NWbyNW Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Raining only in Washington tonight with just a sprinkling in Oregon's NW corner around Astoria and the Cascade's. Some low level wind gusts in the North Sound tonight Not a lot of snow falling in the WA Cascade's. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 GFS needs to study up 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: GFS needs to study up I have that book! It's right next to my [How to be Rain Man: for DUMMIEZ] Right there on the shelf! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 5 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Swing and a miss You could move to Clatsop County like I originally did. Pacific and Whakiakum not bad either. Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 hours ago, Gradient Keeper said: Countdowns 1/17/23 Spring 61 days Summer 154 days Fall 248 days Winter 338 days Christmas 341 days I want it to be Fall again. My favorite season. My son keeps telling me he misses Christmas (previously he kept saying he misses Summer, his favorite season). Down to 32F here. 1 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Me after watching 10 minutes of fighter jet videos with my son Me after watching the 00z GFS run My son made me post this 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 00z GEFS Day 5 to 6.5 seems like a positive development. Won't know really until Day 9 ish. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Oh that looks like so much fun!!! Lucky bastard. 1 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 4 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said: How big does a mountain need to be for upsloping/downslopingto to happen? For example, the Olympics/Cascades are great examples. However, tiger Moutains peak is 3,000ft. Yet, there is no effect really (that I am aware of). Just bored and doing research when I should be working Green and gold mountain on the kitsap peninsula are only 1700ft and they work to hold the coldest air between them and the Olympics. I'm on the sw slope of those mountains and get much more rain than the bremerton airport weather station just a few miles east of me leading be to believe there is some upslope effect here from those small mountains. 4 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 00z GEFS Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yeah March 2002 was pretty decent. Several really impressive cold shots with scattered valley floor accumulations. I think places up toward Bellingham didn’t really really well with that one. 2009 was good too. We had about 1/2” snow in Silverton, but places above 1000’ got 4-8”. Then some very cold dry days followed. Basically anywhere above 500' did well in March 2002. A couple days even had minor accumulations in Tacoma. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 00z ECMWF Day 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Day 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Day 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MV_snow Posted January 18, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 I haven’t been following all the posts here recently, but I will say the fact that Gradient Keeper is posting again is an excellent sign for cold and snow upcoming. 12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Day 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Day 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 (edited) Ensembles are a hair better Edited January 18, 2023 by SouthHillFrosty 2 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Day 6 Snore-fest thus far 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Almost feeling like winter again. Windy and raw out there, 40 degrees. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Day 10 Nope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 6 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said: How big does a mountain need to be for upsloping/downslopingto to happen? For example, the Olympics/Cascades are great examples. However, tiger Moutains peak is 3,000ft. Yet, there is no effect really (that I am aware of). Just bored and doing research when I should be working Little Mountain in Queen Elizabeth Park is Vancouver’s highest hill, which tops out at about 410 feet above sea level. I am east of it. If the winds are from due west, I get measurably less moisture (not a whole lot less, but still measurably less) than stations not in its rain shadow. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 And what is wrong with EPS on Weatherbell? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Canadians were a step back 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Canadians were a step back EPS looks bad as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Models are showing a very sharp, thin, intense front will be headed our way and mainly effect the coastal regions of Washington and Oregon. I don't recall seeing something so thin and uniform like this often with intense rain. It will hit the coast Wednesday morning. Literally, it's looking like it's going to slap the coast in a downward angle. How rude. Wind and wind gusts will be pretty strong, ranging from 40 to possibly 60mph gusts. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 It's coming 5 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 1 minute ago, NWbyNW said: Models are showing a very sharp, thin, intense front will be headed our way and mainly effect the coastal regions of Washington and Oregon. I don't recall seeing something so thin and uniform like this often with intense rain. It will hit the coast Wednesday morning. Literally, it's looking like it's going to slap the coast in a downward angle. How rude. Wind and wind gusts will be pretty strong, ranging from 40 to possibly 60mph gusts. We usually get a couple like this each winter. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 23 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: EPS looks bad as well. The EPS isn’t even loading on Weatherbell. Is it loading on pivot? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: The EPS isn’t even loading on Weatherbell. Is it loading on pivot? Yes. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Eleven years ago right now it was snowing outside. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 39 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: It's coming Pull out first! 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 49 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Models are showing a very sharp, thin, intense front will be headed our way and mainly effect the coastal regions of Washington and Oregon. I don't recall seeing something so thin and uniform like this often with intense rain. It will hit the coast Wednesday morning. Literally, it's looking like it's going to slap the coast in a downward angle. How rude. Wind and wind gusts will be pretty strong, ranging from 40 to possibly 60mph gusts. Good analysis. We've had numerous sharp, dynamic fronts since the Fall. Not many have been all that splitty or weak. Night Shift 6z GFS in 1 hour 8 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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