snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 GEFS mean bottoms out at -8.9 on the 850s for SEA. Coldest run yet. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Doinko said: What's Salem and Portland like? Even more absurd. They both fall below freezing starting on 1/29 and don't go above it for the entire rest of the run. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, Doinko said: What's Salem and Portland like? Similar for EUG. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, SpaceRace22 said: Even more absurd. They both fall below freezing starting on 1/29 and don't go above it for the entire rest of the run. The minus 17 on Feb 6 is pretty out there alright! 4 1 1 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Really surprised the GFS turned out THIS good. Can you post Medford? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 hour ago, MossMan said: Terrain bleed for sure. Whidbey island is a dry oasis like Sequim especially near Coupeville. No way they score more than you. Makes Zero sense 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, kokaneekidz said: Terrain bleed for sure. Whidbey island is a dry oasis like Sequim especially near Coupeville. No way they score more than you. Makes Zero sense Isn't Sequim a good spot for upsloping moisture with northerly flow though? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 1 ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 10 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Ok why is everyone saying “hE gOT thAT dOg In hIM” and “SOMe BIg DaWGz oN THiS RuN” all the sudden stop worrying about the new fad and just enjoy being yourself 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, Doinko said: Isn't Sequim a good spot for upsloping moisture with northerly flow though? Can be closer to the foothills . Near Dungeness spit is usually snowless regardless. I went there to the wild animal farm during February 2019 and they had very little. A dusting. Meanwhile at Bainbridge there was a foot. And near Port Ludlow about 8inchez 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 7 minutes ago, Doinko said: Isn't Sequim a good spot for upsloping moisture with northerly flow though? Overall, you need to be near the highway or south, then it piles up quick as you ascend into the beginning of the Olympics. West of Sequim is much better ... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 2 ECMWF, GEM, GFS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yellowstone Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Well, at least @SilverFallsAndrew was right about that North/South snow gradient after all… 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 14 minutes ago, MWG said: Can you post Medford? 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The temp is falling slowly tonight. Down to 35.8. Might eek out a freeze. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just had a chocolate Snack Pack in preparation for the Euro coming round to kick us in the nuts. 3 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, snow_wizard said: Thank you! This temps are meh! but then again not what you expect for February. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 24, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Waiting for that EURO gut punch... 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 HR 54 ridge merger ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 3 ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SouthHillFrosty Posted January 24, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Looks improved overall 10 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Next. 4 1 1 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Next. Did you get an upsetting text? 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Euro could still go either way at this point. Definitely some differences from the GFS already, but hard to say so far if they are positive or negative changes. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 4 ECMWF, GEM, GFS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 24, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 4 ECMWF, GEM, GFS Interesting to see how GFS and EURO handle that initial little push of lower heights in comparison with the GEM. 5 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 34 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Ok why is everyone saying “hE gOT thAT dOg In hIM” and “SOMe BIg DaWGz oN THiS RuN” all the sudden 3 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The block is certainly more impressive at the base than the GFS was at day 3.5 or so. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, Requiem said: Interesting to see how GFS and EURO handle that initial little push of lower heights in comparison with the GEM. Honestly that may be a good sign. The earlier runs of the GFS didn't handle the initial push like the 00z GFS and Euro are so far. This might be a good run. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said: Euro could still go either way at this point. Definitely some differences from the GFS already, but hard to say so far if they are positive or negative changes. Block is much fatter and less amplified than the GFS at day 4. Probably won't produce snowfall anything like the GFS, but nice to see the block look that stout. 2 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, snow_wizard said: The block is certainly more impressive at the base than the GFS was at day 3.5 or so. Definitely. But then it doesn't extend nearly as far north, so I'm not 100% sure whether or not this is a net win or not. Guess we'll find out over the next few frames here, lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 5 ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Looks like this run will be kold. 4 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SouthHillFrosty Posted January 24, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Impressive 6 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said: Definitely. But then it doesn't extend nearly as far north, so I'm not 100% sure whether or not this is a net win or not. Guess we'll find out over the next few frames here, lol. The surface high block extends to the pole pretty early in the run. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Lots of predictions for the predictions! 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said: Definitely. But then it doesn't extend nearly as far north, so I'm not 100% sure whether or not this is a net win or not. Guess we'll find out over the next few frames here, lol. At that point, it's better to not be amplifying north too quick. That's the fast track to losing the block and getting undercutting too soon to allow deep cold penetration. 5 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Very well balanced surface high complex. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Impressive Cold is extended on GEFS. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 5 ECMWF, GEM, GFS Euro is textbook for major cold. 4 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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