Jump to content

PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion


Recommended Posts

53 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Very true. There are inland and mountain climates well to the south of us and within the western US that clobber even Pretentius Knowitallus’s backyard.

I guess I have a reputation to live up to now. I will strive not to disappoint.

  • Excited 1
  • Popcorn 1
It's called clown range for a reason.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Hey hey the NAM’s in play!!!

Time for some NAM snow maps then!  

nam-218-all-washington-total_snow_kuchera-4972000.png

  • Excited 1
  • lol 2
  • scream 2
  • Sick 3

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

18z ICON digging southwest bit better too.

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh72_trend.gif

icon_z500_mslp_namer_fh72_trend.gif

That is trending faster... not the trend direction people in western WA would want.

  • Sick 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Cold Snap said:

I’m really not that surprised this is turning out to be a dry blast because I feel like it’s been a while since one. It sucks for the Portland folks though because when they finally get a decent arctic blast it comes with little to no snow. 

This weekend's setup just isn't a big snowstorm setup for PDX. We very rarely get a sharp arctic front let alone one with enough juice for any significant snow accumulation after the front passes. IMO the top end outcome for this weekend would be 1-3 inches in PDX. More realistically it will be some snow in the air or a dusting since it will probably go dry once it is cold enough, a very familiar situation for us...

Most of the big snowstorms here come from overrunning once the cold air is already in place paired with offshore flow through the gorge. A nice BC slider can also produce good results. The late December sleet event here was very close to a significant snow storm, we had every ingredient but the top of the column was just a bit too warm. 

A good overrunning event sometime next week still seems possible at least. 

  • Like 9
Link to comment
Share on other sites

38 minutes ago, Bueryan said:

Some day when we all put on chains and trudge through the snow to meet at a bar, and Frosty buys us the first round, (I think it was him who said he'd do that?) I'd love to hear your attempts.

Idk why but this reminded me of this 

55CA5408-590C-48A1-9D76-BBFD5EEDE64A.gif

  • lol 7

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I for one am very happy to see a shot of arctic air at the tail end of January, even if it’s mostly dry. This stretch of calendar has been way overdue and in this rapidly warming climate we take what we can get.

Case in point, my lowest highs in the last 12 years for the last week of January:

39.3 25th
40.3 26th
39.5 27th
42.2 28th
44.5 29th
44.6 30th
42.3 31st
  • Like 2
  • scream 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

18Z GFS... we can always count on the GFS to assume accumulating snow with temps in the mid to upper 30s.  

gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-4993600.png

  • Like 2
  • Snow 1
  • Sick 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

For reference... this is where its above freezing and below freezing at 4 p.m. on Saturday per the 18Z GFS.     Precip is already done at this point from King County northward.

gfs-deterministic-washington-t2m_c-4950400.png

  • Like 1
  • Sad 2
  • Snow 1
  • Sick 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

41F and cloudy. Have I missed anything entertaining?

  • Popcorn 1
  • Weenie 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 31F (Dec 22, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 16F (Jan 30, 2023)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 60 (Most recent: Mar 27, 2023)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 30, 2023)
  • Total snowfall: 1.2"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Somebody said something about hitting a strip club.

I'm gonna go and assume it'll be one better than the ones we have down here.

  • Like 1
  • Popcorn 1
  • Weenie 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 31F (Dec 22, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 16F (Jan 30, 2023)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 60 (Most recent: Mar 27, 2023)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 30, 2023)
  • Total snowfall: 1.2"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: Mar 5, 2023
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

Looks more likely that arctic air just kind of limps into the lower 48 at this point and quickly retreats. We should be thankful that we're getting anything with this fleeting block.

Even if we just get some highs below 40 and lows below 25 it would be the coldest January 29-31 period in many years.

  • Like 4

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

12Z EPS. I mean it’s not like it shows us rocketing to well above average after the cold spell. Temps stay near to slightly below average into the long range.

4D8AA2CF-67ED-439C-B676-AD948F90F0A1.png

Yeah, looks like at least we'll be staying cool for awhile. Yay, mountain snow! 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

12Z EPS. I mean it’s not like it shows us rocketing to well above average after the cold spell. Temps stay near to slightly below average into the long range.

4D8AA2CF-67ED-439C-B676-AD948F90F0A1.png

The mean gets to nearly -12c on this run. Not sure why everyone is talking as if this cold spell is completely gone or something

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

The mean gets to nearly -12c on this run. Not sure why everyone is talking as if this cold spell is completely gone or something

It's short, not that impressive and no snow. I am usually optimistic but there is no optimistic angle right now. Other than hoping for something later on.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Slushy Inch said:

It's quick, not that impressive and no snow. I am usually optimistic but there is no optimistic angle right now. Other than hoping for something later on.

EPS, Euro, GEM and CMCE show the coldest airmass for us since December 2013 with 850s -12 to -15c.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Didn’t the Puget Sound area see some decent snow events in Late November and December? 

Speaking honestly, the Tacoma-Seattle area did not get hit too hard. We did get a couple nights with some wet slop, but nothing sticking around for more than 12 hours. Lynwood north and south of Tacoma each had their own decent snow event. Still grateful for what I got, and honestly I don't care if I get any snow this round. The cold is the main story and I'm happy to follow that.

  • Like 5

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

The mean gets to nearly -12c on this run. Not sure why everyone is talking as if this cold spell is completely gone or something

About 80% of the wintertime crowd here is just in it for the pepto maps.

  • Like 5

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

About 80% of the wintertime crowd here is just in it for the pepto maps.

I would love to see some snow too but for cold this seems decently impressive, especially since we've not seen anything in this timeframe in a while. It's also just been one morning of runs that were a minor setback for cold/snow. Plenty of time for models to trend better the next few days

  • Like 1
  • Confused 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

Speaking honestly, the Tacoma-Seattle area did not get hit too hard. We did get a couple nights with some wet slop, but nothing sticking around for more than 12 hours. Lynwood north and south of Tacoma each had their own decent snow event. Still grateful for what I got, and honestly I don't care if I get any snow this round. The cold is the main story and I'm happy to follow that.

I was gone during the biggest event in Bothell, which was 3 inches.

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Guest unpinned this topic

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...