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PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


Requiem

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IR Imagery

The initial backdoor arctic boundary edging into northeast Washington. The main arctic front and bitter upper trough is still well north up in Alberta and Saskatchewan, but is sliding southwestward. Analyzing the pattern over the Pacific, ridge, and arctic trough we could see a significant chunk of this bitter air spill into eastern Washington and the Columbia Basin. We'll have watch Mesoanalysis 925/825mb charts today and pressure gradients over the Columbia Basin back to The Dalles to monitor the progress of the arctic air.

cira-rammb-slider---goes-18---full_disk---band_15-opacity-100---20230128032021-20230128090021.gif

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37 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Just got back to port from our cruise. No internet all week was glorious! But pretty bummed to see this cold spell never materialized in to anything other than a little cold.

Hope it was a fun vacation.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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06z gfs was pretty solid. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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49 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Hope it was a fun vacation.

Pretty solid, good to disconnect. But the weather kinda sucked, pretty cool in the gulf this week. Cozumel was nice but torrential downpour in the afternoon, we ended up with almost 2 days of tank top weather the rest was actually pretty cool and windy!

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Looks like Spokane is getting snow this morning? 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like Spokane is getting snow this morning? 

Yup ;)

2023-01-28 10_08_44-Spokane, Spokane International Airport.png

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  • Snow 1
  • Weenie 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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I think the NWS Spokane facebook page was mentioning they're not far from reaching their seasonal average, if they haven't done it already with this next snow.

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  • Snow 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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43 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like Spokane is getting snow this morning? 

They have these cool new things called web cams that allow you to see what is happening in a place.   Go to Google and type "Spokane traffic cams".   Takes about as much time as it does to type your post asking if it's snowing.  😀

I joke.   But it does appear to be snowing there. 

cctv021 (1).jpg

Fairview.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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16 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

I think the NWS Spokane facebook page was mentioning they're not far from reaching their seasonal average, if they haven't done it already with this next snow.

Very nice. We are at 16.1” now, a little less than half of average. But February and March are our biggest snow months so we are in decent shape. If we squeeze out 3/4” we can pass the vaunted winter of 2012-13. 

 

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

They have these cool new things called web cams that allow you see what is happening in a place.   Go to Google and type "Spokane traffic cams".   Takes about as much time as it does to type your post asking if it's snowing.  😀

I joke.   But it does appear to be snowing there. 

cctv021 (1).jpg

Fairview.jpg

Thanks for the advice sir. 

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
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  • Snow 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Very nice. We are at 16.1” now, a little less than half of average. But February and March are our biggest snow months so we are in decent shape. If we squeeze out 3/4” we can pass the vaunted winter of 2012-13. 

Dec 2012 was a solid month for snow, then a cold January but was also a pretty boring month, very little snow to go around in late winter. 

  • Popcorn 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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NWS forecast for my place is 30/21, 35/18, 38/24. Not bad. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Even as the cold air is arriving now... the GFS and ECMWF and still not in agreement.   The ECMWF shows the 850mb temp over SEA bottoming out at -10C tomorrow morning while the new 12ZGFS shows about -6C.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Wind is rippin this morning. 

14CC0B19-91DE-4EED-8C59-25123BF23F20.jpeg

  • Windy 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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7 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

Are you in Oklahoma?  Isn't it always ripping out there?

Yes and yes.  

  • Windy 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

12Z GFS cuts back on the snow amounts. Not a surprise, given how the 06Z operational was an outlier.

gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-snow_24hr_kuchera_cm-5274400.thumb.png.7122bca978d9bbce0e39a9b97dbdc184.png

I’m in the grey! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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A chilly and foggy morning out there.  Currently 38 here.

Prince George is at 7 so there is some cold air to work with.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Not a terrible GFS run, long range is Kold again. 

  • Shivering 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The models are becoming increasingly bullish on the MJO staying quite robust and entering the Maritime Continent region a bit later on.  Good chance we are going to get another shot at some cold.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Not a terrible GFS run, long range is Kold again. 

I think a legit cold Feb is on the table.  Really weird how both Jan and Feb are in such a rut right now.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just now, snow_wizard said:

The models are becoming increasingly bullish on the MJO staying quite robust and entering the Maritime Continent region a bit later on.  Good chance we are going to get another shot at some cold.

LOL, it will end up being yet another President’s Day Special. Just wait and see.

Optimal sun angles are just so passé.

It's called clown range for a reason.

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Not a terrible GFS run, long range is Kold again. 

Perhaps a 2021 Valentines Day weekend redux! 

C5B452C0-4590-4A62-806A-EB436B5F6374.jpeg

6BA5C717-C1D7-42A8-970F-2A7C20AD0563.jpeg

7B0BD527-6255-4426-A2F5-DFAB47198CAD.jpeg

1A120C7F-FB48-410A-9102-532619FD9BE3.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Whatever your opinion on the matter, an SSW is happening right now.  Not sure about all of the talk of the details being wrong, but it's there.

10mb9065.png

  • Facepalm 3

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Perhaps a 2021 Valentines Day weekend redux! 

C5B452C0-4590-4A62-806A-EB436B5F6374.jpeg

6BA5C717-C1D7-42A8-970F-2A7C20AD0563.jpeg

7B0BD527-6255-4426-A2F5-DFAB47198CAD.jpeg

1A120C7F-FB48-410A-9102-532619FD9BE3.jpeg

Feb has been the bomb lately.  Just so many good examples beginning in 2011.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Jim is so right. Big league potential mid month. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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