PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Front Ranger]

4 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

I think everyone who lives in Washington on this forum can relate to this map.

Interesting that money is the biggest stressor for states that are both very poor, very wealthy, and some in between.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

32 now

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Covid is still on there as the biggest stressor?   

Having been down to texas 3 times since the pandemic started…almost didn’t seem like covid was even going on. Even in September 2020. 
 I also have a hard time thinking the weather is that big of a stressor to be considered the top issue in Washington. Much bigger issues here than the weather like cost of living for one. 

[Deweydog]

6 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

I think everyone who lives in Washington on this forum can relate to this map.

Oh those Virginians and their “relationships”

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

Interesting that money is the biggest stressor for states that are both very poor, very wealthy, and some in between.

Interesting is not a word I would use for any aspect of that map (based of course on Matt Surlee’s Instagram followers)

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Having been down to texas 3 times since the pandemic started…almost didn’t seem like covid was even going on. Even in September 2020. 
 I also have a hard time thinking the weather is that big of a stressor to be considered the top issue in Washington. Much bigger issues here than the weather like cost of living for one. 

I lost some intelligence just looking at it.

[MossMan]

23 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I went to the Portland Boat Show on 1/10/07 and it SNOWED.

I was last at the boat show on January 27th 2017. It didn’t snow. And I didn’t buy my dream boat with a fancy dash as it was $70k. Same boat is now about $120k. 
Instead I bought a well under $10k boat with a cassette deck stereo and original bright red carpet a few years later! 
 

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Interesting is not a word I would use for any aspect of that map (based of course on Matt Surlee’s Instagram followers)

[Front Ranger]

6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Interesting is not a word I would use for any aspect of that map (based of course on Matt Surlee’s Instagram followers)

It certainly could use more pepto.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Can I get a refund? I thought we were having a 2019 redux 

 

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Can I get a refund? I thought we were having a 2019 redux 

 

Do you have your receipt?

[Front Ranger]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Can I get a refund? I thought we were having a 2019 redux 

 

Judah seems to be about on the fifth stage of grief these days.

[Terreboner2]

Just read the last 10 pages.  You guys are some model riding mother fukkers!!!!!

The weather is going to do what it is going to do.  GFS is garbage, Euro is king, CFS is ridiculous garbage, EPS is a little less ridiculous garbage, HRRR is HOT garbage, and the GOLU is the end all be all!!!!!

Life is good and we have a chance of another fun February.  "Excuse me while I kiss the sky!!!!"

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS now running!

[Gradient Keeper]

Clearly that should increase our odds. Yes?

[TacomaWx]

3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z GFS now running!

This is an absolute gem. 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 1 (4-run trend)

[Terreboner2]

Just now, Gradient Keeper said:

00z GFS Day 1 (4-run trend)

C'mon 00z!!!  We need a Groundhog Day miracle!!!!!!!

[Terreboner2]

2 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

C'mon 00z!!!  We need a Groundhog Day miracle!!!!!!!

Maybe Ned Ryerson will show up!!!

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ICON did not blink. Day 6.5

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 2 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

HR 51 ridge merger. Timing is speeding ahead nicely. Actually the 00z initialized at 4 PM, so we are 48 hours away from the ridge merger.

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GEM just commenced!

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z GEM just commenced!

Really appreciate having you back.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3 (4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Really appreciate having you back.

Well, wow, thanks appreciate that.

[Doinko]

Block looks better and it's shifted west so far

[Terreboner2]

Sure hope that block isn't going too far west.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

My god Mike, the ICON is just rock solid. - Chris Collinsworth. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4 (4-run trend) Block is beefier this run and a notch further west.

[Terreboner2]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 4 (4-run trend) Block is beefier this run and a notch further west.

Westward movement should stop right there.

[Deweydog]

Down to 45 at PDX. 

[High Desert Mat?]

3 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said:

Westward movement should stop right there.

Didn’t you just call us all mother fukkers for model riding? And here you are!!

[Terreboner2]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Down to 45 at PDX. 

36 here but I'm actually excited about a couple afternoons in the 50's probably Thur/Fri.  I have a project outdoors I need to get done by the end of the week then it can do whatever it wants.

[Gradient Keeper]

Uh oh........

[bainbridgekid]

00z much better for this weekend. It might be coming.

[Deweydog]

[Terreboner2]

Just now, High Desert Mat? said:

Didn’t you just call us all mother fukkers for model riding? And here you are!!

Ya, but I don't hang my hat on a couple of bad runs, more about the trends.  Some of the dudes on here see a bad 12z run and they run for the exits.

[SpaceRace22]

Wow. Day 5 is shockingly different on the 00z from the previous runs. Not sure if it's going to matter further down the line, but I am intrigued.

[Front Ranger]

GFS definitely taking a step towards the Euro. This progression looks a bit similar to mid December.

[RentonHill]

looks like he got hold of the wrong stuff

[Phishy Wx]

1 minute ago, Terreboner2 said:

Ya, but I don't hang my hat on a couple of bad runs, more about the trends.  Some of the dudes on here see a bad 12z run and they run for the exits.

I suggested they take a nap earlier.  might help

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5 (4-run trend) Well, don't like that. Arctic trough is digging out to our north off Vancouver Island. Maybe I made Old Man Winter upset.

[Terreboner2]

1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said:

00z much better for this weekend. It might be coming.

And then they do sheet like this that shows blue over the Puget sound and act like everything is back on!!  It could show a snowstorm anywhere but their backyard and they cry that it's a bust.

[TT-SEA]

What is the GFS doing?   Wow is that different.  Randy wins again!

[Doinko]

This run brings the Arctic air way slower than the other runs.

[SpaceRace22]

00z says my flight into PDX on the 29th is absolutely not happening, lol

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5.5 Block nearly pinching off .... IF we can get cold east wind maybe this becomes very snowy or icy.

[Phishy Wx]

gfs is gfs'n

don't sweat it

[bainbridgekid]

Nice seeing a snow map like this inside day 6. It’s been a while.