BC is also cloudy this morning at a temp of 44F. They expect a high of 47F today. The sun is partially rising over Anchorage, Alaska this morning. The temperature is 22F with a high of 31F expected. Today will be mostly sunny for them and the rest of the week cloudy. No snow in their forecast. Corvallis, Oregon is under cloudy skies and at 47F today. Spokane, Washington is also cloudy this morning, but not wet like much of the region. Currently 36F degrees with a high of 41F expected. 6 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Drizzly and 42 here this morning. 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 27 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: A quick look around the immediate region is pretty uniform this morning. Looking calm and gray over Westport, Washington. Currently 45F degrees there. Vancouver, BC is also cloudy this morning at a temp of 44F. They expect a high of 47F today. The sun is partially rising over Anchorage, Alaska this morning. The temperature is 22F with a high of 31F expected. Today will be mostly sunny for them and the rest of the week cloudy. No snow in their forecast. Eugene, Oregon is under cloudy skies and at 47F today. Spokane, Washington is also cloudy this morning, but not wet like much of the region. Currently 36F degrees with a high of 41F expected. Mmmmm… Jersey Mike’s. I think that’s Corvallis though. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 51 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z GEFS at 300 hours... comparing to previous runs the GOA ridge signal has been trending weaker and the flow is more zonal as a result. It’s over. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: The models are all quite dry for CA now going forward... the faucet has been abruptly turned off again. Yep that's out mid winter dry spell which is unusually late this year. The shortest ever was 8 days and the longest was 57 days. 2-3 weeks is pretty normal and much needed now. https://ggweather.com/enso/winter_dry_spells.htm 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 9 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: Yep that's out mid winter dry spell which is unusually late this year. The shortest ever was 8 days and the longest was 57 days. 2-3 weeks is pretty normal and much needed now. https://ggweather.com/enso/winter_dry_spells.htm Praying for no rain 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 12Z ECMWF is far from inspiring at 240 hours. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Yeah, we’ve completely lost the end of the month now. I do think first week of February gets chilly though we are trending towards a low amplitude ridge and deep west coast troughing with is interesting but not super cold. Seeing some support in extended runs for what the CFS is showing for February. Kind of an odd dynamic. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 For perspective, 2006 was a BLAST FURNACE until Valentine’s Day. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah, we’ve completely lost the end of the month now. I do think first week of February gets chilly though we are trending towards a low amplitude ridge and deep west coast troughing with is interesting but not super cold. Seeing some support in extended runs for what the CFS is showing for February. Kind of an odd dynamic. Clown range doing clown range things. It may well come back. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 GEPS improved. It’s gonna get cold in early February. January was most likely DOA but we basically knew that as early as mid December. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Get some sun breaks now... drizzle ended a couple hours ago. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 24 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: GEPS improved. It’s gonna get cold in early February. January was basically DOA but we basically knew that as early as mid December. We basically knew that as early as mid-December 2017. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 12z EPS not bad at all. 6 Quote 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 48 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 I loves me some amorphous blue shapes over us. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 SSW education! 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Here are the 850s. 5 Quote 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 48 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF is far from inspiring at 240 hours. It’s double over. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 hour ago, Eujunga said: Corvallis; Eugene. Oregon State; University of Oregon. Whatevs. It's all the same down there in Baja. Calling your region Baja is a bit much. Bakersfield is not even within 200 miles of Baja California Norte. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 15 minutes ago, Deweydog said: SSW education! Cool video thanks matt I learned some stuff even though it had an unsettling lack of sarcasm Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 20 minutes ago, Cold Snap said: 12z EPS not bad at all. Step back though... trough is farther east than 00Z run at that time. I am sure something is coming in February but not sure how fast it will come. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Slight step back on the ensembles 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 It’s becoming a tradition! 1 2 5 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Hmmm.... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 hours ago, NWbyNW said: A quick look around the immediate region is pretty uniform this morning. Looking calm and gray over Westport, Washington. Currently 45F degrees there. Vancouver, BC is also cloudy this morning at a temp of 44F. They expect a high of 47F today. The sun is partially rising over Anchorage, Alaska this morning. The temperature is 22F with a high of 31F expected. Today will be mostly sunny for them and the rest of the week cloudy. No snow in their forecast. Eugene, Oregon is under cloudy skies and at 47F today. Spokane, Washington is also cloudy this morning, but not wet like much of the region. Currently 36F degrees with a high of 41F expected. The sun has shined through a bit periodically this morning. Overcast now though. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: It’s becoming a tradition! Looks about right! 3 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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