Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 6 hours ago, snow_wizard said: EPS is even colder than the 12z. Very impressive. Wow, mean drops to -12c for PDX 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 6z EPS looks like heights bit lower and arctic trough digs out touch more holds over us longer. 850s might be a slight notch colder. Would like to see the arctic trough dig a bit further offshore for more over-water-trajectory. 12z GFS in 1 hour 10 minutes 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 9 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 6z EPS looks like heights bit lower and arctic trough digs out touch more holds over us longer. 850s might be a slight notch colder. Would like to see the arctic trough dig a bit further offshore for more over-water-trajectory. 12z GFS in 1 hour 10 minutes Mean drops to -12.1 on the 6z, similar to 00z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Doinko said: Mean drops to -12.1 on the 6z, similar to 00z Yeah slight notch colder. The slightest of notchy notches. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Some meteograms from overnight... in order of update 00Z EPS, 06Z GFS, and 06Z GEFS. Still looking more impressive down in Oregon than up here…they should manage sub freezing highs and probably some snow. Doesn’t look like we will manage sub freezing highs up here and snows less likely. They’re due down there! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 4 hours ago, Cold Snap said: 06z GFS showing no snow through day 10 after the snow Saturday night. Add that to what the 00Z Euro modelled and it's really shaping up to be a dry (or mostly dry) blast . Maybe things will change but as of right now this is where model consensus is trending. 2 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 06z EPS was the coldest yet, hope the 12z will continue that 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, Doinko said: 06z EPS was the coldest yet, hope the 12z will continue that As W7ENK once posted on the old Fox 12 blog, getting an arctic front without snow is a little like taking a bottle of Dom Perignon and emptying it into the toilet. 1 1 1 5 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: As W7ENK once posted on the old Fox 12 blog, getting an arctic front without snow is a little like taking a bottle of Dom Perignon and emptying it into the toilet. Euro and GFS have a good 1-2" for me so it doesn't look completely dry here at least 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Well over 24hrs straight of moderate drizzle. 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 9 minutes ago, Doinko said: Euro and GFS have a good 1-2" for me so it doesn't look completely dry here at least I guess the consolation is that I did pretty well in November and December. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Well over 24hrs straight of moderate drizzle. Is your dog doing a number two in that picture? 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 00Z Euro, just for reference. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: 00Z Euro, just for reference. How's the 06z control? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: I guess the consolation is that I did pretty well in November and December. Won’t even be able to make a Frostman with the low DP’s…The empty landscape will just have that dehydrated look to it for a few days instead. And my dogs walking on frozen non snow covered grass should finish off my yard by destroying what’s left of the grass…Exciting!!! I really need an attitude adjustment. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Is your dog doing a number two in that picture? Nothing yet at picture time…#1 was a few moments later. She was just not happy to be out in 40 degree drizzle after being in her cozy bed inside. But she is 16 now and needs to go out a lot lol. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: How's the 06z control? It doesn’t look that far into the future. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 still all in 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 approaching Dec cold (was -4 IMBY for that one). I think KGEG got down to -10 at it's coldest Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 12Z GFS is a little drier and faster with the front on Saturday... seems that things have been trending colder faster which also means drier. This is total snow with the weekend system. 1 1 1 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 16 minutes ago, MossMan said: Won’t even be able to make a Frostman with the low DP’s…The empty landscape will just have that dehydrated look to it for a few days instead. And my dogs walking on frozen non snow covered grass should finish off my yard by destroying what’s left of the grass…Exciting!!! I really need an attitude adjustment. Dismissing the 0z gfs. It was very snowy. Showed almost 40” here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 High temps on Sunday 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z GFS is a little drier and faster with the front on Saturday... seems that things have been trending colder faster which also means drier. This is total snow with the weekend system. GFS is way warmer than other models with the blast. Wonder which models will cave Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Doinko said: GFS is way warmer than other models with the blast. Wonder which models will cave So strange for the GFS to be the more muted model in terms of cold. 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 High temps on Monday with full sunshine... GFS is just not impressive. I would go with the ECMWF on temps. 2 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 GEM has a bit of snow for PDX 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 GEM is very cold on Sunday, these are temps in the afternoon 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 850s are not as cold on this GEM run as the crazy 00z run, but still get down to around -15c 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 WB map of 12Z GEM snow with arctic front. 1 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 This will be nothing like December up here. Between the lack of moisture and temps in the low to mid 30’s for highs and lows in the lower 20’s it will be at least 10-15 degrees warmer than last month’s festivities here. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dhoffine Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Not sure about everyone else, but this is a real bummer, had hopes for the first part of February, but now looks like no snow for us in the foreseeable future. Oh well, maybe later in the month? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Wednesday might overachieve. Could get ugly. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Wednesday might overachieve. Could get ugly. Today? 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, TT-SEA said: Today? Indeed. It’s acceptance day. Your role will be crucial. 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thickhog Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: WB map of 12Z GEM snow with arctic front. PDX metro might hit the jackpot and get 0.5”! 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 11 hours ago, Doinko said: Mark Nelsen's thoughts I find it very interesting that Mark would even put that bottom thought out there. He's really good not going too far out on a limb esp one that most of the time will get sawed off. Just the fact that he's mentioned this "small possibility" twice, two days in a row now means he really has his eye on it. For him to make it worth mentioning when the majority of the time "pipe busting cold" as he called it doesn't come to fruition, I find it really interesting. Can't wait to see if he sticks with it as a possibility. He just doesn't do that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: As W7ENK once posted on the old Fox 12 blog, getting an arctic front without snow is a little like taking a bottle of Dom Perignon and emptying it into the toilet. I disagree. In fact I’d say deep cold is more elusive than snow in the PNW. At the end of the day I can drive an hour and a half east and be in more snow than most places can dream of. PDX is also in its longest streak on record without a sub-20 low, so hopefully it finally ends. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 33 minutes ago, Doinko said: GEM has a bit of snow for PDX 12z UKMET just came in and snowfall with the Arctic front is more widespread. Very cold temperatures Monday and Tuesday mornings. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: 12z UKMET just came in and snowfall with the Arctic front is more widespread. Very cold temperatures Monday and Tuesday mornings. Wonderful news having the UKMET on board. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 I think we’ll have more chances in February 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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