Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Terreboner2 said: That's an Andrew, Josh, Mat, almost TWL special. I think @Gradient Keeper's email worked 1 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, SpaceRace22 said: That is absolutely bizarre. That's an hour 300+ level of run to run change. Terrible model. It was terrible with the last cold event too. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 24, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 I *adore* this run but it's definitely one of those weird GFS one and done quirks. But I'm enjoying the eye candy while it lasts 2 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 56 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Can I get a refund? I thought we were having a 2019 redux Two feet in Austin, TX. Seems legit. 1 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Doinko said: I think @Gradient Keeper's email worked Nah, not an e-mail. I posted that in my FB group in the 00z GFS model riding thread. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: You have got to be kidding. The GFS found a way to drop the ball again. It appeared this run was going places early on. The foot of snow it drops here this weekend would be an egregious missed opportunity for sure. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just to add to the chaos... the 18Z EPS and control run actually shifted east. 4 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Nah, not an e-mail. I posted that in my FB group in the 00z GFS model riding thread. Well this run seems to really like Portland lol 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The 500mb pattern just looks so bizarre on this one I just don't know what to think. But that said, one thing I am really liking about this run is that the bitterly cold air is way closer with -30 850mb temps hanging out just over the border in BC. Previous runs have had anything colder than -25 sliding way off to the east into Montana. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 6 (4-run trend) The block tries to pinch off way too fast on this run. Not buying it. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 GEM 850s hr 150 trend...loooks great 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Everyone wins! Seattle pissed off the weather gods wtf. A straight vertical line lmao 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 GEM looks wonderful for the first shot 6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 JIMOOD model seems vastly different compared to last night’s run. 1 3 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Seattle pissed off the weather gods wtf. A straight vertical line lmao Not liking those low totals for east king county. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 00z GEM Day 6.5 big backdoor blast on this run! 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Could someone post a WB map for snow totals zoomed in on NW OR from the GFS? 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Doinko said: GEM looks wonderful for the first shot Looks more realistic and way less snowy than the GFS, that's for sure. 4 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Back to the GFS Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 As messy and ugly as the evolution is on this run it does deliver some goodies. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, Doinko said: Could someone post a WB map for snow totals zoomed in on NW OR? 4 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GEM Day 6.5 big backdoor blast on this run! Afternoon temp in the low 20s 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Doinko said: Could someone post a WB map for snow totals zoomed in on NW OR from the GFS? No I can’t 4 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Who’s got the ️️to make a forecast 2nite? 3 1 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: Not liking those low totals for east king county. It's because of the way the low goes so far off the coast. Probably not going to happen that way. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The 00Z GEM is actually a huge shift east from its 12Z run. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Please weenie tag my north south gradient post. 1 6 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, SpaceRace22 said: Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: No I can’t Thanks. Probably will be gone on the 06z but that would be pretty amazing, 1.5ft of snow. Poor EPSL though 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 00Z GEM shows almost no snow before it dries out. 1 1 3 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said: I lost some intelligence just looking at it. I think this about sums up the GFS tonight. 5 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 6 minutes ago, Doinko said: GEM looks wonderful for the first shot The GEM is pretty. One thing I like about the GFS tonight is it seems to keep the cold potential alive longer. A trend I suspect we will see going forward. 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post TacomaWx Posted January 24, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, TT-SEA said: 00Z GEM shows almost no snow before it dries out. CLASSIC Tim post 7 2 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Lol GFS is bringing more snow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 9'er 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Tay-Tay taking in the backdoor big time on the Canadian. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, TacomaWx said: CLASSIC Tim post I know right. He’s in panic mode as the mob mentality takes hold 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: The 00Z GEM is actually a huge shift east from its 12Z run. The further west runs result in a faster demise of the cold pattern. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 This could be our last shot of winter. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: CLASSIC Tim post I also posted GFS snow maps. When there is model chaos we want to see everything. It's so silly to ignore the snow maps and call out the bad maps. I pretty much post everything. 7 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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