Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 00z GEFS Day 3.5 (4-run trend) Block very beefy, cut-off low further west. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Certainly hard to complain with the results of what the GFS shows. It's just the fact it's so weird. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The further west runs result in a faster demise of the cold pattern. For sure.  1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, RentonHill said: I know right. He’s in panic mode as the mob mentality takes hold Panic mode? I posted the GFS snow map too.  I love this sh*t and going along for the ride!  Wherever it goes.  3 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 24, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 00Z Arcadian model is waaaay further east with both shots of cold air. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lowlandsnow Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Another snowstorm for Central/Southern Oregon on GFS 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 GEM and ICON were great, major backdoor blasts. GFS was great in a much weirder way though, massive snowstorm for PDX and a second shot later on. No bad runs so far this night 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Tiger will be happy 6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 10 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Deweydog Posted January 24, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Surface detail sugar highs/crashes aside, one consistent theme is heights around 570dm in Southern AK. Hard to avoid something somethingy if that’s in place. 11 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Tiger will be happy 20" of snow for me! Most of it in one day on this 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 3 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 9 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Certainly hard to complain with the results of what the GFS shows. It's just the fact it's so weird. The problem is we just don't see a low drop down the coast dumping copious amounts of snow to the entire I-5 corridor when the block starts pinching off and energy digs out west of Vancouver Island. That's just not how it works. Sadly. 6 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 00Z GEFS looks about identical to its 12Z run at 120 hours.  No crazy shift like the operational run. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals. AMAZING regional snow storm! 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, Requiem said: 00Z Arcadian model is waaaay further east with both shots of cold air. Rozarria Territory...  4 Quote  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Unbelievable GFS run. Icon and Gem would bring big league cold for days, but lack the snow. 5 Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post BLI snowman Posted January 24, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Way premature and almost certainly a death blow to this happening, but some food for thought! Looking like a potential opportunity for SEA/PDX to pull off the rarest of the rare and score subfreezing highs in December, January, and February. Last time that that happened for PDX was 1978-79. Last time for SEA was 1949-50. And the two have actually never both pulled it off in the same winter in the airport era. 12 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 still on track, no worries peeps rip a doob and chill 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 GFS is about to bury the region 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Deweydog Posted January 24, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Still no WSW from the PDX office. What a joke. Actually, I’m kinda worried they’ve all been Incapacitated by a carbon monoxide leak or something. 8 1 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Way premature and almost certainly a death blow to this happening, but some food for thought! Looking like a potential opportunity for SEA/PDX to pull off the rarest of the rare and score subfreezing highs in December, January, and February. Last time that that happened for PDX was 1978-79. Last time for SEA was 1949-50. And the two have actually never both pulled it off in the same winter in the airport era. Bloody hands. 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Bloody hands. He tried very hard to mitigate the jinx he was about to unleash with his opening sentence acknowledging the jinx he was about to unleash. 1 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Omg omg omg 5 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Huge overrunning snowstorm for the Willamette Valley after Day 10 on the GFSÂ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Another huge snowstorm for NW Oregon in the schizo range. Portland is moving past pepto and turning turquoise on Weatherbell. 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Doinko said: Huge overrunning snowstorm for the Willamette Valley after Day 10 on the GFS Will trend north, but not far enough. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SouthHillFrosty Posted January 24, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 THE GFS IS BACK BABY. LFG 6 3 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Snowstorm 3 of this run 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: He tried very hard to mitigate the jinx he was about to unleash with his opening sentence acknowledging the jinx he was about to unleash. 33F highs for everybody. 2 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Omg omg omg Looks like 2/25/19 would have looked if it wasn't full of abject hatred, scorn, and contempt for my location. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, Doinko said: Snowstorm 3 of this run And then another arctic blast lol 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SimplySmoothWX Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 A few tidbits from Mark Nelsen's latest blog post: This setup is THE SETUP you want to get cold/snow into the region. Some moisture gets picked up by the cold air heading out over the ocean. Then a little extra lifting as that surface wedge of cold air pushes into the region. Sometimes we get NOTHING snow-wise out of this pattern as cold air arrives, other times maybe up to 2″. It depends on how that upper level trough digs south too. If it just moves by quickly and slightly east of where the Euro model shows it (above), we are typically just dry and a chilly east wind begins to blow. Since we’re still 5+ days out, it’s a real guess exactly how this turns out.  And then notice about 1/2 of GFS ensemble members produce noticeable snow in Portland on the chart below. That’s a decent indicator that SOMETHING is up for this weekend. But what we aren’t seeing yet? MOST of those members producing snow; this situation is very much still evolving.   The two extreme possibilities I see right now: 1) We pick up 1-3″ of snow Saturday night, Portland is frozen all day Sunday and Monday, then a little more snow falls around Tuesday or Wednesday next week. 3-4 days of icy/cold stuff. 2) A chilly east wind arrives Saturday night, a few flurries fall, but doesn’t affect any of us. Temperatures only reach around 38-42 for a few days, then it’s back to milder/wetter the middle of next week and beyond. No real snow falls in Portland and it’s just a bit cold for a few days. Your life continues the same Sunday and into next week. My gut feeling is it’ll be somewhere in between. But I’ll be at work all week; no scheduled time off until the end of February! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Welp 5 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Still no WSW from the PDX office. What a joke. Actually, I’m kinda worried they’ve all been Incapacitated by a carbon monoxide leak or something. Imagine this crew in control of public communication... we would be breaking into prime time shows tonight! 4 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Yep lol and then more cold air pours in. Oh what a fun run. Either way, I’m glad the trends from the past GFS runs didn’t continue tonight. Great sign. Come on Euro! 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 It's coming  1 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Christensen87 said: Yep lol and then more cold air pours in. Oh what a fun run. Either way, I’m glad the trends from the past GFS runs didn’t continue tonight. Great sign. Come on Euro! Yeah... the GFS has been disturbingly mundane lately.  Glad to see it's normal wacky self is back.  5 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Lol 2 2 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 19 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Panic mode? I posted the GFS snow map too.  I love this sh*t and going along for the ride!  Wherever it goes.  I love you, man. We're all family here. Hazy's on me next time I stop by the chevron. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by Cascadia_Wx,
Legendary
Recommended by Meatyorologist
16 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.