PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[MossMan]

My bird feeder has been nearly abandoned for the last several weeks…Think I even saw a tumbleweed blow by it at one point…But today the birds have come back with a vengeance…It’s coming. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

I always get you mixed up with WeatherNerd12345

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

I always get you mixed up with WeatherNerd12345

I'll think of a new username.

[Cascadia_Wx]

 

12z EPS looking pretty good in the long range. I like that the Euro has trended toward that brush with cold air to the east early next week (around the 23rd) Could help seed some decent cold inversions as the ridge moves overhead.

Edited January 18, 2023 by Cascadia_Wx

[Deweydog]

4 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

I'll think of a new username.

Your name is just fine.

Edited January 18, 2023 by Deweydog

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

I'll think of a new username.

It was just a joke. Seems like there are many variations of weathernerd on here this winter. It’s not a big deal and I wouldn’t worry about changing your name.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

6 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said:

Definitely some cold members showing up in the clown range.

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

It was just a joke. Seems like there are many variations of weathernerd on here this winter. It’s not a big deal and I wouldn’t worry about changing your name.

But I think I can think of a more creative name.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I liked how the GFS ended. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

But I think I can think of a more creative name.

I like it!

[SnowWillarrive]

27 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Temp dropped 5 degrees here in Lebanon since 9a. 

Record cold for the middle east 

[TT-SEA]

Definite downward turn on the EPS meteogram.

[MossMan]

Just got back to work from lunch…Tim’s song that he will have on repeat (much to his family’s dismay) in his rented convertible while in Hawaii just came on my Pandora…It’s absolutely coming, things are lining up perfectly! 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Just got back to work from lunch…Tim’s song that he will have on repeat (much to his family’s dismay) in his rented convertible while in Hawaii just came on my Pandora…It’s absolutely coming, things are lining up perfectly! 

Mai Tais on the beach coming up soon!  

[Cascadia_Wx]

28 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Your name is just fine.

It’s funny how a perfectly harmless exchange can be perceived by some

[Cascadia_Wx]

Down to 41 with rain now. First day in awhile that the temp has actually dropped during the afternoon.

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Terreboner2 said:

Today's front almost has the feel of poor man's Anafront.  Looks like the precip is hung up with the front while the mid and lower levels drop.  I wouldn't be surprised if I get a quick inch this late afternoon/early evening.

I was just thinking the same about it. Some anafrontal qualities.

[Tyler Mode]

9 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I was just thinking the same about it. Some anafrontal qualities.

 

Short Term Forecast

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Medford OR
1112 AM PST Wed Jan 18 2023

ORZ023-182215-
Central Douglas County-
Including the cities of Roseburg, Winchester, Sutherlin, Umpqua,
and Green
1112 AM PST Wed Jan 18 2023

.NOW THROUGH 2 PM PDT...An area of moderate to occasionally heavy
precipitation will result in rain changing over to wet snow for a
brief period of time, along highway 42 near Camas Mountain where
up to inch of snow is possible. Once the precipitation intensity
diminishes, the wet snow should change back over to rain and any
snow on the road is expected to melt.

The area of heavier precipitation will shift east in the next hour
or two with rain mixing with and changing over to wet snow over
the summits on interstate 5 north of Grants Pass that could
result in brief snow accumulation on the roads.

[LowerGarfield]

I wonder how the frosted flakes tiger did with all that snow in Denver. Can't remember his user name though. Looks like they've had a good day.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

My daughters school is releasing early due to snow… even though it’s hardly even sticking on the roads…

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

My daughters school is releasing early due to snow… even though it’s hardly even sticking on the roads…

What is the elevation at her school?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

What is the elevation at her school?

It’s about 1600’, it’s about a mile from our house. 

[fubario]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Mid-winter dry spell begins after this current front passes through. 

 

My wish for humanity is to love their fellow man/woman as much as Tim loves posting the QPF 10-Day Anomaly map when it shows red for the PNW. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Fantastic 12z CFS run. 

[Doinko]

CFS looks great

[Rubus Leucodermis]

16 minutes ago, fubario said:

My wish for humanity is to love their fellow man/woman as much as Tim loves posting the QPF 10-Day Anomaly map when it shows red for the PNW. 

Because only negative temperature anomalies are worth any love.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

5 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

How does the first week of Feb look compared to the 06z?

Looks legitimate. 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Because only negative temperature anomalies are worth any love.

I have actually been enjoying this rainy period.   The dry period is just the next thing coming up.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I have actually been enjoying this rainy period.   The dry period is just the next thing coming up.  

Why? Because it’s been so warm? To me this has been a continuation of our weather purgatory. December was cold but not cold enough to be that interesting. January has been consistently wet and warm, but not very interesting or wet either. Kind of shhitsville. 

[Omegaraptor]

Sun coming out in Corvallis!

[TT-SEA]

17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Why? Because it’s been so warm? To me this has been a continuation of our weather purgatory. December was cold but not cold enough to be that interesting. January has been consistently wet and warm, but not very interesting or wet either. Kind of shhitsville. 

Partly because its been warm... and also because it just seems right to have rainy periods in the winter.    Its been a pleasant way to get rain as well with lots of breaks and a decent amount of sun even though its has rained at least a little almost every day since Christmas.   We did the hot/dry thing and then the cold/dry thing so this has been a nice change.  

I also like seeing the grass turning greener and some other signs of life in the middle of winter.   Even if it gets snowy and cold again we now have a jump start on spring.    

And its been easy... no travel issues and no school delays.   Just quiet.

[Deweydog]

Heads up, Judah!!!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

15 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Sun coming out in Corvallis!

Only 41°F as of last report… looks like you may get cheated out of a 50-burger today.

[Omegaraptor]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Only 41°F as of last report… looks like you may get cheated out of a 50-burger today.

Walk back to the apartment from class was pretty chilly for sure, especially compared to the last few days. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS says we wait two weeks for a repeat of today. Lol

[Christensen87]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Fantastic 12z CFS run. 

Was just going to post this. Now if only the trend can continue for once! 

[Slushy Inch]

5 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

Was just going to post this. Now if only the trend can continue for once! 

We just need GEFS to improve and EPS to consolidate those cold members.

[MossMan]

29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Partly because its been warm... and also because it just seems right to have rainy periods in the winter.    Its been a pleasant way to get rain as well with lots of breaks and a decent amount of sun even though its has rained at least a little almost every day since Christmas.   We did the hot/dry thing and then the cold/dry thing so this has been a nice change.  

I also like seeing the grass turning greener and some other signs of life in the middle of winter.   Even if it gets snowy and cold again we now have a jump start on spring.    

And its been easy... no travel issues and no school delays.   Just quiet.

Too quiet…I want some excitement again!! 

[NWbyNW]

We have some sun peaking through from the Bellingham camera.  Some beautiful clouds in shot. No rain at the moment for them.  They are sitting at 44F degrees.  Looks pretty. 

[NWbyNW]

Stevens Pass is snowing, so if you want excitement, I guess that is where you go.  They've picked up about 4 inches at this particular station in the last day.  Currently 22F.