SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 I’m going to level with y’all. I’m losing hope. 1 2 1 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 It is very clearly and obviously coming. Ensemble support and climo indicators are so strongly consistent and bullish that I'd bet real money. 6 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: It is very clearly and obviously coming. Ensemble support and climo indicators are so strongly consistent and bullish that I'd bet real money. EPS looks great. Maybe we just need a few 384 hr GFS arctic blasts to improve the mood? 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Just now, Doinko said: EPS looks great. Maybe we just need a few 384 hr GFS arctic blasts to improve the mood? The only reason people aren't freaking out yet is because of a lack of pretty colors on the operational runs. Funnily enough, if ensemble support remained unchanged while operational runs started showing Arctic fun again, the whole big picture wouldn't be all that different, but we'd have forty new pages on this thread within an hour. 7 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 I like to see that Aleutian Islands ridge trend stronger. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 14 minutes ago, Doinko said: EPS looks great. Maybe we just need a few 384 hr GFS arctic blasts to improve the mood? I ride or die with 384 GFS operational maps. 1 3 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just need to beef up the trough and ridge on the GEFS. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 36 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I’m going to level with y’all. I’m losing hope. Is it a day ending in y? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 37F and just light rain but Ashland and Talent got snow. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Is it a day ending in y? no Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 suppose to get a little bit of snow overnight. its 40 out, we'll see 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 00z GFS in 3 hours 18 minutes! Time for another meh run only to see the 00z GEFS in total disagreement Day 5+ yet still not be that great only to be overshadowed by the slightly improved 00z ECMWF, and finally the icing on the cake a good, but not stellar 00z EPS run with the block decently amplified, but a touch too far west. Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 The Pacific is SHUTTING DOWN before February. CALM DOWN! with any definitive statements about Winter being over. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: The Pacific is SHUTTING DOWN before February. CALM DOWN! with any definitive statements about Winter being over. There's always April! 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: I have actually been enjoying this rainy period. The dry period is just the next thing coming up. As have I. Some here really would be happier in a colder climate, given how they always seem to want more cold and snow. Plus, torching is as worthy of discussion in a weather forum as is cold. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 48 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I’m going to level with y’all. I’m losing hope. Not as much snow as you were expecting up there today dogg? 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 6 minutes ago, Doinko said: There's always April! Ah yes, the April to remember. The best part is when the 32.3" verified for PDX. That was WILD! It was a snowy Easter egg hunt! 18z GFS (April 14th) in 2,061 hours 11 minutes Who's staying up? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Ah yes, the April to remember. The best part is when the 32.3" verified for PDX. That was WILD! It was a snowy Easter egg hunt! 18z GFS (April 14th) in 2,061 hours 11 minutes It did end up being the latest and most significant snowstorm on record for the Portland area. Of course that was back when the GFS put out the insane long range snowfall maps everybody knew wouldn’t verify/kept this place running. RIP 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 Just now, Cascadia_Wx said: It did end up being the latest and most significant snowstorm on record for the Portland area. Of course that was back when the GFS put out the insane long range snowfall maps everybody knew wouldn’t verify/kept this place running. RIP It was weird, out of place, and felt like we were in another world, but to me it was not as neat or special as snowfall occurring December to February. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: It was weird, out of place, and felt like we were in another world, but to me it was not as neat or special as snowfall occurring December to February. Agreed. It was historic but also pretty surreal. 2 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It’s about 1600’, it’s about a mile from our house. I wish western wa had real towns at 1600 feet. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, SnowWillarrive said: I wish western wa had real towns at 1600 feet. I think places near Mt. Rainier like Longmire, Greenwater, and Packwood are the closest you can get to that, and they’re all so small it’s debatable whether they are worthy of being called “towns.” That said, Andrew doesn’t live in a town. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 going to remain a doubter in attempt to have an influence on our luck. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 11 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: I think places near Mt. Rainier like Longmire, Greenwater, and Packwood are the closest you can get to that, and they’re all so small it’s debatable whether they are worthy of being called “towns.” That said, Andrew doesn’t live in a town. Yea I don’t really consider those to be livable places unfortunately. Pretty much zero amenities. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 6 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said: I always have dreams that Mt. Jefferson imploded and there was a 20 mile gap that was 1000' ASL, and then let's say one of the 3 sisters did the same thing. I could only imagine the convergence zone here at almost 3000' ASL. That is in fact a very wet dream. Albany, Corvallis, and Eugene having Gorges would be pretty nice. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 24 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said: I always have dreams that Mt. Jefferson imploded and there was a 20 mile gap that was 1000' ASL, and then let's say one of the 3 sisters did the same thing. I could only imagine the convergence zone here at almost 3000' ASL. That is in fact a very wet dream. I once had a dream that the Canadian/MT/ID Rockies collapsed and Spokane became Cut Bank, MT Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 16 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: Yea I don’t really consider those to be livable places unfortunately. Pretty much zero amenities. Depends on what you consider livable. I believe that Carbonado is the highest elevated incorporated community in western WA, at around 1190'. But then you still gotta go about 4-5 miles to get to a grocery store or gas station. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 Really nice improvement on the 12z EPS today. Maybe tonight will finally be the night for great runs. With the big MJO wave actually launching now it might give the models a better idea where this is going. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 8 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said: I would imagine the Puget Sounders here would love if the Fraser Canyon quadrupled in width overnight. Or for those in the Central Willamette Valley, what if you had a gorge the size of the Columbia instead of Detroit/Santiam. I think a huge wall just off the coast that could be raised and lowered depending on what we need could be a lot of fun. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 Chilly! Already down to 36. .85” on the day. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: I think a huge wall just off the coast that could be raised and lowered depending on what we need could be a lot of fun. Just build a domed city where you control all the weather... that is easier than building a 500 mile long retractable wall that is 2,000 feet high and still would not be able to protect you from warm air masses. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I’m going to level with y’all. I’m losing hope. The wurm has torned! 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Doinko said: There's always April! Ha, I forgot the GFS went this bonkers. It had the general idea right, just a bit off on the totals 4 days out. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 18 minutes ago, MossMan said: Chilly! Already down to 36. .85” on the day. Nice to have the chill back. Only hit 45 here today. The ECMWF actually has some decent mins over the next 10 days. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Just build a domed city where you control all the weather... that is easier than building a 500 mile long retractable wall that is 2,000 feet high and still would not be able to protect you from warm air masses. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 GEFS extended and the last few CFS runs look pretty good. I think there will be some decent runs the next couple of days. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 18 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: The Saudis have the money. Too bad MBS doesn’t live in Seattle as a big snow fan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SouthHillFrosty Posted January 19, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 (edited) Just got out of doc apt and the baby had 10 weeks left. Any analogs? Edited January 19, 2023 by SouthHillFrosty 9 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Not as much snow as you were expecting up there today dogg? First pic from the neighbor. 2nd pic from Mary s Peak. Wasn’t expecting anything really. 8 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted January 19, 2023 Report Share Posted January 19, 2023 Something crunchy hitting my windows. Hail? Don't think it's cold enough for anything else, but radar doesn't look like hail. Weird. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Cascadia_Wx,
Legendary
Recommended by Meatyorologist
16 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.