Gradient Keeper Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 18z NAM digs the trough a small notch further west/offshore. 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Minor step back on the EPS, mean gets down to -11.6c 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 8 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: First round is on me. No matter if we get 5 ppl or 50 ppl Nice. I'm gonna invite everyone I know. 3 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Hey hey the NAM’s in play!!! 3 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 53 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Very true. There are inland and mountain climates well to the south of us and within the western US that clobber even Pretentius Knowitallus’s backyard. I guess I have a reputation to live up to now. I will strive not to disappoint. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 9 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Hey hey the NAM’s in play!!! Time for some NAM snow maps then! 1 2 2 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 18z ICON digging southwest bit better too. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 18z ICON digging southwest bit better too. That is trending faster... not the trend direction people in western WA would want. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Cold Snap said: I’m really not that surprised this is turning out to be a dry blast because I feel like it’s been a while since one. It sucks for the Portland folks though because when they finally get a decent arctic blast it comes with little to no snow. This weekend's setup just isn't a big snowstorm setup for PDX. We very rarely get a sharp arctic front let alone one with enough juice for any significant snow accumulation after the front passes. IMO the top end outcome for this weekend would be 1-3 inches in PDX. More realistically it will be some snow in the air or a dusting since it will probably go dry once it is cold enough, a very familiar situation for us... Most of the big snowstorms here come from overrunning once the cold air is already in place paired with offshore flow through the gorge. A nice BC slider can also produce good results. The late December sleet event here was very close to a significant snow storm, we had every ingredient but the top of the column was just a bit too warm. A good overrunning event sometime next week still seems possible at least. 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 38 minutes ago, Bueryan said: Some day when we all put on chains and trudge through the snow to meet at a bar, and Frosty buys us the first round, (I think it was him who said he'd do that?) I'd love to hear your attempts. Idk why but this reminded me of this 7 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bueryan Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Idk why but this reminded me of this In 3rd grade I watched this movie three times in a day with friends. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 8 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Idk why but this reminded me of this That's what you look like. I will be coming soon. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said: I for one am very happy to see a shot of arctic air at the tail end of January, even if it’s mostly dry. This stretch of calendar has been way overdue and in this rapidly warming climate we take what we can get. Case in point, my lowest highs in the last 12 years for the last week of January: 39.3 25th 40.3 26th 39.5 27th 42.2 28th 44.5 29th 44.6 30th 42.3 31st 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 temps at the end vs 12z 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Today is staying solidly overcast now that PDX got that 50 out of its system yesterday. High of 45 so far. 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Signs of spring 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 18Z ICON 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 18Z GFS... we can always count on the GFS to assume accumulating snow with temps in the mid to upper 30s. 2 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 For reference... this is where its above freezing and below freezing at 4 p.m. on Saturday per the 18Z GFS. Precip is already done at this point from King County northward. 1 2 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: For reference... this is where its above freezing and below freezing at 4 p.m. on Saturday per the 18Z GFS. Precip is already done at this point from King County northward. Single digits! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 41F and cloudy. Have I missed anything entertaining? 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Single digits! That should do the trick! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: 41F and cloudy. Have I missed anything entertaining? Somebody said something about hitting a strip club. 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 12Z ECMWF output for SEA and PDX 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 12Z ECMWF output for SEA and PDX did not expect these runs to mellow out so significantly on what could've been big. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2022 said: did not expect these runs to mellow out so significantly on what could've been big. One great GEM run and a few good GFS runs hyped many up. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said: One great GEM run and a few good GFS runs hyped many up. euro seemed consistent with it for at least a few days prior as well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Just now, WeatherGeek2022 said: euro seemed consistent with it for at least a few days prior as well. I don't think Euro was ever that good, just cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 EPS mean was 0.5c warmer for 850mb temps. It's not like this thing has completely gone away or anything 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 12 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said: Single digits! At least the torching with highs of +10 and above is over. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said: I don't think Euro was ever that good, just cold. yeah there was some juicy cold Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: EPS mean was 0.5c warmer for 850mb temps. It's not like this thing has completely gone away or anything Euro gets down to -12.8c over PDX 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 11 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 41F and cloudy. Have I missed anything entertaining? https://media.giphy.com/media/hvAjltvsiJdmU3Ic8H/giphy.gif 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 7 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Somebody said something about hitting a strip club. I'm gonna go and assume it'll be one better than the ones we have down here. 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Alright bois, time to write this one off unfortunately. 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 Looks more likely that arctic air just kind of limps into the lower 48 at this point and quickly retreats. We should be thankful that we're getting anything with this fleeting block. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Christensen87 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 On to mid February! ... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, BLI snowman said: Looks more likely that arctic air just kind of limps into the lower 48 at this point and quickly retreats. We should be thankful that we're getting anything with this fleeting block. Even if we just get some highs below 40 and lows below 25 it would be the coldest January 29-31 period in many years. 4 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 25, 2023 Report Share Posted January 25, 2023 1 minute ago, Christensen87 said: On to mid February! ... hope wanes by then 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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