Phishy Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 15 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Mostly falls Thursday-Monday. Temps look like mostly mid upper thirties. Maybe some big snows are driving up mean. Handle checks out 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsktkr Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 1 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Total snow per 12Z ECMWF with Saturday front... step back for places south of Seattle compared to 00Z run. 2 1 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thickhog Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Total snow per 12Z ECMWF with Saturday front... step back for places south of Seattle compared to 00Z run. I'm moving to northern Japan 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Block is farther south on the run, doesn't float off as fast as the 00z. Seems like cold air is a bit faster to arrive as well 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Winter is canceled 1 1 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Bit warmer than 00z but still way colder than GFS. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 42 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: No, but every other Portland station did. Downtown hit 16 and the NWS Office on 122nd hit 17. PDX was a warm outlier as it often is. Where do you find the official numbers from the NWS office? 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: Block is farther south on the run, doesn't float off as fast as the 00z. Seems like cold air is a bit faster to arrive as well Seems to be a mini trend of making it a bit more progressive. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Didn’t the Puget Sound area see some decent snow events in Late November and December? 5 1 3 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, Cascadia_Wx said: Didn’t the Puget Sound area see some decent snow events in Late November and December? That is the one consolation for us northerners. At this stage, I am deciding what to do on Sunday. Should be a good day for a hike in brisk, dry weather. Ground should be frozen so safe to choose some trail that would normally be muddy and sloppy. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said: Winter is canceled ..again 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Didn’t the Puget Sound area see some decent snow events in Late November and December? Yep. Northern parts of the Puget sound also had the big snowstorm in late December going into the cold. Don't think anyone has seen much real snow in the Willamette Valley yet 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: That is the one consolation for us northerners. At this stage, I am deciding what to do on Sunday. Should be a good day for a hike in brisk, dry weather. Ground should be frozen so safe to choose some trail that would normally be muddy and sloppy. Go to Costco? 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Ended up with a 48/36 day yesterday, mostly cloudy except for a couple hour period of sun during peak warming. Mostly cloudy and 41 this morning after a low of 39. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 At least the GFS PNA looks one notch less vomit worthy. Perhaps we can still get a late February event like 2011 or 2018 or 2019 or 2021 or 2022. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Didn’t the Puget Sound area see some decent snow events in Late November and December? Honestly it was pretty weak south of Everett. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 (edited) 7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Didn’t the Puget Sound area see some decent snow events in Late November and December? Yea I strung together this. However, I never had more than 4ish inches on the ground at once tbh 11/29: 1.5in 11/30-12/1: 3in 12/2 morning: .5in 12/2-12/3: 4in 12/4: 2in 12/18: .2in 12/19: .2in 12/20: .6in 12/21: .3in 1/21: Trace Edited January 25, 2023 by SouthHillFrosty 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 4 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Go to Costco? I’m just one person so their super-extra-jumbo sizes really don’t make much sense. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Yea I strung together this. However, I never had more than 4ish inches on the ground at once tbh 11/29: 1.5in 11/30-12/1: 3in 12/2 morning: .5in 12/2-12/3: 4in 12/4: 2in 12/18: .2in 12/19: .2in 12/20: .6in 12/21: .3in 1/21: Trace Looks terrible. I think we had a slushy 1/3 of an inch on 12/4. Peak accumulation of the winter so far! 2 1 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Yea I strung together this. However, I never had more than 4ish inches on the ground at once tbh 11/29: 1.5in 11/30-12/1: 3in 12/2 morning: .5in 12/2-12/3: 4in 12/4: 2in 12/18: .2in 12/19: .2in 12/20: .6in 12/21: .3in 1/21: Trace I haven't had more than 4" of snow on the ground in 6 years 1 2 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, SnowWillarrive said: Honestly it was pretty weak south of Everett. There were pockets of where it was decent but places like Seattle Metro didn't get a ton (2") and I know areas toward Bonney Lake also got very little. I'm hoping that at least 1 area scores this upcoming week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Highs from Sunday through Tuesday per 12Z ECMWF. 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Highs from Sunday through Tuesday per 12Z ECMWF. What are lows like? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Highs from Sunday through Tuesday per 12Z ECMWF. One thing I will say is that at least this non stop drizzle fest up here will finally come to an end. And I usually run 2-4 degrees under those numbers so there is that as well. 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Doinko said: What are lows like? Assuming low temps happen between 4 a.m. - 10 a.m. 2 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 (edited) 20 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Where do you find the official numbers from the NWS office? Couple of ways. Their official dataset is on the NOAA NCEI site https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/cdo-web/datasets/GHCND/stations/GHCND:USC00356750/detail or if you want to play around in xmACIS you can also find them there under 'Portland WFO' Edited January 25, 2023 by BLI snowman 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 The northwest has such a weird winter temp profile, especially with the continued dominance of February in recent years. This map shows the average coldest day for stations across the US (1991-2020). Much of the area is coldest at the end of December except for widespread pockets of stations (especially near the coast) that are coldest in the beginning to middle of February. 4 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 A slightly less sun-angly version of last February's airmass is looking like a rough target. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 16 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Yea I strung together this. However, I never had more than 4ish inches on the ground at once tbh 11/29: 1.5in 11/30-12/1: 3in 12/2 morning: .5in 12/2-12/3: 4in 12/4: 2in 12/18: .2in 12/19: .2in 12/20: .6in 12/21: .3in 1/21: Trace My stats so far this season: 2022-11-06 trace 2022-11-07 1.2" 2022-11-29 4.7" 2022-12-02 trace 2022-12-06 trace 2022-12-18 2.8" 2022-12-20 10.2" 2022-12-23 1.6" TOTAL 20.5" 2 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: One thing I will say is that at least this non stop drizzle fest up here will finally come to an end. And I usually run 2-4 degrees under those numbers so there is that as well. Yeah... the last couple of days have been the absolute worst pattern for your area and my area with a ridge offshore and moisture riding over the top and down through western WA from Bellingham to east of Seattle. It just pumps in the gunk to the central and north Sound while other areas are dry and even partly sunny like yesterday. In some years this can go on for weeks... we have been lucky so far this winter and the upcoming pattern will definitely be welcome. For reference... this is a really gross 500mb pattern for our areas. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 13 minutes ago, Doinko said: I haven't had more than 4" of snow on the ground in 6 years You should move if you have the chance. I’ve had nearly 100 days with 4”+ of snow cover in the last 6 years. 4 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 I think Andrew mentioned that we will be due for a wet period soon. Dry couple of weeks once we are working through next week. 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 I got the Weather Channel on as background noise and they showed snow on the NYC cams atop the skyscrapers but it all turns to rain by the time it falls to the streets. Brutal, lol 2 1 1 1 1 Quote 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 8 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: You should move if you have the chance. I’ve had nearly 100 days with 4”+ of snow cover in the last 6 years. As a general rule, the further north the better. Seattle tends to get more snow than Portland, Shoreline more than Seattle, Paine Field more than Shoreline, Bellingham more than Everett, Vancouver more than Bellingham. Also, from Whatcom County northwards is it a lot easier to score subfreezing weather in arctic outflow. Though sometimes that works out as being left high and dry and cold while points south get the snow. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said: I got the Weather Channel on as background noise and they showed snow on the NYC cams atop the skyscrapers but it all turns to rain by the time it falls to the streets. Brutal, lol Still sitting on zero measurable snow for NYC (as well as D.C. and Philadelphia) this winter. With no real safe bets in sight. Their winters get a little more like ours each year! 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 24 minutes ago, Doinko said: I haven't had more than 4" of snow on the ground in 6 years I have had a single-storm snowfall of 8" or better four out of the last five winters. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 29 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said: There were pockets of where it was decent but places like Seattle Metro didn't get a ton (2") and I know areas toward Bonney Lake also got very little. I'm hoping that at least 1 area scores this upcoming week. There’s time for the models to trend back in a snowier direction. Clown range cuts both ways. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 I figured since Minnesota has been getting blasted so would have the Chicago area as well, apparently not. That’s what I love about the tractor forums is that most of them are snow freaks as well! 4 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Always next winter 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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