RentonHill Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, Phishy Wx said: that thing is putting its thing into E WA just noticed its 00z. Not sure why 12z is so late. weather models everywhere are maybe having a hard time getting a handle on this extreme event thats coming 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 34 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: GFS is a disaster. whats new? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 6 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Does that have true coat? oh yah....yer gonna need that true coat there....yah. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Backyard view this morning... Snow levels on the ridge getting lower is definitely a sign February is coming. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 12Z GEM is very cold at the end.  3 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, TT-SEA said: 12Z GEM is very cold at the end.  where you see? Its only partly out on pivotal and tidbits and wxbell Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, RentonHill said: where you see? Its only partly out on pivotal and tidbits and wxbell Brrrrr!! Â 6 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, TT-SEA said: Brrrrr!! Â 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Kayla said: Congrats on the new job! I've been interviewing for several new work opportunities. Might be headed to SE Alaska this spring for the summer! Salmon /crab fishing? I know several different people in WA that do it every year as a tradition. They go to Alaska and work at a cannery or a seafood boat and make more money in two months than they do the rest of the year. 2 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Up to 37F after a low of 34F. Â Nothing but sunshine and blue sky out there this morning, but sort of that low-angle sunshine. Â It's not particularly bright and blue. Â More of a shade of blue. Â Forecast is looking pretty uninteresting and not much rain. Â Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 12Z ECMWF shows temps falling into the mid 30s early tomorrow afternoon with the initial band of precip from the next system... then the SW comes roaring into the Seattle area by mid afternoon and the temp jumps back into the low 40s.  Going to be an active day. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Brrrrr!! Â That is a classic snowstorm pattern for Portland north to the border the way and speed the low comes down the coast. 2 2 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 12Z ECMWF shows the SW wind gusting to 50 mph in Seattle by late afternoon. Â 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF shows temps falling into the mid 30s early tomorrow afternoon with the initial band of precip from the next system... then the SW comes roaring into the Seattle area by mid afternoon and the temp jumps back into the low 40s.  Going to be an active day. Wow i wasn't paying attention but the rgem shows a period of snow here tomorrow morning. 4 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 NWS should put out a statement regarding lowland snow potential followed immediately by windstorm potential for the Seattle area for tomorrow.  It's going to be a pretty crazy day. 3 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 8 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Wow i wasn't paying attention but the rgem shows a period of snow here tomorrow morning. Might have to head out to green mountain tomorrow. Been awhile since I’ve been out there. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF shows the SW wind gusting to 50 mph in Seattle by late afternoon.  No mention of wind from the NWS for Sunday. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF shows the SW wind gusting to 50 mph in Seattle by late afternoon. Â Holy that is no joke! Hurricane force winds right off the coast. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, TacomaWx said: So I was talking to my boss about where he gets his weather info and I told him about my meteorological hobby. Our job is very influenced by the weather being a storm water filtration company. He wants me to give him weather forecasts for our sites as part of my job 2 times a week. I’m thinking I want to get a subscription to pivotal or weatherbell…which one would you guys recommend? I feel like this forum could collectively run a business that provides customized weather forecasts like this. The amount of model-watching and local weather knowledge on here is staggering. 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF shows the SW wind gusting to 50 mph in Seattle by late afternoon.  I'm skeptical. Last time it showed big gusts, they didn't verify, and last time we had big gusts, it didn't predict them. 4 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, TacomaWx said: Might have to head out to green mountain tomorrow. Been awhile since I’ve been out there. Let me know 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, fubario said: No mention of wind from the NWS for Sunday. This is happening tomorrow... not Sunday. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Front window view... 7 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: NWS should put out a statement regarding lowland snow potential followed immediately by windstorm potential for the Seattle area for tomorrow.  It's going to be a pretty crazy day. A few of the meso models are showing about a 3 hr window for some snow here, Between 9am and noon or so looks like the window. A brief period of offshore flow with some cool air in place just might work out for a little snow. This one was sneaky and i didn't even see it coming. 5 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 It will probable happen too. 2 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 16 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Let me know I’ll probably try and head out there at like 8-9am…although I’m not exactly sure when the best timing on the precipitation would be. I’ll definitely let you know I can send you a PM in the morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: This is happening tomorrow... not Sunday. Misread, sorry. NWS doesn't seem too concerned. This is for Westport: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: It will probable happen too. I’m in the green!!! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, fubario said: Misread, sorry. NWS doesn't seem too concerned. This is for Westport: They should pay attention to the ECMWF.  1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: They should pay attention to the ECMWF.  Only noobs disregard the ECMWF Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 hour ago, Christensen87 said: 06z CFS is great! Come on GFS, get it together. Heading to Port Townsend today for the weekend. Should be a beautiful drive! Riding the CFS.  The mechanical bull is gentler, though. 1 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 10 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: A few of the meso models are showing about a 3 hr window for some snow here, Between 9am and noon or so looks like the window. A brief period of offshore flow with some cool air in place just might work out for a little snow. This one was sneaky and i didn't even see it coming. Everyone’s just been hyper focused on the end of the month. Gfs and gem have been showing this cool system and low snow levels for tomorrow for about a week. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 2 minutes ago, RentonHill said: Was just going to mention that the ECMWF is much sharper with that trough late next week.  Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Euro looking promising... 2 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Day 9 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Day 10 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 The block might be setting up in a better spot after day 10. Still a long ways to go for things to get interesting but we’re moving finally after the dullsville weather since Christmas. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 Just now, TacomaWx said: The block might be setting up in a better spot after day 10. Still a long ways to go for things to get interesting but we’re moving finally after the dullsville weather since Christmas. Not hard to imagine the pattern shown on the 12Z ECMWF at day 10 crashing hard immediately afterwards. 8 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 20, 2023 Report Share Posted January 20, 2023 1 minute ago, TacomaWx said: The block might be setting up in a better spot after day 10. Still a long ways to go for things to get interesting but we’re moving finally after the dullsville weather since Christmas. Anything before February is gravy. 5 Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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