Doinko Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Only “issue” at the moment is the fact the HB vortex is rock solid. How much does that limit potential for us? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Next couple frames are going to be outrageous. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Day 9'er 2 1 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Only “issue” at the moment is the fact the HB vortex is rock solid. There's a lot going on that could change that. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Three of us posted the same frame at the same time 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Day 9'er Jaw dropper. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 9'er East 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Day 9'er Could use a little shift west. But I see no stopping that pattern. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 2 hours ago, Deweydog said: Gonna be a long week. So f*cking long. Gdi 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Phil Posted January 23, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 If the walker cell still looks like this in 5-6 weeks, I think we can safely put to rest any notion of an El Niño transition this year. Most years that transitioned were building Indo-Pacific WWB activity by this point, and by Feb/Mar the western flank of the walker cell tends to be displaced significantly eastward. And none of the borderline cases were full blown +QBO during the late winter/early spring season. This looks like a healthy La Niña circulation. 9 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Fraser River air blasts to Portland and beyond on this run. 7 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Dang! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Phil said: If the walker cell still looks like this in 5-6 weeks, I think we can safely put to rest any notion of an El Niño transition this year. Most years that transitioned were building Indo-Pacific WWB activity by this point, and by Feb/Mar the western flank of the walker cell tends to be displaced significantly eastward. And none of the borderline cases were full blown +QBO during the late winter/early spring season. This looks like a healthy La Niña circulation. Just pile the good vibes on. Can we get a 4peat??! 5 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Who likes KOLD 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Phil said: If the walker cell still looks like this in 5-6 weeks, I think we can safely put to rest any notion of an El Niño transition this year. Most years that transitioned were building Indo-Pacific WWB activity by this point, and by Feb/Mar the western flank of the walker cell tends to be displaced significantly eastward. And none of the borderline cases were full blown +QBO during the late winter/early spring season. This looks like a healthy La Niña circulation. It may be a slow transition. But I have come to terms with the idea of a possible El Nino. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, Meatyorologist said: Just pile the good vibes on. Can we get a 4peat??! Tonga 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Fraser River air blasts to Portland and beyond on this run. First shot looks like a more Gorge based one and then a big Fraser River one on this run. Something for everyone! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, Phil said: If the walker cell still looks like this in 5-6 weeks, I think we can safely put to rest any notion of an El Niño transition this year. Most years that transitioned were building Indo-Pacific WWB activity by this point, and by Feb/Mar the western flank of the walker cell tends to be displaced significantly eastward. And none of the borderline cases were full blown +QBO during the late winter/early spring season. This looks like a healthy La Niña circulation. Uncharted waters from here if the Nina holds. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Day 10 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Going to be hard to top this run. Wow! 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 23 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Just pile the good vibes on. Can we get a 4peat??! I would think you would be hoping for something different after the last 3 summers. 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Even with the thermocline shoaled/depressed in the WPAC, it is meaningless if trades continue to rage. A legitimate boreal spring WWB could easily change the picture as the thermocline is ripe for a DOKW, but usually there’s some indication of weakness in the La Niña cell by now, and I’m just not seeing it yet. 4 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Good Lord! 12 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Looks good! 6 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Day 9.5 850s legit regional arctic blast 6 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, snow_wizard said: Going to be hard to top this run. Wow! More snow would top it... but it was pretty epic overall. 8 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 These blasts that are straight from the north usually do well for snow and overperforming cold for Seattle. 5 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Going to be hard to top this run. Wow! I only get an inch of snow! It can be topped. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Can only get worse from here! 6 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 10 Heights are falling again as another polar lobe strengthens. Just nutty. Shift just a little west, add a little cyclogenesis and we get buried. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Uncharted waters from here if the Nina holds. I suspect it’ll fade to neutral this year, but atmospherically, we’re lagging behind the El Niño transition years. At least for now. Could easily be a 2 year transition, with 2023/24 returning to neutral and 2024/25 returning to El Niño. Whether the next El Niño is this year or next year, I suspect it will be a moderate/strong event. 7 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 If you think that was good, just wait. Colder runs ahead. MBG! Night Shift 6z GFS in 2 hours 34 minutes. Will the GFS finally correct itself latching onto the more likely GEM/ECMWF solution? No idea. Stay tuned! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Phil said: I suspect it’ll fade to neutral this year, but atmospherically, we’re lagging behind the El Niño transition years. At least for now. Could easily be a 2 year transition, with 2023/24 returning to neutral and 2024/25 returning to El Niño. Whether the next El Niño is this year or next year, I suspect it will be a moderate/strong event. Totally agreed. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 February. Knows what month it is. 1 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: If you think that was good, just wait. Colder runs ahead. MBG! Night Shift 6z GFS in 2 hours 34 minutes. Will the GFS finally correct itself latching onto the more likely GEM/ECMWF solution? No idea. Stay tuned! I'm good if this is as good as gets from a 500mb perspective. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 EPS day 5 vs 12z 4 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: February. Knows what month it is. The real kicker is it starts this month. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 30 minutes ago, Deweydog said: 2/95 vibes. Wasn't that a quick hitter in an otherwise warm month? This seems more persistent. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: February. Knows what month it is. January 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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