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PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


Requiem

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I have upgraded January from a D- - to a D- since it’s finally not drizzling and it’s been in the low 20’s for the last two mornings. Otherwise this has been the longest month EVER! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I have upgraded January from a D- - to a D- since it’s finally not drizzling and it’s been in the low 20’s for the last two mornings. Otherwise this has been the longest month EVER! 

Last October was longer, due to the smoke and the long wait for the rains to begin.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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11 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

39/21 today. High clouds saved us from a +40 high but will keep us warmer tonight. 

ECMWF still shows lows in the 20s tomorrow morning.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_min6-5188000 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Pretty legit cold day today.

SEA - 39/24

PDX - 41/21

BLI - 36/19

MBY - 38/20

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2022 said:

no finale for this winter I guess 😭

I am genuinely rooting for a neutral or weak Nino next winter. Hopefully we can avoid a raging Nino. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2022 said:

no finale for this winter I guess 😭

You do realize February hasn't even begun right?

The ECMWF weeklies were quite good today.  -2 PNA toward the middle of February.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just now, MossMan said:

I am genuinely rooting for a neutral or weak Nino next winter. Hopefully we can avoid a raging Nino. 

Please don't tell me you have given up too.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF still shows lows in the 20s tomorrow morning.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-t2m_f_min6-5188000 (1).png

Interestingly it has dropped the mins for Wednesday and Thursday on the last few runs as well.

For SEA it was going 33, 32 on the 0z, then 30, 30 on the 12z, and now 29, 29 on the 18z.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Please don't tell me you have given up too.

Nah. I don’t give up until after the second week of March. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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I knew the GFS was being absurd with the low temps for SEA.  Last night's 0z was going for a low of 30 and they ended up with 24.  It was incredibly obvious that was going to bust high.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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10 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

lol

 

 

To Weatherbell's credit they did go with an Eastern torch on their last winter forecast update on Dec 1.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Looks like SEA will have a -12 departure today.  I had a -11 which is the third straight month to have at least one day with a double digit minus.  I'm close to 50 freezing mins already as well.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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23 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I am genuinely rooting for a neutral or weak Nino next winter. Hopefully we can avoid a raging Nino. 

We often do well with neutral.  Even warmish neutral interestingly enough.

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  • Excited 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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10 minutes ago, Doinko said:

39/21 at EUG as well

Widespread and pretty tightly grouped this time.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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34 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

You do realize February hasn't even begun right?

The ECMWF weeklies were quite good today.  -2 PNA toward the middle of February.

I think after this "event" we have another lengthy wait ahead.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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