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PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


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8 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

looks like we might be waiting another hour...at least

image.png.8a85c6501246cbb2c471d529824e5a75.png

Time to get FIRED UP for the CFS. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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8 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

As far as the upcoming pattern, I haven’t been tracking it too hard but I don’t see anything to complain about really. We may get a coveted last few days of January cold shot with some snow in spots. Nice to see even if it’s not a 1950 redux. What happens beyond that is of course subject to massive change considering the event itself isn’t even pinned down yet.

Yeah, it may not end up fulfilling our hopes and dreams, but we still have a few more weeks of potential. Any accumulating snow at the I-5 stations and/or sub-20 lows or sub freezing highs would be a blessing indeed. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, The Blob said:

I have been enjoying the sun. Makes the weekends tolerable.

I know a few good lawyers. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah, it may not end up fulfilling our hopes and dreams, but we still have a few more weeks of potential. Any accumulating snow at the I-5 stations and/or sub-20 lows or sub freezing highs would be a blessing indeed. 

Appreciate the real talk Andrew 💕 

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Appreciate the real talk Andrew 💕 

I'm disappointed the snow chances next week are disappearing, but it should at least still be cold/chilly when we get back on Monday. Have the wood stacked by the house for my in-laws who are staying at our place while we are gone. Should see some snow tomorrow in KC and then will be back in KC Sunday for some mid-20s highs. Fun stuff. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just had a credit post to my Costco Citibank card from Auto Zone for windshield wipers I returned last Friday when models were FAR less interesting. Gotta think it’s tied to whatever the Euro is showing but not yet showing.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I'm disappointed the snow chances next week are disappearing, but it should at least still be cold/chilly when we get back on Monday. Have the wood stacked by the house for my in-laws who are staying at our place while we are gone. Should see some snow tomorrow in KC and then will be back in KC Sunday for some mid-20s highs. Fun stuff. 

Love me some KC.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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15 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said:

Just got off a big conference call with the EURO's CEO. It's showing 10 inches for Seattle and 6 inches for Portland ending Monday. He said to prepare. Get your TP now and pick up plenty of yule logs.

 

Who else was on the call?

My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Since we’re sitting here in the dark ages, here was the afternoon forecast from PDXNWS on 2/11/95…

STATE FORECAST FOR OREGON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
300 PM PST SAT FEB 11 1995

ORZ001>007-013-121100-
STATE FORECAST FOR WESTERN OREGON          
300 PM PST SAT FEB 11 1995

...SNOW ADVISORY NORTH CASCADES FOR TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SCATTERED SHOWERS NORTH WITH LOCAL HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS
CASCADES. INCREASING CLOUDS FAR SOUTH OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLOUDY SOUTH.
LOWS UPPER 20S TO NEAR 40. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY NORTH SPREADING SOUTH...SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS.
RAIN POSSIBLY CHANGING TO SNOW LOWER ELEVATIONS LATE NORTH. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS...MOSTLY AS SNOW EXCEPT RAIN LOWEST ELEVATIONS
ALONG THE COAST. LOWS 20S TO LOWER 30S.
.MONDAY...DECREASING CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE NORTH. COLD.
HIGHS IN THE 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED COLD. LOWS IN THE 20S...LOCALLY
MID TEENS. HIGHS IN THE 30S AND LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW...CHANGING TO RAIN. LOWS 25 TO 35. 
HIGHS 35 TO 45.
.THURSDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN NORTH WITH SNOW MOUNTAINS. MOSTLY CLOUDY
SOUTH. LOWS 30S. HIGHS 40S TO LOWER 50S.
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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Since we’re sitting here in the dark ages, here was the afternoon forecast from PDXNWS on 2/11/95…

STATE FORECAST FOR OREGON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
300 PM PST SAT FEB 11 1995

ORZ001>007-013-121100-
STATE FORECAST FOR WESTERN OREGON          
300 PM PST SAT FEB 11 1995

...SNOW ADVISORY NORTH CASCADES FOR TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SCATTERED SHOWERS NORTH WITH LOCAL HEAVY SNOW SHOWERS
CASCADES. INCREASING CLOUDS FAR SOUTH OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLOUDY SOUTH.
LOWS UPPER 20S TO NEAR 40. 
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY NORTH SPREADING SOUTH...SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS.
RAIN POSSIBLY CHANGING TO SNOW LOWER ELEVATIONS LATE NORTH. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS...MOSTLY AS SNOW EXCEPT RAIN LOWEST ELEVATIONS
ALONG THE COAST. LOWS 20S TO LOWER 30S.
.MONDAY...DECREASING CLOUDS AND SNOW SHOWERS FROM THE NORTH. COLD.
HIGHS IN THE 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND CONTINUED COLD. LOWS IN THE 20S...LOCALLY
MID TEENS. HIGHS IN THE 30S AND LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW...CHANGING TO RAIN. LOWS 25 TO 35. 
HIGHS 35 TO 45.
.THURSDAY...CHANCE OF RAIN NORTH WITH SNOW MOUNTAINS. MOSTLY CLOUDY
SOUTH. LOWS 30S. HIGHS 40S TO LOWER 50S.

Yeah, that one kind of developed into a lot more than what was expected. I was doing a lot of wishcasting at the time, but I remember standing on one of the sky bridges at the Salem Center Mall on the afternoon of the 11th, looking at the bank thermometer reading 48. Didn't have a lot of hope at that point. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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43 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

looks like we might be waiting another hour...at least

image.png.8a85c6501246cbb2c471d529824e5a75.png

So they were doing software upgrades that killed their network. Cool.

Or something failed, they replaced failure but now the upgrade to correct version is taking a long time?

Either way, some sysadmin is panicking right now.

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Yeah, that one kind of developed into a lot more than what was expected. I was doing a lot of wishcasting at the time, but I remember standing on one of the sky bridges at the Salem Center Mall on the afternoon of the 11th, looking at the bank thermometer reading 48. Didn't have a lot of hope at that point. 

I remember being slightly inebriated the night before and had absolutely no clue what we’d wake up to on Sunday. I didn’t have any access to models at that point but I think it was maybe that summer that I discovered the MRF. It’s been all downhill from there.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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39F in Springfield but still 34F at EUG.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Nice day out there! Very good 12z runs this morning cold and snowy with a classic arctic front surging south Saturday night on the GFS. Ensembles bit colder too. I just got a peek of the 12z Euro NOT BAD. 850s -13c PDX, -18c The Dalles, 2-4" of snow. I'll take it. Nah. 18z GFS in 1 hour 32 minutes

Dad joke: No wonder the 12z Euro isn't running. That sure is a bunch of bologna!

May be an image of text that says 'Service details CONNECTIVITY CONNECTIVITY status Down NOTIFICATIONS Tue 24/Jan/2023 18:28:55 UTC x In Progress System Session extended until 20h00 GMT: Please report any issues you may be experiencing Bologna DC & Reading -Bologna DH1 & DH2 IP fabrics, IER-TC1 & IER-TC2 Internet- edge routers software updates'

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13 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Some colder mornings would have made them nice. Afternoons have been mostly cloudy too, just enough sunbreaks at peak heating to maximize warmth.

It’s been sunnier here. Good sun breaks yesterday afternoon and been mostly sunny today so far. 
 

A couple of degrees difference in the afternoon or morning in a short-lived pattern like this isn’t very important to me. 

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2 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

It’s been sunnier here. Good sun breaks yesterday afternoon and been mostly sunny today so far. 
 

A couple of degrees difference in the afternoon or morning in a short-lived pattern like this isn’t very important to me. 

Nice! I enjoy following the little stuff like this. 

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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When did the officially move from the UK? I know due to Brexit but when? Kind of interesting that the UK had both Euro and UKMET.

  • Snow 1

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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