Jump to content

PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


Requiem

Recommended Posts

18 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Just looking through some of these, 2008, 1985, 2002 and 1954 look like huge snow dumps for @SilverFallsAndrew

Not many good dates on that list for up here anyway…At least in my lifetime. 

  • Like 3

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Maine Coast. A bit of a move, but you would not have to give up snow.

Maine coast is amazing, both in winter and summer.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said:

March 2022 did give me a good snowstorm mid month but its a roller coaster of a month though. I guess most of the year is a roller coaster in this crazy area, but not sure locals would agree on March being part of winter. Maybe in NY state it is. 

We average more snowfall in March than December. If March isn’t a winter month, then December isn’t a winter month either.

  • Like 1
  • Popcorn 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, AbbyJr said:

Unless the models are just confused because of the SSW, it looks like any intrusion of arctic air into the PNW would be brief based on long range models. What are your thoughts?

Too early to tell. This isn’t like 2018/19 or 2017/18 which saw a strong W2 component with a quick destruction of the PV. And the warm/shallow tropical tropopause will have to be overcome before the MJO responds.

So it’s probably going to be a slower transition into the “good” pattern this time, but should get there sometime in early February. 

  • Like 7
Link to comment
Share on other sites

37 minutes ago, weatherfan2012 said:

I like Larry Cosgrove but He really got kicked by mother nature this winter.Hopefuly We go Weak to moderate El nino this summer an El nino with East Qbo would be the best winter potential since 2009-2010 2002-2003.

Yeah, though I’m not certain El Niño will develop this year. Could be a multiyear transition out of this La Niña and into El Niño. Analogous to the transitions from 2000/01-2002/03 and 1955/56-1957/58.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

30 minutes ago, Phil said:

Too early to tell. This isn’t like 2018/19 or 2017/18 which saw a strong W2 component with a quick destruction of the PV. And the warm/shallow tropical tropopause will have to be overcome before the MJO responds.

So it’s probably going to be a slower transition into the “good” pattern this time, but should get there sometime in early February. 

Thanks Phil. It's nice that we have the base state in our favour. -ENSO/+QBO combos usually favour the PNW for cold. The SSW is just extra help. Hopefully it all works out and we can get another cold/snowy pattern here.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

28 minutes ago, Phil said:

Yeah, though I’m not certain El Niño will develop this year. Could be a multiyear transition out of this La Niña and into El Niño. Analogous to the transitions from 2000/01-2002/03 and 1955/56-1957/58.

 Very possable it has to be frustrating to be a promet trying to sort this all out with models constantly showing El nino only to be delayed I think that's what burned Cosgrove he went with Data ending la nina to soon.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hammer drops by next weekend on the GEM. 

  • Like 4
  • Excited 1
  • scream 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Phil said:

We average more snowfall in March than December. If March isn’t a winter month, then December isn’t a winter month either.

I know the last couple of Decembers haven't shown much snow.. but that arctic blast we got right before Christmas was pretty cold. Can afternoon temperatures in the single digits happen that late? 

  • Like 1
  • Weenie 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...