MossMan Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Hmmm.... Neutral would be awesome!! 5 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Our annual sales conference is in FL 2/13 - 2/17. I couldn't get out of going lol. Half a** tried, but used up my travel mulligans to stay home from biz travel for the main cold event in December.  so if you want to know when it's coming, bet the house on that week 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 hours ago, Deweydog said: Mmmmm… Jersey Mike’s. I think that’s Corvallis though. Oh my gosh.  I messed up.  I was thinking Corvallis and typed Eugene.  UGH.  Sorry.  I do that sometimes.  I guess I was just thinking of all the great people from Eugene here on the forums.  I fixed the original post.  Mmmmm.... Sub sandwiches. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 6 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Oh my gosh.  I messed up.  I was thinking Corvallis and typed Eugene.  UGH.  Sorry.  I do that sometimes.  I guess I was just thinking of all the great people from Eugene here on the forums.  I fixed the original post.  Mmmmm.... Sub sandwiches. I grew up eating those on the east coast. When I got to CA 12 years ago they were rare there and there is to this day only 2 or 3 in the Spokane area. good stuff 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Has there been a quadruple dip La Niña in recorded history? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: Has there been a quadruple dip La Niña in recorded history? I do not think so Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 10 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: I grew up eating those on the east coast. When I got to CA 12 years ago they were rare there and there is to this day only 2 or 3 in the Spokane area. good stuff I've always wondered what the best 'chain' sub sandwich shop is.  I know people who swear by every single one of them.  I have never had Jersey Mike's or Firehouse Subs.  I don't eat out practically ever, but I should give those a try sometime. When I was on the east coast, I loved the sub shops.  The best one's of course being the Mom n' Pop pop up making classic subs with longtime recipes.  No portioning, they just slapped em on thick.  1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Jim, can you cancel winter again pls? That always seems to help. 1 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Looking at the end of the 12z GFS, the progression looked pretty reasonable. Not a sexy arctic blast, but a non-negative outcome. Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 All this talk of 2006, there was a nice cold trough that March. Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 40 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Jim, can you cancel winter again pls? That always seems to help. The models need to get significantly torchier for late Jan / early Feb in order for that to happen. BRING ON THE 60-BURGERS! Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 This run is pretty cringe so far. 1 Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 hour ago, NWbyNW said: Oh my gosh. Â I messed up. Â I was thinking Corvallis and typed Eugene. Â UGH. Â Sorry. Â I do that sometimes. Â I guess I was just thinking of all the great people from Eugene here on the forums. Â I fixed the original post. Â Mmmmm.... Sub sandwiches. That Jersey Mike's is my go-to for outdoor trips. Ate one of their sandwiches on top of Lava Butte last spring. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: This run is pretty cringe so far. like Tim said, its unsettling how much the GFS operational wants nothing to do with showing the goods in fantasy land 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 28 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: All this talk of 2006, there was a nice cold trough that March. The thing was a BEAST. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: like Tim said, its unsettling how much the GFS operational wants nothing to do with showing the goods in fantasy land My concern is we are trending towards a coolish boring pattern. Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Just now, Deweydog said: The thing was a BEAST. In Silverton/Mt. Angel that was our only sticking snow of the winter after missing out on the little December event. Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: The thing was a BEAST. I think it got a bit chilly up here? I don’t remember any snow. I could be wrong. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Actually almost got stuck up on Bald Peak in my old truck during that March event, easily 6-8" up there, not quite to the top. Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 It’s over…Again. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Looks like a nice trough dropping down at the end of the run. Might be a case of delayed gratification. Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Da models will look different next week. MBG 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 18 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: like Tim said, its unsettling how much the GFS operational wants nothing to do with showing the goods in fantasy land It's coming 6 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 17 minutes ago, Deweydog said: The thing was a BEAST. What dates was this trough in March 2006? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 5 minutes ago, Doinko said: It's coming heck ya!!! now i feel much better 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: What dates was this trough in March 2006? It seemed like it was around the 8-10th. One of the colder March's at the Silver Falls station though the run of 08,09, and 12' were colder. https://climate.usu.edu/mapServer/reports/e15daily.php?stn=USC00357809&year=2006&month=3&unit=EN&network=direct:ghcn&sidebar=0 Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It seemed like it was around the 8-10th. One of the colder March's at the Silver Falls station though the run of 08,09, and 12' were colder. https://climate.usu.edu/mapServer/reports/e15daily.php?stn=USC00357809&year=2006&month=3&unit=EN&network=direct:ghcn&sidebar=0 Interesting... Snoqualmie Falls had highs of 48, 45, 41, 50 from 3/8-11 in 2006 with a trace of snow.  But Cedar Lake station at 1,500 feet had about 6 inches of snow in that period. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 17, 2023 Report Share Posted January 17, 2023 Swing and a miss 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 11 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Swing and a miss Long Beach! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 32 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: What dates was this trough in March 2006? I think it moved in on 3/8 maybe? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Could be a little 35-degree c-zone snow along the I-90 corridor out here tomorrow evening. Â 8 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 How big does a mountain need to be for upsloping/downslopingto to happen? For example, the Olympics/Cascades are great examples. However, tiger Moutains peak is 3,000ft. Yet, there is no effect really (that I am aware of). Just bored and doing research when I should be working 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 GEFS looks ok. Better than 12z anyways 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Just now, RentonHillTC said: GEFS looks ok. Better than 12z anyways I cancelled winter already. Move on smh 2 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I cancelled winter already. Move on smh Retrogression begins at Day 8.5, so timing moved ahead with the progression. Once the Pacific is shut down anything is possible ~ Kevin Garnett 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 more model waffling 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 12 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: How big does a mountain need to be for upsloping/downslopingto to happen? For example, the Olympics/Cascades are great examples. However, tiger Moutains peak is 3,000ft. Yet, there is no effect really (that I am aware of). Just bored and doing research when I should be working Depends on the situation, but they don’t need to be that tall. The appalachians are an upslope/downslope machine. The effects are significant here. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 (edited) 2 minutes ago, Phil said: Depends on the situation, but they don’t need to be that tall. The appalachians are an upslope/downslope machine. The effects are significant here. How wide does it need to be then? For example, Tiger Mountain is tall but not wide at all. Do u have any good weather links to read (if u don’t, then nvm). I am just going down the rabbit hole of this small detail lol Edited January 18, 2023 by SouthHillFrosty 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 When was the last time we a saw a GFS run anything like GEFS? Jeez. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: When was the last time we a saw a GFS run anything like GEFS? Jeez. That depends. If you're looking beyond Day 5 roughly it rarely is similar. 00z ECMWF in 4 hours 55 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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