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PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


Requiem

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1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

By the way, your signature block now needs updating.

Thank you. Genuinely grateful that our coldest temp won't be in the mid-fall this time around.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Last night was probably a couple degrees warmer at my place than last February when we hit 15 and the park hit 14. Looks like the fire station hit 33 yesterday so it will be close for a sub freezing high at the park. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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15 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Not nearly as cold last night as it was late last month up this way. Mostly a matter of snow cover (or lack thereof) .

Umm,  December’s airmass was significantly colder, both at the upper levels and at the surface. This was never a great setup for low level cold to be delivered through the Fraser Canyon. It would have been colder with snow cover, but not December 2022 type cold. 

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24 at SEA, 23 near my backyard. So not quite matching the 23 at the airport last Feb. Arctic fart. 

2022-23 Winter:

11/29: .25" + 1" = 1.25" | 11/30: .25"

12/2: .2" + .5" = .7" | 12/3: .2" | 12/4: trace

12/18: .4" | 12/19: .2" + .8" = 1.0" | 12/20: .2 + 1.5" = 1.7

1/31: trace | 2/14: trace | 2/22: .2 | 2/26: 1.0"

Total: 6.7"

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2 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Just don’t understand some of the negativity from Seattle north. It was a beautiful, sunny weekend.

Sure, it’s a quick hitter of a dry blast that’s more of an arctic fart than a true blast, but they can’t all be epic blasts. You would prefer instead endless Niño-like ridging with relentless 50-burgers and a few 60-burgers thrown in for good measure?

South of Seattle I can understand some griping by this stage. This winter has largely been a nothing-burger for snow there.

No complaints here! 

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16 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Lol yea it’d be better if it never snowed south of Randy’s house again :) 

I know right!   Southern Washington and Oregon were the big winners with this round.  It’s our turn up north again. 
 

How’s your weekly weather briefing going at work?  Seems like we might see some more impactful weather in terms of rainfall as we get towards week 2

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2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

I know right!   Southern Washington and Oregon were the big winners with this round.  It’s our turn up north again. 
 

How’s your weekly weather briefing going at work?  Seems like we might see some more impactful weather in terms of rainfall as we get towards week 2

Haven’t even needed to do an actual forecast yet, this rainy season has been pretty inactive overall. I’m guessing February will probably be slightly cooler and drier than normal as well. Maybe we will make up for it in the spring like last year. 

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High clouds rapidly spreading into western WA from the NW... enjoy the sun while you can because its back to clouds for most of the rest of the week as flow turns back around to onshore.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

High clouds rapidly spreading into western WA from the NW... enjoy the sun while you can because its back to clouds for most of the rest of the week as flow turns back around to onshore.

Ugh. 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

High clouds rapidly spreading into western WA from the NW... enjoy the sun while you can because its back to clouds for most of the rest of the week as flow turns back around to onshore.

Good news considering now I need to buy new chapstick.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Managed a 19F at my place! Pscore!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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41 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I think there’ll atleast be some seasonably chilly weather next month. Probably a slightly below average February in the works. No good signal for legit snow/cold yet. 

Yeah... the 12Z EPS looks pretty dull except for that cold day at the end.   ;)

ecmwf-ensemble-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-5080000 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... the 12Z EPS looks pretty dull except for that cold day at the end.   ;)

ecmwf-ensemble-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-5080000 (1).png

40/37. Nice. 🥶. Could be some wet snow on the higher hills. 
 

Signs seem to be pointing towards some flat GoA ridging as we head toward mid February.  Perhaps some chilly Nw flow and a decent mountain snow pattern if the ridge doesn’t end up too close.  

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3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

40/37. Nice. 🥶. Could be some wet snow on the higher hills. 
 

Signs seem to be pointing towards some flat GoA ridging as we head toward mid February.  Perhaps some chilly Nw flow and a decent mountain snow pattern if the ridge doesn’t end up too close.  

It would have to happen before 4 a.m. that day... assuming it would get warmer after dawn but who knows!     We will have to wait for the 00Z run to see the rest of that day.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

7 degrees too warm this morning, wow.

Yeah... not sure how the meteograms work.    That might be starting at 10 a.m.?     The 00Z EPS run showed a low of 25 at SEA this morning which was much better.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Currently 38.6. Maybe I’ll score another sub-40 high today as it looks like some high clouds are starting to move in.

2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats

Total Snowfall - 0.75”

Max Snow Depth - 0.5”

Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13)

Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13)

Number of Freezes - 48

Sub-40 highs - 12

Highs 32 or lower - 3

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15 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Well at least we still have March and even April for some white stuff since February is cooked. 

Jim will be with you shortly. Please take a seat in the waiting room and enjoy some issues of Sports Illustrated from 1989.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Looks like we're on track for a subfreezing day. It was 26F when I checked just now and still low 20s when I checked in the late morning.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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