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PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


Requiem

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Just now, BLI snowman said:

I think he said that he was trying to move but was still having some trouble selling the Stampede Pass house.

So over-developed up there... people are trying to escape the rat race of Stampede Pass for something more rural.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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It is nice that we still get the cool crisp and sunny weather even though this fell apart.   When these events fail to the west we end up getting doused with rain immediately.   

High temps on Monday.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_max6-5123200 (2).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

I'd even take the drizzle. The cloudy, milquetoast drabby nothingness of the last 10 days has been kinda excruciating. If nothing else I'm super excited for it to clear out finally for a whole 48 hours. Regardless of the devastating trendz.

This is well put. It’s been the worst of all worlds with just enough persistent mid level cloudiness to prevent any decoupling at night, but some half assed sunbreaks in the afternoons to allow it to get as mild as possible despite the general gloom. Was definitely hoping for some fog, frosty mornings and more sun at times this week. Been a bummer.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

It is nice that we still get the cool crisp and sunny weather even though this fell apart.   When these events fail to the west we end up getting doused with rain immediately.   

High temps on Monday.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_max6-5123200 (2).png

Lows? 

  • Sun 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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27 years ago RIGHT NOW the NWS wasn’t quite sure…

FPUS3 KPDX 261632
SFDPDX
UPCOMING STM SYS STILL A TOUGH ONE TO FIGURE OUT FOR THE PDX AREA...
EASIER FOR THE REST OF THE STATE.  OVRRNG FM TO BEGIN PCPN ON S CST
BY THIS AFTN...SPRDG E AND N WITH TIME.  12Z MDLS CONT TREND OF EACH
RUN TAKG THE UPR/SFC LOW A LTL FURTHR S THAN THE PREVIOUS RUN.  NGM
NOW HAS 994 MB SFC LOW NR CNTRL ORE COAST BY 12Z SAT AND TRACK IT
ACRS NRN ORE TO NE CRNR BY 00Z.  AS LOW APPCHS...CD AIR SHUD BE
PULLED WWD THRU GORGE/PASSES INTO NRN WILLMTE VLLY. IT WOULD BE MORE
DEFINITE IF THERE WERE MORE SNOW COVR IN COL BASIN/GORGE...THERE ISNT
MUCH THERE RIGHT NOW.  DEWPTS AT PDT IN LOW/MID 20S SHOW SOME
POTENTIAL THO.  WILL CONT ALL WINTR STM WATCHS AS THEY ARE FOR THE
TIME BEING WHILE ADDING A LTL STRONGER SNOW WORDING TO NW ORE FCST.  
NXT PROBLM IS PSBL FLOODG IN CST/SW ORE BASINS.  HEAVIEST RAIN SHUD
BE IN NRN CA INTO EXTREME SW ORE AS UPR S/W MOVES TWD NRN CA...WITH
SECNDRY MAX A LTL FURTHR N IN CST RNG FROM WM FNT/PVA ERY SAT. 
PLENTY OF SNOW ON GND AND HIGH BASE FLOWS HAVE PROMPTED FLOOD WATCH.
HIGH WIND WATCH FOR CST MAINLY S/CNTRL...MAIN ENERGY SHUD HEAD FOR
NRN CA AND WILL EVALUATE FURTHER BEFORE ISSUING WARNG.  
MEANWHILE...NEXT UPR LOW DROPS SEWD OVR BC BY SUN WITH COLDER AIR
FILTRG S OVR WA/NRN ORE.  AT THE MOMENT...MAIN CD AIR STAYS N AND
TRAJECTORY IS WELL OVR WATER SO SNOW SHUD BE CONFINED TO MTNS. 
SCHMIDT

 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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8 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

Looks like another jet extension forthcoming.  The difference I see with this one though is that Alaska ridging does stay in play, at least at the beginning.  Won't take much to get the pattern favorable as opposed to how most of January was.

I put the top ten weather phrases of the last week into a blender and came up with the exact same paragraph. Weird.

Edited by Cascadia_Wx
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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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10 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

9B8FA5A9-A154-41D4-B5C0-753603CA2E76.jpeg

😎

Cool! Only thing I’m responsible for the NWS fixing is their web software, which used to have an issue with displaying dates correctly when (as in, right when, i.e. within an hour of midnight on New Year’s Day) the year rolled over.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Pretty chilly lows coming up. Exciting 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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7 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

Looks like another jet extension forthcoming.  The difference I see with this one though is that Alaska ridging does stay in play, at least at the beginning.  Won't take much to get the pattern favorable as opposed to how most of January was.

Haven’t seen any signs of a jet extension. 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

This has really been quite the rug pull. Savor it; it may be some time before we get another one this good.

Yea this sucks. However, at least it wasn’t a huge rug pull. Wasn’t ever very consistent tbh. 2020 was a lot better rug pull😂😂😂

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Sort of the opposite on the EPS.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-nhemi-z500_anom-5468800.png

Just kind of a rudderless, low-impact pattern. On the bright side it’s at least kind of a clean slate for those hoping something will pop off all of the sudden. Vastly different from the end of last month when it was pretty obvious we were locking in for while.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yea this sucks. However, at least it wasn’t a huge rug pull. Wasn’t ever very consistent tbh. 2020 was a lot better rug pull😂😂😂

I think you are underselling it. It was quite the rug pull for Portland. They were in the thick of the pepto at one time and now it’s a long shot if they will see so much as a dusting.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I think you are underselling it. It was quite the rug pull for Portland. They were in the thick of the pepto at one time and now it’s a long shot if they will see so much as a dusting.

Did the Euro ever show anything big there within 7 days?

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A forum for the end of the world.

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1 minute ago, Terreboner2 said:

One phrase. Jet extension.......

Ok, maybe not a full blown jet extension but definitely progressive with some transitory ridging.  I think the normal human being won't be able to tell the difference as far as day to day life though.

Wouldn’t even be partial blown. Or blown at all. Pants on, zipped up.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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4 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

One phrase. Jet extension.......

Ok, maybe not a full blown jet extension but definitely progressive with some transitory ridging.  I think the normal human being won't be able to tell the difference as far as day to day life though.

Jet extension usually means persistent rain for many days (weeks)... the progression on the EPS would be much more variable with more nice days mixed in.    Pretty noticeable difference to the non-weather person.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, Forum Admin said:

Kind of at the tail end of the season of anything decent to write home about. My much beloved sun angles are high enough to mute any inversion or marginal events by mid Feb and then after that its dippen dot season.

Welcome back. Any update on the login issue?

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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1 minute ago, Terreboner2 said:

Yes, but with December's supposed jet extension we still had periods of dry mixed in with the fronts.  That being said, doesn't really matter over here.  There can be a jet extension that gives only variably cloudy skies.

That jet extension went into CA... so it was nicer up here.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

Yes, but with December's supposed jet extension we still had periods of dry mixed in with the fronts.  That being said, doesn't really matter over here.  There can be a jet extension that gives only variably cloudy skies.

Let’s just stick to drunken misogyny shall we?

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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24 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Just kind of a rudderless, low-impact pattern. On the bright side it’s at least kind of a clean slate for those hoping something will pop off all of the sudden. Vastly different from the end of last month when it was pretty obvious we were locking in for while.

At least pacific is shutdown somewhat, leaves the door open.

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Storm/cold is still going to pack a punch out here. Winter Storm Warning issued for a pretty big storm incoming over the next 48 hours along with below zero temps. Looking at 12-18" of snow on my rooftop and highs below zero on Sunday/Monday with lows dropping to near -30F.

Looking forward to it after a pretty boring month in the weather department!

StormTotalSnow.jpeg

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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