fubario Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Game of Thrones pretty much sadly. It fell off...but not nearly as bad as Westworld, imo. It became unwatchable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, fubario said: NWS Seattle discussion from 3:30pm...not onboard for snow accumulations. .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...Model ensembles remain in decent agreement in the evolution of the upper air pattern towards the weekend and beginning of next week. Extensive troughing appears likely over the region. This in concert with surface high pressure in place over interior BC and a low center developing offshore Saturday night into Sunday may lead to Fraser Outflow emanating across the CWA. Confidence is leaning towards this set up pushing a modified arctic front from north to south across Western Washington leading to well-below average temperatures through at least Tuesday. Snow levels will also bottom out below 500 ft during this time but questions remain on if moisture will be available for any lowland snow potential. If manifests, confidence on accumulation is not high but totals are leaning towards the lower side. McMillian Not on board for accumulations? More like low confidence and leaning towards lower sides. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, fubario said: It fell off...but not nearly as bad as Westworld, imo. It became unwatchable. I didn’t even bother watching the 4th season after the 3rd one. The first season was really cool but just wasn’t nearly as good after that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 44/35 today…drizzly and gloomy day overall. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 hour ago, MossMan said: My sister was born a few days before the 1972 analog…My parents had just bought a brand new 1972 Chevy Impala. Apparently It was snowing the day he drove my mom to the hospital, on top of that he didn’t want to drive over 30mph because of the break in period…My mom was not happy with that entire situation. Probably why they divorced 18yrs later! Wow! That same day was one of my best childhood memories. The school bus ride home was an epic journey in my 8 year old mind. To this day one of the premier snow events I've seen here. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: I didn’t even bother watching the 4th season after the 3rd one. The first season was really cool but just wasn’t nearly as good after that. The books are incredible and different than the series. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Not on board for accumulations? More like low confidence and leaning towards lower sides. Hard call at this point. All I can say is most late January cold waves have snow with them. Not all but most. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Both ensembles have trended west, I hope to see that continue. It seems like its basically locked in now through day 6... any changes will probably be just slight wobbles. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Another day of model improvement. I was pretty stunned to see the mean 850s drop to -12 on the EPS. Last two GEFS show -10. At this point I think SEA could easily pull off something like a 32/18 type of day. 8 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, snow_wizard said: Another day of model improvement. I was pretty stunned to see the mean 850s drop to -12 on the EPS. Last two GEFS show -10. At this point I think SEA could easily off something like a 32/18 type of day. That is pretty much what the 12Z ECMWF showed for Monday. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: It seems like its basically locked in now through day 6... any changes will probably be just slight wobbles. At this point the snow is the biggest question mark. As always. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: At this point the snow is the biggest question mark. As always. I am much less confident than usual in that regard... at least going into the cold. The GFS has really been speeding up the Saturday front and the ECMWF has been showing it moving through fast on every run. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: It seems like its basically locked in now through day 6... any changes will probably be just slight wobbles. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: At this point the snow is the biggest question mark. As always. Just a little too far east overall it looks like. Really need to see things have a little better positioning for snow…although a surprise snow wouldn’t be shocking. Always is a thread the needle situation to get snow. Little too far east and it’s cold with no snow…little too far west chilly rain below 500’. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: It seems like its basically locked in now through day 6... any changes will probably be just slight wobbles. Congrats EPS is worse! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Probably better snow chances PDX south. 6 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 18z GFS was fun 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Congrats EPS is worse! Only a wobble... 00Z run will wobble back. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 25, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Congrats EPS is worse! Not really enough to be any sort of concerning change 2 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 -6 departure at Salem and Eugene today. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Only a wobble... 00Z run will wobble back. It’s definitely going to get cold at this point. But will it be highs in the mid 30s or maybe upper 20s to around freezing? I wouldn’t be surprised if many places had high temps right around the freezing mark but SEA manages to get above freezing still. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Wow 12z euro bottomed out at -16.2 C at PDX . Brrrrr 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 not bad, kinda dry 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 SSW will complete in 3 or 4 days now. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: It’s definitely going to get cold at this point. But will it be highs in the mid 30s or maybe upper 20s to around freezing? I wouldn’t be surprised if many places had high temps right around the freezing mark but SEA manages to get above freezing still. SEA will do fine if the surface winds are northerly as opposed to east. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, Requiem said: Not really enough to be any sort of concerning change Well at this point GEFS has way more snow. Now that I look at, it may partly be because GEFS is a little slower moving the trough out. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Wow 12z euro bottomed out at -16.2 C at PDX . Brrrrr First notable late January blast since 1996. Another one that had snow BTW. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: First notable late January blast since 1996. Another one that had snow BTW. Hasn’t happened yet so we ll see. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said: They would be 0-17 and never make the playoffs if you were correct, so there's that. I actually expected them to go 6-11 before the season started, but I also am optimistic when a team is overperforming, which they were. This ho-hum, we are losing crap, in the 1st quarter of every game is very nauseating. Your hyperbole is 100 times as bad as mine. Glad I'm a 9ers' fan. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SouthHillFrosty Posted January 25, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Nice 10 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Probably better snow chances PDX south. Mossman has something to say about that 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Seems like an extension on the cold pattern from what models are showing now is pretty possible. 6 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Terreboner2 said: They would be 0-17 and never make the playoffs if you were correct, so there's that. I actually expected them to go 6-11 before the season started, but I also am optimistic when a team is overperforming, which they were. This ho-hum, we are losing crap, in the 1st quarter of every game is very nauseating. Your hyperbole is 100 times as bad as mine. That is just how Randy and I deal with Seahawks games... particularly over the last few years of mediocrity. Assume the worst and be pleasantly surprised at times. But they were better than I expected. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Sideways rain, blustering wind, large waves. Seems like a fine time to visit the Washington Coast right now. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 LOL. I was a 9er's fan long before the Seahawks were born. But to be fair, I've probably been to 50 hawks games over the years. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: That is just how Randy and I deal with Seahawks games... particularly over the last few years of mediocrity. Assume the worst and be pleasantly surprised at times. But they were better than I expected. I need to do this with Ohio State football. I’m tired of losing 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 18 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said: LOL. I was a 9er's fan long before the Seahawks were born. But to be fair, I've probably been to 50 hawks games over the years. I am a Niners fan right now. Want them to go through the same hangover that the Rams had this year. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 the extended GEFS control run from last night starts show a very similar setup to this weekend by mid Feb 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, RentonHill said: the extended GEFS control run from last night starts show a very similar setup to this weekend by mid Feb that's the repeat Cold > Moderation > Wetter/Snowier? > Cold reload 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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