PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Phishy Wx]

'Garden Variety' cold snap

 

[MossMan]

8 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

CFS looks primed to drop the hammer at the end of February  

2011 or 2018 here we come! 

[MossMan]

39 and cloudy!!!!! It’s coming!!!!! 

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS shows no snow for the Puget Sound area (of course) and high temps around 40 in Seattle for Sunday - Tuesday... 850mb temp bottoms out around -7C or -8C on this run.

Also took away that little overrunning event for Tuesday that the 00Z run showed.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Solidly chilly start to February. Not quite sure what people were expecting, but February looks to start cool.

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z GFS shows no snow for the Puget Sound area (of course) and high temps around 40 in Seattle for Sunday - Tuesday... 850mb temp bottoms out around -7C or -8C on this run.

Also took away that little overrunning event for Tuesday that the 00Z run showed.

Wow this turned into a massive dud. At least it will be dry for a few days. 

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Solidly chilly start to February. Not quite sure what people were expecting, but February looks to start cool.

Big dogs. Arctic hounds. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Big dogs. Arctic hounds. 

Was always on a knifes edge. We should know by now. 

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Solidly chilly start to February. Not quite sure what people were expecting, but February looks to start cool.

Even that is not a lock... there is southerly flow and its warming up by time February starts.    Probably still a little cooler than normal though.    This "event" happens in January.  

[ShawniganLake]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Was always on a knifes edge. We should know by now. 

It’s been over up here for awhile.  Was kind of hoping Oregon could score something decent out of it

[ShawniganLake]

Icon has some wet snow up north early next week. Then perhaps a wind event mid week. 

[MossMan]

The drizzle is back!!!

[ShawniganLake]

Gem has a decent snow event for BC and whatcom county middle of next week.  

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Gem has a decent snow event for BC and whatcom county middle of next week.  

Quick hitter... just a standard trough rolling through so it surprising to see lowland snow.   

[Deweydog]

14 minutes ago, MossMan said:

The drizzle is back!!!

We’ve been blessed here. Tons o’ gunk but it’s been elevated and the low levels have been oddly dry. January.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

34 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Solidly chilly start to February. Not quite sure what people were expecting, but February looks to start cool.

The real deal.

[Phishy Wx]

Dry January has been a success to this point for me at least, so It's coming in Feb

[fubario]

Question for the brainiacs....I read a lot about the low over Baffin Island. It's showing pretty strong on all the model runs lately. As long as it's there we're kinda screwed for snow and stuff, right?

[Deweydog]

4 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Meh, they could call them the Fuckfarts for all I care. The Indianapolis Colts franchise decided to stop calling themselves the Triangles after 1929.

I’d like to see that mascot.

[MossMan]

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

Pretty much borderline non-event status. A couple 35/25 days with no snow. Sucks especially for Portland it looked like you guys atleast had a chance at snow. Never looked like we had a good shot at snow up here. 

Reminiscent of the great January 2013 cold spell.

[BLI snowman]

17 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

We’ve been blessed here. Tons o’ gunk but it’s been elevated and the low levels have been oddly dry. January.

I'd even take the drizzle. The cloudy, milquetoast drabby nothingness of the last 10 days has been kinda excruciating. If nothing else I'm super excited for it to clear out finally for a whole 48 hours. Regardless of the devastating trendz.

Edited January 26, 2023 by BLI snowman

[Deweydog]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

I'd take the drizzle. The cloudy, milquetoast drabby nothingness of the last 10 days has been kinda excruciating. If nothing else I'm super excited for it to clear out finally for a whole 48 hours. Regardless of the devastating trendz.

Sunday and Monday should be gorgeous, although I’ll probably run the misters on the patio to keep the drizzle dream alive. Might make for some fun ice accretions if we drop below 32 degrees Fahrenheit at some point.

[Front Ranger]

7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I’d like to see that mascot.

[MossMan]

19 minutes ago, fubario said:

Question for the brainiacs....I read a lot about the low over Baffin Island. It's showing pretty strong on all the model runs lately. As long as it's there we're kinda screwed for snow and stuff, right?

Phillllllll is the Baffin Island expert! 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

I was more curious about the first proposed name.

He’s cute though, although seemingly representative of rising temperatures.  Too soon.

[Deweydog]

9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

That Timember looks pretty sweet.

[ShawniganLake]

22 minutes ago, fubario said:

Question for the brainiacs....I read a lot about the low over Baffin Island. It's showing pretty strong on all the model runs lately. As long as it's there we're kinda screwed for snow and stuff, right?

It’s probably not ideal but we would still do okay if we saw a block push up into Alaska and stay in place longer than 24hrs. 

[Deweydog]

It’s coming 

https://komonews.com/seattle-refined/john-mayer-acoustic-tour-seattle-climate-pledge-arena-april-11-2023#

[fubario]

27 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Phillllllll is the Baffin Island expert! 

Paging Dr. Phil!

[Christensen87]

Man, what a bummer. Even CFS is back to being a disaster. We just can't catch a fukin break...

[Anti Marine Layer]

17 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

It’s coming 

https://komonews.com/seattle-refined/john-mayer-acoustic-tour-seattle-climate-pledge-arena-april-11-2023#

Playing music requires movement, which generates heat. In addition, people will need to drive there.

[joelgombiner]

AQI remaining moderate at 54 in Seattle... A good reminder that wildfire smoke is not the only source of PM 2.5. 

[Front Ranger]

55 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Phillllllll is the Baffin Island expert! 

Some might say enthusiast. Didn't he say he was checking out Zillow for a place there?

[FroYoBro]

Next week could include my first freeze since January 2nd. Exciting! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hmmmm… Seems like we are still going to see lotsa below normal temps. Score!

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

AQI remaining moderate at 54 in Seattle... A good reminder that wildfire smoke is not the only source of PM 2.5. 

Thankfully this will be going away very soon.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF for the weekend system.

[TT-SEA]

Here is a fun one... cloud cover and high temps on Sunday afternoon.   

[TT-SEA]

Lately it seems these events trend colder right at the end of the lead up... this one is the opposite.   Yesterday morning the ECMWF showed -10C over SEA on Monday morning and on the new 12Z run its at -5C at the same time.

850mb temp bottoms out around -7C or -8C over SEA on Sunday morning.